maybe this should be split from here... i dunno... but i was in a procrastinatey mood just now, and i decided to look at how momentum has affected the mets this year - are tehy more or less likely to win a game following a win, or lose a game following a loss, than you would expect based on their record for the season? so i took the mets winning percentage = 93 / (93+64) = 0.592; and a corresponding losing percentage of 0.408 i then tallied up all of the mets' wins and losses follong wins or losses, respectively, in the previous game what i found out was that the mets won 54 games after having won the previous game, and lost 25 games after having lost the previous game. (they also won 39 games after losing the previous game, and likewise lost 39 games after having won the previous game.) so, how does that compare to what we'd expect? well, the mets had 92 opportunities thus far this season to win a game after having won the prior game (the first game they won would have no predecessor), and the mets also had 63 opportunities to lose a game after having lost the game previous (the first game they lost would have no predecessor) if we multiply 92 opportunities by a 0.592 winning percentage, we find that, statistically, the mets would have been expected to win 54.496 games after having won the game prior. if we multiply 63 opportunities by a 0.408 losing percentage, we find that, statisticall, the mets would have been expected to lose 25.68 games after having won the game prior. 54.496 versus the actual 54 25.68 versus the actual 25 what this tells me, based, admittedly, on this very small sample size, is that "momentum" has played no role in the mets season, and wether the team has won (or lost) the game prior offers no indication as to their liklihood of winning (or losing) their next game. further study is of course warranted.