metsmarathon

Dura was just on MLB tonight. Was asked, facing Mariano, did you like your chances? Said duda, "honestly, no."

yeah, its a crying shame that the friends and family of highly paid professional athletes have to pay the same prices as those ordinary untalented plebes who are often lucky to make a tenth of the least of their salaries to watch them play a child's game. they should totally get more free stuff. because they're special.

Murphy 3.9 Ankiel 3.2 Lyon 1.4 Tejada 1.2 Rice 0.3

Niese 6.0 Rice 2.3 Hawkins 1.4 Duda 0.3 i actually had niese at seven. obviously it helps that nobody else did squat.

Byrd 3.6 Lyon 2.3 Burke 1.3 Hawkins 0.6 Ankiel 0.5

expectorate the mets!

what... did nobody see this yet?

hovering briefly in time and space, the baseball taunts a despondent ike davis.

jason bay - why the hell not! his ops+ of 120 would be a big improvement in our outfield menagerie. also, using hte same method i'd used yesterday to compare beltran and choo, he's expected to generate 2.8 WAR for the final 277 games of his career, spanning three years. i think this proves just how deeply flawed my method is. toldjaso! mike morse, 5 years, 4.7 WAR, 517 games (this includes still-active ryan ludwick's stats) hunter pence, 4 years 8.3 WAR, 561 games (this includes still-active torii hunter's stats) curtis granderson, 3 years, 4.1 WAR, 355 games raul ibanez... is too old for end-of-career comparables. they only go up to age 40. jacoby ellsbury, 5 years, 6.4 WAR, 511 games (this includes still-active david dejesus's and shane victorino's stats) ready for a surprise or two...? david dejesus, 4 years, 8.4 WAR, 472 games coco crisp, 4 years, 7.4 WAR, 518 games so... what did we learn? never let metsmarathon play with an ill-conceived, ill-executed tool.

so, using only bb-ref's "most similar players through age" as a guide... i'm looking at the most similar players to shin soo choo at age 29 (topped by bernard gilkey) and the most similar players to carlos beltran at age 35 (topped by andre dawson). and i'm looking at the average remainder of the careers of those top six players from age 31 onward, and age 37 onward. it's flawed, i know. the ten players most similar to shin shoo choo at age 29, who were active at age 31, averaged three years of continued play over 371 games, worth 2.3 WAR, with a 0.268/0.329/0.411 slash line and an OPS+ of 94. the six players most similar to carlos beltran at age 35, who were active at age 37, averaged 3 years of continued play over 326 games, worth 2.1 WAR, with a 0.260/0.337/0.439 slash line and an OPS+ of 106 (dale murphy's 26 age-37 games with an OPS+ of 1, , worth -0.9 WAR, tends to hurt the projection) so... based on this highly flawed analysis, you'd probably expect to get about the same total level of production over a three year deal for either beltran or choo, though beltran's production would be higher while he is on the field, and choo being more likely to be on the field forthe duration. mind you, these comparables are really out hte window, as their current production in their age-31 and -36 seasons will upse thte similarity scores a bit. i fully expect, for instance, dale murphy to drop out of beltran's comparables, and an excellent season by choo may also put him into a higher echelon of comparables. but for an early stab in the dark using the wrong type of knife, it's not a wholly unreasonable thing to suggest that there could be a real shoice to be made.

Lagares 2.8 Murphy 1.9 Parnell 1.9 Rice 1.8 Burke 1.2 Byrd 0.4

Ankiel 3.3 Tejada 0.9 Byrd 0.5 Carson 0.5

Harvey 4.6 Wright 2.1 Parnell 1.1 Burke 0.9 Ankiel 0.7 Murphy 0.6

Niese 4.0 Murphy 2.9 Wright 1.2 Parnell 1.1 Duda 0.5 Lyon 0.3

but it's a pretty golden sombrero

calling on him to do it. first and third with one out. why. the fuck. would you ever bunt? is there any chance he did it on his own? miss a sign? was it a squeeze play...? why would you ever...?

the unfortunate thing is, there's not really all that much pressing competition in the al right now. jhonny peralta isn't really going to light up the ballot box, nor is elvis andrus or stephen drew. so a concerted mfy effort might actually get hte trick done. i think i just threw up in my mouth a little just typing that.

Marcum 5.6 Ankiel 3.0 Buck 1.1 Hawkins 0.2 Murphy 0.1

shaun "on a blue dress" marcum or simply: blue dress marcum.

no, i think that would be far more painful. really.

Byrd 4.7 Lyon 1.3 Burke 1.3 Buck 1.3 Murphy 0.8 Wright 0.6

marry, fuck, kill: the toyota girl, the wendy's redhead, and flo.

he can start the game, but he has to throw his bullpen session from an electrified pool

pretty much. scott kamienicki (sp) was in there. i mean, limiting it to players [u:3tilillw]drafted [/u:3tilillw]by the team sure does limit things, as it excludes all those pesky international free agents the yankees brought in and developed (mariano, f'rinstance), but that would make hte mets look less bad, too, albeit to a lesser extent.

in comparison, the astros have drafted 23 players in the last 30 years with more than 7 wins. they are clearly a better franchise than hte mets. i didn't check too many teams. really after the mets i checked the astros and then one other team. that team is shockingly bad at drafting pitchers who go on to win more than 7 wins for their originally drafting team. this awful, shameful team - a disgrace to the game and their fans and their city - has drafted only 7 - seven! - pitchers who would win more than 7 games for them. 8 if you allow them to claim credit for a player who they originally drafted, who won 7 games for them, then was traded away for nothing and spent the long rest of his career with other teams, only to return for a fading 4 wins in the twilight of his career. this awful awful franchise, upon which should be bestowed only the lowest of low regard, which is worse than event he lowly mets at drafting pitchers and therefore is a model of how never to ever run a franchise and is also clearly immune to winning and success and will wallow forever in hte morass created by their ineffectual and incompetent management and ownership... this collection of ne'er do wells, who suck so suckily at baseball things... this bastion of baseball stupidity... these butts of jokes by latenight hosts and sports yellers... that team whose fans must clearly lurk only in shadows and under paper bags with cutouts for eyes, perhaps rumored to exist but rarely seen for fear of eternal shaming... the mother fucking yankees. context, bitches.