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smg58

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Everything posted by smg58

  1. I'm disappointed by Tong. Hopefully he rights the ship in the second half.
  2. This assumes, of course, that there still is a QO going into next season. And that there is a next season.
  3. My gut says giving Holmes the QO would make more sense. It's a reasonable gamble to assume his health will be less in doubt at the end of the season than it will be at the end of the month, which means the draft pick -- assuming Holmes doesn't take the offer, which is at least possible -- would probably be worth more than they could get for him in a trade.
  4. 60 WAR seems to be the bar now (at least that's what it's become for hitters), and DeGrom (by FanGraphs' math, at least) is still below 50. So he's not a lock, but two more elite seasons would put him in the running. While I'm looking at FanGraphs, it's worth pointing out that his fastball has been faster than his 2018 level every year since. And with the exception of the 2021 season, when he blew out his arm and took the team's playoff chances with him, he hasn't been as good. And of course, he hasn't been anywhere near as healthy. There is a moral in there that a whole lot of baseball people are ignoring.
  5. I don't think anybody would have taken the remaining two years of his contract even if he was playing well. We kind of have to hope he gets healthy, stays healthy, and plays better. Just like about twenty other Mets.
  6. I think Baty has been playing hurt too, and Bichette probably played hurt the first two months of the season. I doubt it's a coincidence that Semien stayed active until Lindor and Mauricio came back. Which begs the question of whether something in our training regimen is horribly awry, or whether we've gotten catastrophically unlucky.
  7. Senga really didn't pitch badly. He threw a flat pitch to the wrong guy, which unfortunately is the difference in the game.
  8. Wagemen strikes out on a pitch over his head, Alvarez strikes out on a foul tip that wasn't (you can't challenge that?), and Vientos simply strikes out. It's already a long afternoon.
  9. I'm with you on this. I'd rather give the kids a chance. Soto refuses to challenge two strikes that weren't, then walks anyway. I wonder if he's daring the pitcher to challenge him.
  10. It's easy to forget how valuable Peterson was in the second half of 2024 and the first half of 2025. I can remember somebody here ( I forget who) repeatedly referring to him as our ace -- and for what now seems like an instant, he was. But pitching value can evaporate quickly.
  11. To be fair, Mendoza got the team to rise out of an early-season performance two years ago that, after sixty games at least, was worse than this year. Then and now, I felt circumstances were mostly not in his control. I was willing to give him the opportunity to get this team out of their funk, until Wednesday.
  12. The first half of the Wednesday doubleheader was the end for me. Neither McLean nor Pintaro should have been kept in to pitch to Swanson. Then the team went and played the second game like they'd stopped caring. The writing was on the wall. As usual, in these situations, the manager precedes the GM to the door.
  13. Our GM choices post-Minaya have comically underwhelmed, other than Sandy Alderson (who was basically the league's idea). And even Minaya started making head-shaking decisions post 2006, just like Steve Phillips did post-2000. I think GMs that have shown success often have a use-by date, which may well be the problem with Stearns. Maybe instead of bringing in a hotshot big name, we should find a young person who's worked for a good GM but has a better idea for how to move forward.
  14. The odd thing about Stearns is that I could understand moving on from Alonso and Nimmo, where he seems to have taken the most heat. I don't think he took nearly enough heat for botching last year's deadline. And if moving on from Alonso and Nimmo was about long-term sustainability, the Peralta deal was dopey. (And if he's as over-obsessed with analytics as he's made out to be, he'd have known that Peralta is a 3.50-3.80 ERA pitcher who got lucky last year.) And I think it's now clear that he wasn't the brains behind the Brewers' successes. The Brewers are the best team, or second only to the Phillies, at getting sustainably good pitching. To say that we've seen none of that is a major understatement.
  15. I'd be unpleasantly surprised if the Cubs can fix Peterson that quickly, but stranger things have happened. A prospect's stats don't really start being meaningful until he reaches AA, but Mathis has more than enough upside (fairly acknowledging that the bar was really, really low) to justify this trade.
  16. And again. The Mets were still in the game.
  17. Mendoza needs to know when the next batter is one too many.
  18. I think our starting pitching is worse than our offense right now. Senga and Peterson were broken by the end of last season and have not recovered even a little bit. Manaea is at least recovering, but it took him a long while to get to this point and I wouldn't call him good just yet. McLean will be fine in the long run, but a couple of really rough outings have skewed his numbers. And the best thing I can say about Peralta is that Brandon Sproat and Jett Williams haven't done anything yet to make the trade a nightmare -- but it's obviously early, and the Brewers aren't wondering what if. (And then I checked the boxscores from yesterday, and Sproat went six innings with 10 Ks, one hit, and no walks. Sigh.)
  19. When I see a guy whose ISO is less than half what it was last year, I see a guy who is playing hurt. I think his situation is similar to Bichette's, where he is probably not 100% but the reasonable alternatives can't take the field at all right now. Maybe in a couple of weeks he'll start getting more rest and we'll see an uptick. Or maybe he's somebody the Mets should have traded a long time ago.
  20. I guess I meant questioned in New York in general more than I meant questioned on this site in particular.
  21. We're a game ahead of the 2024 Mets 60 games in. We're six games out of a playoff spot, and we're at least competitive with most of the teams ahead of us (not counting the division leaders) in terms of run differential. We need to be a better team than we've been up to this point, for sure, but hopefully a lot of that will come from guys returning to the lineup. And hey, we are no longer burdened with high expectations.
  22. Bichette is hitting like he did two years ago when he was banged up all season. He looks like he's playing hurt, but unlike our other players with major league experience at shortstop, he's at least well enough to take the field. It was never about the position change -- remember the Jays introduced him to a completely unfamiliar position during the World Series last year, and I don't remember anybody questioning it like it was questioned here.
  23. I'd like to think that three walks in his first game qualifies as forcing his way up.
  24. The offense is a bigger problem than the pitching right now. Other than Alvarez, nobody is hitting. I'm particularly disappointed in Baty and Vientos, who have been given the opportunity to grab full time jobs and have flat out refused to do so. Stearns showed too much confidence in Benge's readiness, but that is water under the bridge at this point. I think Polanco was playing hurt, but Bichette and Lindor really couldn't afford to slump with Soto out. The bullpen has let them down a few times, yesterday certainly, but we wouldn't have noticed if the team was hitting.
  25. Freddy Peralta will pitch to the 3.60 ERA that his career numbers, and peripherals from last year, say that he will. Much press space and air time will be devoted to speculating on what's wrong with him. Benge will have ups and downs but will be solid down the stretch. Devin Williams will be fine. But the Mets will still need Clay Holmes to bail out their bullpen. Soto will make last year look like Beltran's 2005. Jonah Tong will be the key to their season.
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