The Mets hold an option on him for 2027 but this is the last guaranteed year on his contract.
Obviously we’ve heard in-the-moment calls for his immediate firing. Thinking realistically, how bad would things have to be for a move to be made?
I’ll set the over/under at a .500 record and <6 games back from the division on May 31. If the Mets can’t accomplish that, Mendoza can’t continue.
That’s 59 games in, with 36 of them coming against the weakest* opponents the Mets will face this year.
*Proprietary Gwreck formula, averaging a team’s 2025 record and 2026 FanGraphs projected record. The bottom 10 are well-represented in the Mets’ March/April/May schedule: Colorado (6 games), Washington (6), White Sox, Angels (3), Minnesota (3), Pittsburgh (3), Sacramento (3), Tampa, St. Louis (3), and Miami (6).