smg58
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Everything posted by smg58
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I can't get mad about not getting Alonso. That is two years and $75M more than I'd have willingly given him. But that being said, Stearns had better have a plan.
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Stearns may well be backing away from the excessive generosity of his predecessors in the Cohen era. We all liked Nimmo and were happy to hold on to him, but eight years AND a full no-trade clause was nutty. Trading him while he could might have been a statement of sorts that he did not wish to bog the team down on long-term commitments, while working under the assumption that plenty of players will be happy to take Cohen's money if the core of a team that severely underplayed relative to its payroll feels stiffed. That doesn't mean I agree with it, but I can see the reasoning. As for Diaz, the possibility exists that with all other things being more or less equal, he wanted to go to the team that is more likely to give him the chance to close out a World Series. Now that's still a metaphorical middle finger, but the Dodgers have a hell of a lot more to show for their spending than the Mets do. And Stearns has to figure out what to do about it.
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That's higher than I would go for a DH not named Shohei, but I'm not really surprised the Phillies valued him more than anybody else.
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It's the first time in the Cohen era that the team has hesitated over money, which is surprising. It's not that I necessarily expect Diaz to be worth $18M more than Williams over the next three years -- that's actually a pretty tall order -- it's that I wouldn't have thought Cohen cared.
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I'm bumping this in case there's interest. If any of you want the open team, please let me know.
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I guess my primary point was that Joe Ryan is not Tom Seaver. Or Johan Santana, since we're talking deals between the Mets and Twins. He is a pretty good pitcher, no more, no less. That means I wouldn't mind having him, but he's not the kind of guy I'd go all in for. And there are defensible reasons for thinking Tong by himself would be too high of a price.
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Fangraphs projects Ryan to have a 3.81 ERA this year, and Jonah Tong to have a 3.67 ERA. I'd be careful overinterpreting that, but it does suggest that there is a realistic possibility that Tong will be the better pitcher as early as by the end of next season. That tells me don't overpay for pretty good.
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It's difficult to read what the price is. I'd love to know what the price would have been in July, given that he beat the Mets twice down the stretch and we only needed to revere one of those.
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The Jays seemed to have the second highest bid on literally everybody last offseason, wound up not doing a whole lot beyond extending Vlad, and would have won the World Series if any one of a number a different things in game 7 that could have easily gone the other way actually did. Now they're clearly being very proactive. We'll see how much it helps. As for Tucker, he's not Soto or Ohtani. But he is the best free agent this year and the Mets now have an opening in the outfield corners. I'd have to assume we're in on him. He's young enough that 10 years isn't off the table, but his salary should be closer to $30M than $40M.
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He took playing time away from our younger players while being demonstrably worse. And there was never a good reason to think he was an upgrade. I'd argue that the flyball he turned into an inside-the-park homerun in extra innings against the Nats was the defining moment of the season.
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Not sure what to make of Ponce, but that's not a terrible commitment on the Jays' part to find out.
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Seconding both parts of this.
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Guess we should have talked about Devin Williams
smg58 replied to Marshmallowmilkshake's topic in New York Mets Talk
Williams had a bizarrely bad 55% strand rate last year, which almost has to be flukey given his peripherals were otherwise very much in line with what he's been doing. And what he's been doing puts him in the short list of the league's top relievers. -
If Knight had stayed, we'd have wound up talking about how Davey waited too long to bench him in favor of Hojo. A lot of guys just weren't as good the following year. Knight couldn't have stopped Gary and Keith (or himself) from getting older, or Gooden from peaking at 20. And Iglesias couldn't have stopped our pitching staff from collapsing in a bloody heap, or Stearns from making a bunch of deadline deals that did more harm than good.
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Lindor and McNeil once had a very public beef and the team won 101 games the following season. Perhaps they should fight more. On a scale of 1 to 10 on the Worry Meter, this presently ranks as a 0.
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Hey everybody, We have an opening in the ottoneu league as Banco Popular has decided to move on. I wanted to announce it here first, before making it more publicly available. Let me know if you're interested and I will see about getting you set up. Please be advised, though, that this is a keeper league. The good news is you would have Bobby Witt, and a couple of pitchers who might be overpriced but are still good.
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The GM of the Orioles did not spend the last two months of the season watching the Mets.
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Are we talking about Framber Valdez?
smg58 replied to Marshmallowmilkshake's topic in New York Mets Talk
I'm not sure I like six years, but he's the best pitcher on the market and would make the 2026 Mets significantly better. -
His strikeout rate with the Mets (3.29 per 9 IP) was a little concerning. I guess we'll find out if the Mets think that was flukey.
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The Padres have every right to ask. But I can't imagine it would go farther than that.
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The big news today was Dylan Cease getting seven years and $210M (deferments making it more like $182M) from the Blue Jays. Cease has been durable, but I don't think I would have bet seven years on that continuing indefinitely. The first major-league deal of the offseason went to former Met Phil Maton, who got two years and $14.5M with a club option for the third year from the Cubs. I expect Helsley and Rogers to get significantly more than that, so it looks like good value on paper. The other big trade involved the Cardinals sending Sonny Gray and $20M of his $35M salary this year to the Red Sox for a fairly good prospect (Fangraphs put him in the top 100 overall). That might wind up looking good in February, but I don't think I'd have pulled the trigger on a deal like that without seeing how the market was going.
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The winner of this deal is Kyle Tucker, because now the Mets are in on the bidding. For comparison, look at how desperate the Cardinals are to move on from Nolan Arenado, who's a former star with declining stats and still good but not necessarily elite defense -- basically Semien, but owed less money. I guess you have to ask yourself if Nimmo's contract is that much of an albatross. I'd say not yet, but it definitely could be before it runs out. My gut is against this deal -- I've liked Nimmo for a while and still do -- but I'll try to look at it in the context of the other moves that happen this offseason.
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I'd trade Senga for a legit starting centerfielder. Otherwise, I don't see much point.
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Quiz: Best Players to Start Their MLB Careers as Mets
smg58 replied to Gwreck's topic in New York Mets Talk
I just realized I left a low-hanging fruit from the 86 team. But I'll leave it for somebody else. -
Quiz: Best Players to Start Their MLB Careers as Mets
smg58 replied to Gwreck's topic in New York Mets Talk
Ron and Sid from the 86 team too. And Kevin Mitchell.
