smg58
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Everything posted by smg58
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So what do you do with Megill once he's back? More to the point, whom does he replace?
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Brazobán is probably a better option for relief work anyway. You see the letters UCL and you have to assume Tommy John is the likely end result. You have to prepare for next year under the assumption that Montas will not be a part of it. But with Tong and Sproat not far behind McLean, that might turn out to be a blessing in disguise.
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Expansion and Realignment (split from Aug 17 IGT)
smg58 replied to metirish's topic in New York Mets Talk
I'm tired of baseball being run by somebody who hates baseball. -
I was for this in 2021 when it became clear that DeGrom wasn't coming back. Sustainability doesn't matter at all. The Rays have lived and died by this sword because they can't afford to hold on to elite talent. We can.
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Sproat's last 7 starts: 39 IP, 5 ER, 19 H, 13 BB, 4 HBP (a bit of a concern), 1 HR, 40 K. That's really, really good at Syracuse.
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I wouldn't necessarily abandon it yet -- he's coming off an injury, and getting into any sort of rhythm from that side when the opponents start a lefty maybe a third of the time is going to take a while. I'm not sure if he's still eligible for Arizona, but I'd get him full time ABs somewhere and see if there is any improvement. I've been comparing him to Wally Backman as well, though, and he should be functionally treated as a left-handed hitter until he proves otherwise. The Mets should have tried to find a righty infield bat last month, although it's possible still that a team will try to put somebody through waivers that hits lefties better than you think. That being said, he's earned the right to keep starting against right-handed pitching.
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The Fielding Bible has McNeil at a -2 over 178 innings, which is probably not a big enough sample size to draw a firm conclusion. (Maybe he's close to average, or maybe he'd be a -15 over a full season.) Mullins was good in the past but is a -14 over 754 innings this year, which is... concerning. Taylor is a +8 over 700 innings, which would be awesome if he were hitting even a little bit.
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He's been pitching a lot better lately. I think he'll be fine in the long run.
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A right-handed bat would have been more helpful, plus his defensive metrics have nosedived the last two seasons. I don't think I would have bothered.
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Pros: I love Rogers and I think he's the perfect eighth-inning complement to Diaz. Cons: He's only been worth 0.4 WAR more than Buttó, per Fangraphs, and winning playoff teams need deep bullpens (especially now), not just top-heavy ones. Plus I think optionable arms who still have a chance of developing into something are being undervalued by Stearns. Mike Vasil won't get sent back to us. Yeah Tidwell's AAA numbers weren't pretty, but Buttó and Nuñez didn't shine at Syracuse either. I'd have been great with trading Gilbert for Rogers straight up. But I probably would have worked something out that wouldn't have us looking for more pitchers tomorrow and this offseason.
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Carlos Carrasco is about to go down to Georgia. Seth Lugo just got a two-year $46M extension from the Royals. Good for Seth, who regrettably had to leave the Mets to hit his best stride. And while I'm not sure locking up a 36-year-old pitcher who had value to other teams was the right move, I do like to see small-market teams open their wallets and hold on to their good players.
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Phillies' Bryce Harper cusses out Rob Manfred during meeting
smg58 replied to metirish's topic in New York Mets Talk
Dear Rob Manfred, please don't give Mets fans any more reasons to like Bryce Harper, it's really uncomfortable. -
And it appears the first of these moves has been made.
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Duran and Abreu might be sneaky options in center. They are both excellent corner outfielders. You have to give Suarez a serious look. The D-Backs just traded Josh Naylor, so they appear to be selling.
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You probably need to act fast if you want to see these guys in Binghamton. I'm honestly kind of surprised that Williams and Tong are still there.
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Clase has 3.5 WAR over the past season and a half, according to Fangraphs. You don't empty your farm system for that. Yes he's under team control, but a pitcher who throws over 100 is not a safe bet to stay healthy indefinitely. Stearns has a history of going for value plays where the pen is concerned, and it hasn't turned out poorly. (Hell, it wouldn't surprise me if we see Phil Maton again.) I would expect two or three moves involving prospects we won't expect to miss for pitchers who aren't splashy but do all right.
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Jett is having a pretty sold year in Binghamton (.288/.396/.495) and is still only 21. Sproat hit a brick wall in AAA. McLean has not, which justifies his jump in the rankings, but Sproat is not unique in that regard recently. If Tong joins the ranks of pitchers who flounder after getting that promotion (I have to think that is imminent), the front office may need to take a long hard look at what's going on. Plus Sproat's K rate went from 11 per 9 innings to 6, which is... concerning.
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I'd have to consider him a viable option at least in the pen down the stretch and into October. So yeah, tell him to get up early and beat the traffic on I-81.
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Blake Tidwell and Dom Hamel will combine for over 50 meaningful innings on the major league club.
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Would Dedniel Nunez count?
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I'll go with August 19, because it's my birthday.
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It's very fair to wonder what the Plan B is for both sides at this point. Given what other first baseman (most of whom are coming off better seasons than Alonso) have gotten, I can't see the market for Alonso being better than what the Mets appear to have offered. But how would the Mets pivot? I'm not for overpaying Alonso, but you can't replace him with nothing. One of the MLBTR articles suggested they'd move Vientos to first and try a combination of Baty, Acuna, and Mauricio at third. That's two guys who I'm not sure have ever played the position, and a third who made his biggest contribution to last year's team by taking a one-way trip to Syracuse. Do they think the Wilpons still run the team? I'm working under the assumption that Stearns has a contingency.
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I remember liking it, but it's been a while.
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That was on Boras, not the Mets. Like he's done with a number of other players, Boras waited and waited for a better offer that didn't come. And then Conforto got hurt and got nothing. The Mets chose not to overpay to bring their guy back just because he was their guy. And it turned out to be the right decision.
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Well it's one thing to open your wallet wide for an already elite player who might not have even entered his prime yet. It's another thing to do it for a 1B/DH when the market rate for first basemen who were better in 2024 has been set significantly lower.
