CURRENT Oscar favorites (with my preferences italicized, where applicable): Best Picture: “Ford v Ferrari” “The Irishman” “Jojo Rabbit” - my choice “Joker” “Little Women” “Marriage Story” “1917” - favorite “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” “Parasite” - closing Director: Martin Scorsese, “The Irishman” Todd Phillips, “Joker” - my choice Sam Mendes, “1917” - favorite Quentin Tarantino, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” Bong Joon Ho, “Parasite” - closing Lead Actor: Antonio Banderas “Pain and Glory” Leonardo DiCaprio “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” Adam Driver “Marriage Story” Joaquin Phoenix “Joker” - a lock Jonathan Pryce “The Two Popes” Lead Actress: Cynthia Erivo “Harriet” Scarlett Johansson “Marriage Story” Saoirse Ronan “Little Women” Charlize Theron “Bombshell” Renee Zellweger “Judy”- a lock Adapted Screenplay: “The Irishman,” Steven Zaillian “Jojo Rabbit,” Taika Waititi - favorite “Joker,” Todd Phillips, Scott Silver “Just Mercy” Destin Daniel Cretton and Andrew Lanham “Little Women,” Greta Gerwig - closing “The Two Popes,” Anthony McCarten Original Screenplay: “Knives Out,” Rian Johnson “Marriage Story,” Noah Baumbach “1917,” Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Quentin Tarantino - favorite “Parasite,” Bong Joon-ho, Jin Won Han - closing Supporting Actor: Tom Hanks, “A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood” Anthony Hopkins, “The Two Popes” Al Pacino, “The Irishman” Joe Pesci, “The Irishman” Brad Pitt, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” - a lock Supporting Actress: Kathy Bates, “Richard Jewell” Laura Dern, “Marriage Story” - a lock Scarlett Johannson, “Jojo Rabbit” - my choice Florence Pugh, “Little Women” Margot Robbie, “Bombshell” Cinematography: “The Irishman,” Rodrigo Prieto “Joker,” Lawrence Sher “The Lighthouse,” Jarin Blaschke “1917,” Roger Deakins - a lock “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Robert Richardson Film Editing: “Ford v Ferrari,” Michael McCusker, Andrew Buckland - favorite “The Irishman,” Thelma Schoonmaker “Jojo Rabbit,” Tom Eagles - my choice “Joker,” Jeff Groth “Parasite,” Jinmo Yang - closing Original Score: “Joker,” Hildur Guðnadóttir- a lock “Little Women,” Alexandre Desplat “Marriage Story,”Randy Newman “1917,” Thomas Newman “Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,” John Williams*“The King,” Nicholas Britell Original Song: “I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away,” “Toy Story 4” - dark horse “I'm Gonna Love Me Again,” “Rocketman” - favorite “I'm Standing With You,” “Breakthrough” “Into the Unknown,” “Frozen 2” - my choice “Stand Up,” “Harriet” Animated Feature: “How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World” Dean DeBlois -my choice “I Lost My Body” Jeremy Clapin “Klaus” Sergio Pablos - even money “Missing Link” Chris Butler “Toy Story 4” Josh Cooley - even money Best Foreign Language Film: “Corpus Christi,” Jan Komasa “Honeyland,” Tamara Kotevska, Ljubo Stefanov “Les Miserables,” Ladj Ly “Pain and Glory,” Pedro Almodovar “Parasite,” Bong Joon Ho - absolute lock Best Documentary Feature: “American Factory,” Julia Rieichert, Steven Bognar - favorite “The Cave,” Feras Fayyad “The Edge of Democracy,” Petra Costa “For Sama,” Waad Al-Kateab, Edward Watts “Honeyland,” Tamara Kotevska, Ljubo Stefanov Best Documentary Short Subject: “In the Absence” “Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone,” Carol Dysinger - favorite “Life Overtakes Me,” Kristine Samuelson, John Haptas “St. Louis Superman” “Walk Run Cha-Cha,” Laura Nix Best Live Action Short Film: “Brotherhood,” Meryam Joobeur -favorite “Nefta Football Club,” Yves Piat “The Neighbors' Window,” Marshall Curry - dark horse “Saria,” Bryan Buckley “A Sister,” Delphine Girard Animated Short: “Dcera,” Daria Kashcheeva “Hair Love,” Matthew A. Cherry - slight favorite “Kitbull,” Rosana Sullivan - closing “Memorable,” Bruno Collet “Sister,” Siqi Song Sound Editing: “Ford v Ferrari,” Don Sylvester - slight fave “Joker,” Alan Robert Murray “1917,” Oliver Tarney, Rachel Tate - closing “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Wylie Stateman “Star Wars: The Rise of SkyWalker,” Matthew Wood, David Acord Sound Mixing: “Ad Astra” “Ford v Ferrari” - slight fave “Joker” “1917”- closing “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” Production Design: “The Irishman,” Bob Shaw and Regina Graves “Jojo Rabbit,” Ra Vincent and Nora Sopkova - my choice “1917,” Dennis Gassner and Lee Sandales - dark horse “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Barbara Ling and Nancy Haigh - favorite “Parasite,” Lee Ha-Jun and Cho Won Woo, Han Ga Ram, and Cho Hee Costume Design: ”The Irishman,” Sandy Powell, Christopher Peterson “Jojo Rabbit,” Mayes C. Rubeo “Joker,” Mark Bridges “Little Women,” Jacqueline Durran - favorite “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Arianne Phillips Visual Effects: “Avengers Endgame” - even money “The Irishman” “1917” - even money “The Lion King” “Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker” Makeup and Hair: “Bombshell” - lock “Joker” “Judy” “Maleficent: Mistress of Evil” “1917” JOJO is my personal fave so far this year, but most prognosticators are predicting a "1917" v "PARASITE" awards show.