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="Edgy DC":19453cj2]
Clemens had a foot and a half in the door when he got to Toronto.
[/quote:19453cj2]

I'm not so sure it was that close though. Oh he'd get in if he said he had enough before going to Toronto, but it would have been based on "legacy" voting rather than an actual analysis of what he accomplished. In other words, voters would be voting simply on his first few years, and ignoring the fact that he was an average pitcher by the end of his Red Sox days.







metirish
Jan 12 2009 05:13 PM


Rickey on MLB Hot Stove talking about Rickey getting into the HOF.







Edgy DC
Jan 12 2009 05:35 PM


="Nymr83"]the guy who didn't vote for henderson and admitted he "didn't know" about him shouldn't be allowed to vote, because he's admitted that he doesn't care to take the effort to judge which players fit the criteria that was quoted above.

I got the impression that he either didn't double check his work and or didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot or played the first-ballot game, not that he was unaware of Henderson's career.

Double checked and it seems to be a combination of the two. He overlooked it and then stubbornly refused to review when it was pointed out.

http://www.insidebayarea.com/sports/ci_11408571

Old folks: trouble with ballots and stubborn as heck. What else is new?

On the other hand, we screw up too. The guy is from The Tucson Citizen and not Oakland at all.







Edgy DC
Jan 12 2009 05:36 PM


="SteveJRogers":2mcf9cv6]
="Edgy DC":2mcf9cv6]
Clemens had a foot and a half in the door when he got to Toronto.
[/quote:2mcf9cv6]

I'm not so sure it was that close though. Oh he'd get in if he said he had enough before going to Toronto, but it would have been based on "legacy" voting rather than an actual analysis of what he accomplished. In other words, voters would be voting simply on his first few years, and ignoring the fact that he was an average pitcher by the end of his Red Sox days.[/quote:2mcf9cv6]
I don't care what it's based on. My point is that he would have gotten strong support, no matter the voters' motives, if his career petered out on it's tracjectory from that point with, say, 30 more victories.







themetfairy
Jan 12 2009 05:45 PM


Fanhouse speculates on the content of Rickey's HOF acceptance speech[/url:25za1esj].







MFS62
Jan 12 2009 05:47 PM


="Edgy DC":ri22fmh2]
Old folks: trouble with ballots and stubborn as heck. What else is new?

[/quote:ri22fmh2]

Watch it, you young whippersnapper.
Er, I see your point. :)

Later







Gwreck
Jan 12 2009 06:06 PM


="Centerfield":o99zxfxb]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:o99zxfxb]

There's a difference?







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 07:43 PM


i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...

that THT article is great. i've been wondering the same thing myself, as a result of an especially time-wasty hof-related project i'm miring myself in...







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:50 PM


="Gwreck":28khau2g]
="Centerfield":28khau2g]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:28khau2g]

There's a difference?[/quote:28khau2g]

TECHNICALLY McGwire was only guilty of having a masking agent, which was legal in baseball at the time, in his locker. His name hasn't been officially named in any court document, or report. The only things people have on him is that his name is in the original Canseco book, anecdotal evidence (body size pre-Oakland, and post baseball) and "I'm not here to talk about the past."







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:52 PM


="metsmarathon":1fdxmugo]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...
[/quote:1fdxmugo]

I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.







Nymr83
Jan 12 2009 07:54 PM


162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:59 PM


="Nymr83":1u41q325]162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him[/quote:1u41q325]

I'm not arguing that, I'm arguing why baseball writers, who care more about opp than ops+ or obp, would consider McGwire a lock if they weren't holding steroids against him. Which is different than why people who study stats and analysis would consider him a lock, or not.







Edgy DC
Jan 12 2009 08:12 PM


I may be smart enought to shit a dictionary, but I don't know what Steve is talking about.







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 11:08 PM


="SteveJRogers"]
="metsmarathon"]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...


I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.


should "magic numbers" or "saving baseball" be sufficient, steve, for a player to merit induction into the hall of fame?

i'm asking for your own actual opinion here. not what you think might be the opinions of others whom you've never met, or the possible opinions you might've read somewhere on the internets. what do you yourself think, and why?

...

as far as mcgwire goes, i'm overstating a bit my opinion on his hof merit. i showed a bit more of the reasoning way back over here:

and so, here's a bit more intelligible way of looking at what i had said previously:

]per my methodology of using WARP3 and comparing those on the ballot to those who've already been voted in by the bbwaa...

i look at career and peak value over 5, 7, and 10 year spans. i also take a look at a player's best individual season, just for kicks...

among the other hitters, mark mcgwire is below average for a hall of famer in each measure save 7-year peak value, wherein he is in the bottom quarter.


summing it up in that handy table...

Player Career 5-yr peak 7-yr Peak 10-yr Plateau 1-yr Max
henderson TOP 2nd 2nd 2nd TOP
blyleven TOP 2nd 2nd 3rd 2nd
trammell 3rd 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd
raines 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd bottom
cone 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd
mcgwire 3rd 3rd bottom 3rd 3rd
mattingly bottom 3rd bottom bottom 3rd
murphy bottom bottom bottom bottom 3rd
dawson 3rd bottom bottom bottom bottom
john 2nd out out out out
morris bottom bottom bottom 3rd out
rice bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
baines bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
grace bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
bell bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
williams bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
parker bottom bottom bottom out bottom
smith bottom bottom bottom bottom out
vaughn out bottom bottom out bottom
gant out out out out bottom
vaughn out out out out bottom
orosco bottom out out out out
plesac out out out out out


he's basically a below average hall of famer. that's probably pretty good, overall. he's hurt by being hurt a lot, and having a relatively short career, and not playing generally good defense (gold glove not withstanding)

i'm in the process of re-looking my methodology on the hall, and with baseballprospectus talking up some major, big changes to their WARP3 calculations, i might be forced to redo it all once i have it close to being finished... and we'll see what i come up with then... but right now, mcgwire would surely not top my ballot. imo there are easily four more hof-worthy players on the ballot. is that a fair cutoff? i'm not sure, as i'm not sure where my cutoff actually is.

if i were a voter, would i really only vote for four players this year? i dunno. that sounds a bit harsh actually. so maybe mcgwire would get my vote afterall.

the point i guess, is that i wouldn't consider him a lock, or a no brainer. i wish the voters were looking at the merits of his career instead of its provenance, as i think that's a more interesting conversation (within the context of baseball).

the ped issue is more like arguing religion. or politics.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:16 AM


="Edgy DC"] I happen to be a minority voter in much of my life, and I'm offended by the majority opinion attacking me with "too dumb to vote" arguments. I'm so smart I could shit a dictionary. It'd be a crude dictionary --- small and constructed entirely of shit --- but I could.


Those who voice minority opinions should be ready for criticism coming from the majority. Sometimes, minority opinions will be well articulated, valid points of view. Your's, I believe, would probably fall into this category. I encourage minority opinions. I'm in the minority often as well.

Some minority opinions, however, are dumbass steaming piles of crap. And if their vote is bestowed upon them because of an expected level of expertise, they are too dumb to vote.

So I want the voters who leave Rickey, or Hank Aaron, or Mays, or Ripken off their ballot to justify their reasons for doing so. If they really are taking a stance, they should relish the opportunity to be heard.

I suspect, though, that they will be applying some "I didn't see him as a first-ballot guy" or "If Seaver wasn't unanimous, he shouldn't be either" criteria that is not set forth in the rules. Or you'll discover just plain idiots who didn't realize Rickey wasAnd if this is their justification, I say strip them of this privilege and give it to someone who will research and follow the rules.

Who? You. Me. Anyone who will take the time to get educated on the subject and abide by the criteria set by the Hall. I said I didn't know enough about Raines to know whether he was worth of induction or not. But if you gave me the right to vote, I'd make sure to get educated on it before checking off any names.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:27 AM


I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:29 AM


="Gwreck":1s58j1sc]
="Centerfield":1s58j1sc]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:1s58j1sc]

There's a difference?[/quote:1s58j1sc]

Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:42 AM


="Edgy DC":3ihja6wu]I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.[/quote:3ihja6wu]

Who said anything about being reviewed by your opponents?

How about this...

Someone at the Hall (Board of Directors? Trustees? Important Hall People?) decided that the Writers' Association should have the right to vote on inductees. Those writers submitting questionable ballots (exclusion of Rickey, inclusion of Jay Bell) should have to justify their decision to a panel of Important Hall People (not fellow voters). If the IHP determine that the vote was justified, great. If not, the voter is put on probation, told to abide by the rules (or get educated). If the voter has a second transgression during the probation period, his vote is rescinded.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:48 AM


Yeah, my response would be that Jay Bell appeared on the ballot as an eligible candidate, so blow me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:58 AM


Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.

The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:33 AM


I for one am vehemently opposed to keeping people out of the Hall of Fame purely on suspicion of steroids. If there's hard proof, I understand. But if suspicion of steroids is the sole reason behind keeping someone like McGwire out of the Hall of Fame, those voters don't deserve their voting privileges. They're journalists, after all - go get some solid facts. However, if they based not giving someone a Hall pass based on something tangible - in McGwire's case, his low batting average - I completely understand.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:41 AM


How about the tangible facts of his testimony in Congress?

I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.







MFS62
Jan 13 2009 11:46 AM


="Benjamin Grimm":vgghykq1] I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.[/quote:vgghykq1]
Ditto.
And double ditto for Bonds.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 11:49 AM


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:51 AM


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:58 AM


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:09 PM


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:28 PM


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



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Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted


="Nymr83"]the guy who didn't vote for henderson and admitted he "didn't know" about him shouldn't be allowed to vote, because he's admitted that he doesn't care to take the effort to judge which players fit the criteria that was quoted above.

I got the impression that he either didn't double check his work and or didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot or played the first-ballot game, not that he was unaware of Henderson's career.

Double checked and it seems to be a combination of the two. He overlooked it and then stubbornly refused to review when it was pointed out.

http://www.insidebayarea.com/sports/ci_11408571

Old folks: trouble with ballots and stubborn as heck. What else is new?

On the other hand, we screw up too. The guy is from The Tucson Citizen and not Oakland at all.


Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted


="SteveJRogers":2mcf9cv6]
="Edgy DC":2mcf9cv6]
Clemens had a foot and a half in the door when he got to Toronto.
[/quote:2mcf9cv6]

I'm not so sure it was that close though. Oh he'd get in if he said he had enough before going to Toronto, but it would have been based on "legacy" voting rather than an actual analysis of what he accomplished. In other words, voters would be voting simply on his first few years, and ignoring the fact that he was an average pitcher by the end of his Red Sox days.[/quote:2mcf9cv6]
I don't care what it's based on. My point is that he would have gotten strong support, no matter the voters' motives, if his career petered out on it's tracjectory from that point with, say, 30 more victories.







themetfairy
Jan 12 2009 05:45 PM


Fanhouse speculates on the content of Rickey's HOF acceptance speech[/url:25za1esj].







MFS62
Jan 12 2009 05:47 PM


="Edgy DC":ri22fmh2]
Old folks: trouble with ballots and stubborn as heck. What else is new?

[/quote:ri22fmh2]

Watch it, you young whippersnapper.
Er, I see your point. :)

Later







Gwreck
Jan 12 2009 06:06 PM


="Centerfield":o99zxfxb]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:o99zxfxb]

There's a difference?







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 07:43 PM


i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...

that THT article is great. i've been wondering the same thing myself, as a result of an especially time-wasty hof-related project i'm miring myself in...







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:50 PM


="Gwreck":28khau2g]
="Centerfield":28khau2g]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:28khau2g]

There's a difference?[/quote:28khau2g]

TECHNICALLY McGwire was only guilty of having a masking agent, which was legal in baseball at the time, in his locker. His name hasn't been officially named in any court document, or report. The only things people have on him is that his name is in the original Canseco book, anecdotal evidence (body size pre-Oakland, and post baseball) and "I'm not here to talk about the past."







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:52 PM


="metsmarathon":1fdxmugo]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...
[/quote:1fdxmugo]

I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.







Nymr83
Jan 12 2009 07:54 PM


162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:59 PM


="Nymr83":1u41q325]162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him[/quote:1u41q325]

I'm not arguing that, I'm arguing why baseball writers, who care more about opp than ops+ or obp, would consider McGwire a lock if they weren't holding steroids against him. Which is different than why people who study stats and analysis would consider him a lock, or not.







Edgy DC
Jan 12 2009 08:12 PM


I may be smart enought to shit a dictionary, but I don't know what Steve is talking about.







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 11:08 PM


="SteveJRogers"]
="metsmarathon"]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...


I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.


should "magic numbers" or "saving baseball" be sufficient, steve, for a player to merit induction into the hall of fame?

i'm asking for your own actual opinion here. not what you think might be the opinions of others whom you've never met, or the possible opinions you might've read somewhere on the internets. what do you yourself think, and why?

...

as far as mcgwire goes, i'm overstating a bit my opinion on his hof merit. i showed a bit more of the reasoning way back over here:

and so, here's a bit more intelligible way of looking at what i had said previously:

]per my methodology of using WARP3 and comparing those on the ballot to those who've already been voted in by the bbwaa...

i look at career and peak value over 5, 7, and 10 year spans. i also take a look at a player's best individual season, just for kicks...

among the other hitters, mark mcgwire is below average for a hall of famer in each measure save 7-year peak value, wherein he is in the bottom quarter.


summing it up in that handy table...

Player Career 5-yr peak 7-yr Peak 10-yr Plateau 1-yr Max
henderson TOP 2nd 2nd 2nd TOP
blyleven TOP 2nd 2nd 3rd 2nd
trammell 3rd 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd
raines 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd bottom
cone 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd
mcgwire 3rd 3rd bottom 3rd 3rd
mattingly bottom 3rd bottom bottom 3rd
murphy bottom bottom bottom bottom 3rd
dawson 3rd bottom bottom bottom bottom
john 2nd out out out out
morris bottom bottom bottom 3rd out
rice bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
baines bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
grace bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
bell bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
williams bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
parker bottom bottom bottom out bottom
smith bottom bottom bottom bottom out
vaughn out bottom bottom out bottom
gant out out out out bottom
vaughn out out out out bottom
orosco bottom out out out out
plesac out out out out out


he's basically a below average hall of famer. that's probably pretty good, overall. he's hurt by being hurt a lot, and having a relatively short career, and not playing generally good defense (gold glove not withstanding)

i'm in the process of re-looking my methodology on the hall, and with baseballprospectus talking up some major, big changes to their WARP3 calculations, i might be forced to redo it all once i have it close to being finished... and we'll see what i come up with then... but right now, mcgwire would surely not top my ballot. imo there are easily four more hof-worthy players on the ballot. is that a fair cutoff? i'm not sure, as i'm not sure where my cutoff actually is.

if i were a voter, would i really only vote for four players this year? i dunno. that sounds a bit harsh actually. so maybe mcgwire would get my vote afterall.

the point i guess, is that i wouldn't consider him a lock, or a no brainer. i wish the voters were looking at the merits of his career instead of its provenance, as i think that's a more interesting conversation (within the context of baseball).

the ped issue is more like arguing religion. or politics.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:16 AM


="Edgy DC"] I happen to be a minority voter in much of my life, and I'm offended by the majority opinion attacking me with "too dumb to vote" arguments. I'm so smart I could shit a dictionary. It'd be a crude dictionary --- small and constructed entirely of shit --- but I could.


Those who voice minority opinions should be ready for criticism coming from the majority. Sometimes, minority opinions will be well articulated, valid points of view. Your's, I believe, would probably fall into this category. I encourage minority opinions. I'm in the minority often as well.

Some minority opinions, however, are dumbass steaming piles of crap. And if their vote is bestowed upon them because of an expected level of expertise, they are too dumb to vote.

So I want the voters who leave Rickey, or Hank Aaron, or Mays, or Ripken off their ballot to justify their reasons for doing so. If they really are taking a stance, they should relish the opportunity to be heard.

I suspect, though, that they will be applying some "I didn't see him as a first-ballot guy" or "If Seaver wasn't unanimous, he shouldn't be either" criteria that is not set forth in the rules. Or you'll discover just plain idiots who didn't realize Rickey wasAnd if this is their justification, I say strip them of this privilege and give it to someone who will research and follow the rules.

Who? You. Me. Anyone who will take the time to get educated on the subject and abide by the criteria set by the Hall. I said I didn't know enough about Raines to know whether he was worth of induction or not. But if you gave me the right to vote, I'd make sure to get educated on it before checking off any names.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:27 AM


I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:29 AM


="Gwreck":1s58j1sc]
="Centerfield":1s58j1sc]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:1s58j1sc]

There's a difference?[/quote:1s58j1sc]

Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:42 AM


="Edgy DC":3ihja6wu]I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.[/quote:3ihja6wu]

Who said anything about being reviewed by your opponents?

How about this...

Someone at the Hall (Board of Directors? Trustees? Important Hall People?) decided that the Writers' Association should have the right to vote on inductees. Those writers submitting questionable ballots (exclusion of Rickey, inclusion of Jay Bell) should have to justify their decision to a panel of Important Hall People (not fellow voters). If the IHP determine that the vote was justified, great. If not, the voter is put on probation, told to abide by the rules (or get educated). If the voter has a second transgression during the probation period, his vote is rescinded.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:48 AM


Yeah, my response would be that Jay Bell appeared on the ballot as an eligible candidate, so blow me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:58 AM


Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.

The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:33 AM


I for one am vehemently opposed to keeping people out of the Hall of Fame purely on suspicion of steroids. If there's hard proof, I understand. But if suspicion of steroids is the sole reason behind keeping someone like McGwire out of the Hall of Fame, those voters don't deserve their voting privileges. They're journalists, after all - go get some solid facts. However, if they based not giving someone a Hall pass based on something tangible - in McGwire's case, his low batting average - I completely understand.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:41 AM


How about the tangible facts of his testimony in Congress?

I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.







MFS62
Jan 13 2009 11:46 AM


="Benjamin Grimm":vgghykq1] I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.[/quote:vgghykq1]
Ditto.
And double ditto for Bonds.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 11:49 AM


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:51 AM


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:58 AM


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:09 PM


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:28 PM


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



Posted


="Edgy DC":ri22fmh2]
Old folks: trouble with ballots and stubborn as heck. What else is new?

[/quote:ri22fmh2]

Watch it, you young whippersnapper.
Er, I see your point. :)

Later







Gwreck
Jan 12 2009 06:06 PM


="Centerfield":o99zxfxb]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:o99zxfxb]

There's a difference?







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 07:43 PM


i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...

that THT article is great. i've been wondering the same thing myself, as a result of an especially time-wasty hof-related project i'm miring myself in...







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:50 PM


="Gwreck":28khau2g]
="Centerfield":28khau2g]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:28khau2g]

There's a difference?[/quote:28khau2g]

TECHNICALLY McGwire was only guilty of having a masking agent, which was legal in baseball at the time, in his locker. His name hasn't been officially named in any court document, or report. The only things people have on him is that his name is in the original Canseco book, anecdotal evidence (body size pre-Oakland, and post baseball) and "I'm not here to talk about the past."







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:52 PM


="metsmarathon":1fdxmugo]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...
[/quote:1fdxmugo]

I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.







Nymr83
Jan 12 2009 07:54 PM


162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:59 PM


="Nymr83":1u41q325]162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him[/quote:1u41q325]

I'm not arguing that, I'm arguing why baseball writers, who care more about opp than ops+ or obp, would consider McGwire a lock if they weren't holding steroids against him. Which is different than why people who study stats and analysis would consider him a lock, or not.







Edgy DC
Jan 12 2009 08:12 PM


I may be smart enought to shit a dictionary, but I don't know what Steve is talking about.







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 11:08 PM


="SteveJRogers"]
="metsmarathon"]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...


I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.


should "magic numbers" or "saving baseball" be sufficient, steve, for a player to merit induction into the hall of fame?

i'm asking for your own actual opinion here. not what you think might be the opinions of others whom you've never met, or the possible opinions you might've read somewhere on the internets. what do you yourself think, and why?

...

as far as mcgwire goes, i'm overstating a bit my opinion on his hof merit. i showed a bit more of the reasoning way back over here:

and so, here's a bit more intelligible way of looking at what i had said previously:

]per my methodology of using WARP3 and comparing those on the ballot to those who've already been voted in by the bbwaa...

i look at career and peak value over 5, 7, and 10 year spans. i also take a look at a player's best individual season, just for kicks...

among the other hitters, mark mcgwire is below average for a hall of famer in each measure save 7-year peak value, wherein he is in the bottom quarter.


summing it up in that handy table...

Player Career 5-yr peak 7-yr Peak 10-yr Plateau 1-yr Max
henderson TOP 2nd 2nd 2nd TOP
blyleven TOP 2nd 2nd 3rd 2nd
trammell 3rd 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd
raines 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd bottom
cone 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd
mcgwire 3rd 3rd bottom 3rd 3rd
mattingly bottom 3rd bottom bottom 3rd
murphy bottom bottom bottom bottom 3rd
dawson 3rd bottom bottom bottom bottom
john 2nd out out out out
morris bottom bottom bottom 3rd out
rice bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
baines bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
grace bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
bell bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
williams bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
parker bottom bottom bottom out bottom
smith bottom bottom bottom bottom out
vaughn out bottom bottom out bottom
gant out out out out bottom
vaughn out out out out bottom
orosco bottom out out out out
plesac out out out out out


he's basically a below average hall of famer. that's probably pretty good, overall. he's hurt by being hurt a lot, and having a relatively short career, and not playing generally good defense (gold glove not withstanding)

i'm in the process of re-looking my methodology on the hall, and with baseballprospectus talking up some major, big changes to their WARP3 calculations, i might be forced to redo it all once i have it close to being finished... and we'll see what i come up with then... but right now, mcgwire would surely not top my ballot. imo there are easily four more hof-worthy players on the ballot. is that a fair cutoff? i'm not sure, as i'm not sure where my cutoff actually is.

if i were a voter, would i really only vote for four players this year? i dunno. that sounds a bit harsh actually. so maybe mcgwire would get my vote afterall.

the point i guess, is that i wouldn't consider him a lock, or a no brainer. i wish the voters were looking at the merits of his career instead of its provenance, as i think that's a more interesting conversation (within the context of baseball).

the ped issue is more like arguing religion. or politics.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:16 AM


="Edgy DC"] I happen to be a minority voter in much of my life, and I'm offended by the majority opinion attacking me with "too dumb to vote" arguments. I'm so smart I could shit a dictionary. It'd be a crude dictionary --- small and constructed entirely of shit --- but I could.


Those who voice minority opinions should be ready for criticism coming from the majority. Sometimes, minority opinions will be well articulated, valid points of view. Your's, I believe, would probably fall into this category. I encourage minority opinions. I'm in the minority often as well.

Some minority opinions, however, are dumbass steaming piles of crap. And if their vote is bestowed upon them because of an expected level of expertise, they are too dumb to vote.

So I want the voters who leave Rickey, or Hank Aaron, or Mays, or Ripken off their ballot to justify their reasons for doing so. If they really are taking a stance, they should relish the opportunity to be heard.

I suspect, though, that they will be applying some "I didn't see him as a first-ballot guy" or "If Seaver wasn't unanimous, he shouldn't be either" criteria that is not set forth in the rules. Or you'll discover just plain idiots who didn't realize Rickey wasAnd if this is their justification, I say strip them of this privilege and give it to someone who will research and follow the rules.

Who? You. Me. Anyone who will take the time to get educated on the subject and abide by the criteria set by the Hall. I said I didn't know enough about Raines to know whether he was worth of induction or not. But if you gave me the right to vote, I'd make sure to get educated on it before checking off any names.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:27 AM


I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:29 AM


="Gwreck":1s58j1sc]
="Centerfield":1s58j1sc]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:1s58j1sc]

There's a difference?[/quote:1s58j1sc]

Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:42 AM


="Edgy DC":3ihja6wu]I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.[/quote:3ihja6wu]

Who said anything about being reviewed by your opponents?

How about this...

Someone at the Hall (Board of Directors? Trustees? Important Hall People?) decided that the Writers' Association should have the right to vote on inductees. Those writers submitting questionable ballots (exclusion of Rickey, inclusion of Jay Bell) should have to justify their decision to a panel of Important Hall People (not fellow voters). If the IHP determine that the vote was justified, great. If not, the voter is put on probation, told to abide by the rules (or get educated). If the voter has a second transgression during the probation period, his vote is rescinded.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:48 AM


Yeah, my response would be that Jay Bell appeared on the ballot as an eligible candidate, so blow me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:58 AM


Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.

The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:33 AM


I for one am vehemently opposed to keeping people out of the Hall of Fame purely on suspicion of steroids. If there's hard proof, I understand. But if suspicion of steroids is the sole reason behind keeping someone like McGwire out of the Hall of Fame, those voters don't deserve their voting privileges. They're journalists, after all - go get some solid facts. However, if they based not giving someone a Hall pass based on something tangible - in McGwire's case, his low batting average - I completely understand.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:41 AM


How about the tangible facts of his testimony in Congress?

I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.







MFS62
Jan 13 2009 11:46 AM


="Benjamin Grimm":vgghykq1] I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.[/quote:vgghykq1]
Ditto.
And double ditto for Bonds.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 11:49 AM


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:51 AM


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:58 AM


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:09 PM


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:28 PM


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



Posted


="Centerfield":o99zxfxb]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:o99zxfxb]

There's a difference?







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 07:43 PM


i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...

that THT article is great. i've been wondering the same thing myself, as a result of an especially time-wasty hof-related project i'm miring myself in...







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:50 PM


="Gwreck":28khau2g]
="Centerfield":28khau2g]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:28khau2g]

There's a difference?[/quote:28khau2g]

TECHNICALLY McGwire was only guilty of having a masking agent, which was legal in baseball at the time, in his locker. His name hasn't been officially named in any court document, or report. The only things people have on him is that his name is in the original Canseco book, anecdotal evidence (body size pre-Oakland, and post baseball) and "I'm not here to talk about the past."







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:52 PM


="metsmarathon":1fdxmugo]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...
[/quote:1fdxmugo]

I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.







Nymr83
Jan 12 2009 07:54 PM


162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:59 PM


="Nymr83":1u41q325]162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him[/quote:1u41q325]

I'm not arguing that, I'm arguing why baseball writers, who care more about opp than ops+ or obp, would consider McGwire a lock if they weren't holding steroids against him. Which is different than why people who study stats and analysis would consider him a lock, or not.







Edgy DC
Jan 12 2009 08:12 PM


I may be smart enought to shit a dictionary, but I don't know what Steve is talking about.







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 11:08 PM


="SteveJRogers"]
="metsmarathon"]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...


I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.


should "magic numbers" or "saving baseball" be sufficient, steve, for a player to merit induction into the hall of fame?

i'm asking for your own actual opinion here. not what you think might be the opinions of others whom you've never met, or the possible opinions you might've read somewhere on the internets. what do you yourself think, and why?

...

as far as mcgwire goes, i'm overstating a bit my opinion on his hof merit. i showed a bit more of the reasoning way back over here:

and so, here's a bit more intelligible way of looking at what i had said previously:

]per my methodology of using WARP3 and comparing those on the ballot to those who've already been voted in by the bbwaa...

i look at career and peak value over 5, 7, and 10 year spans. i also take a look at a player's best individual season, just for kicks...

among the other hitters, mark mcgwire is below average for a hall of famer in each measure save 7-year peak value, wherein he is in the bottom quarter.


summing it up in that handy table...

Player Career 5-yr peak 7-yr Peak 10-yr Plateau 1-yr Max
henderson TOP 2nd 2nd 2nd TOP
blyleven TOP 2nd 2nd 3rd 2nd
trammell 3rd 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd
raines 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd bottom
cone 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd
mcgwire 3rd 3rd bottom 3rd 3rd
mattingly bottom 3rd bottom bottom 3rd
murphy bottom bottom bottom bottom 3rd
dawson 3rd bottom bottom bottom bottom
john 2nd out out out out
morris bottom bottom bottom 3rd out
rice bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
baines bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
grace bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
bell bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
williams bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
parker bottom bottom bottom out bottom
smith bottom bottom bottom bottom out
vaughn out bottom bottom out bottom
gant out out out out bottom
vaughn out out out out bottom
orosco bottom out out out out
plesac out out out out out


he's basically a below average hall of famer. that's probably pretty good, overall. he's hurt by being hurt a lot, and having a relatively short career, and not playing generally good defense (gold glove not withstanding)

i'm in the process of re-looking my methodology on the hall, and with baseballprospectus talking up some major, big changes to their WARP3 calculations, i might be forced to redo it all once i have it close to being finished... and we'll see what i come up with then... but right now, mcgwire would surely not top my ballot. imo there are easily four more hof-worthy players on the ballot. is that a fair cutoff? i'm not sure, as i'm not sure where my cutoff actually is.

if i were a voter, would i really only vote for four players this year? i dunno. that sounds a bit harsh actually. so maybe mcgwire would get my vote afterall.

the point i guess, is that i wouldn't consider him a lock, or a no brainer. i wish the voters were looking at the merits of his career instead of its provenance, as i think that's a more interesting conversation (within the context of baseball).

the ped issue is more like arguing religion. or politics.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:16 AM


="Edgy DC"] I happen to be a minority voter in much of my life, and I'm offended by the majority opinion attacking me with "too dumb to vote" arguments. I'm so smart I could shit a dictionary. It'd be a crude dictionary --- small and constructed entirely of shit --- but I could.


Those who voice minority opinions should be ready for criticism coming from the majority. Sometimes, minority opinions will be well articulated, valid points of view. Your's, I believe, would probably fall into this category. I encourage minority opinions. I'm in the minority often as well.

Some minority opinions, however, are dumbass steaming piles of crap. And if their vote is bestowed upon them because of an expected level of expertise, they are too dumb to vote.

So I want the voters who leave Rickey, or Hank Aaron, or Mays, or Ripken off their ballot to justify their reasons for doing so. If they really are taking a stance, they should relish the opportunity to be heard.

I suspect, though, that they will be applying some "I didn't see him as a first-ballot guy" or "If Seaver wasn't unanimous, he shouldn't be either" criteria that is not set forth in the rules. Or you'll discover just plain idiots who didn't realize Rickey wasAnd if this is their justification, I say strip them of this privilege and give it to someone who will research and follow the rules.

Who? You. Me. Anyone who will take the time to get educated on the subject and abide by the criteria set by the Hall. I said I didn't know enough about Raines to know whether he was worth of induction or not. But if you gave me the right to vote, I'd make sure to get educated on it before checking off any names.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:27 AM


I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:29 AM


="Gwreck":1s58j1sc]
="Centerfield":1s58j1sc]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:1s58j1sc]

There's a difference?[/quote:1s58j1sc]

Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:42 AM


="Edgy DC":3ihja6wu]I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.[/quote:3ihja6wu]

Who said anything about being reviewed by your opponents?

How about this...

Someone at the Hall (Board of Directors? Trustees? Important Hall People?) decided that the Writers' Association should have the right to vote on inductees. Those writers submitting questionable ballots (exclusion of Rickey, inclusion of Jay Bell) should have to justify their decision to a panel of Important Hall People (not fellow voters). If the IHP determine that the vote was justified, great. If not, the voter is put on probation, told to abide by the rules (or get educated). If the voter has a second transgression during the probation period, his vote is rescinded.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:48 AM


Yeah, my response would be that Jay Bell appeared on the ballot as an eligible candidate, so blow me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:58 AM


Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.

The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:33 AM


I for one am vehemently opposed to keeping people out of the Hall of Fame purely on suspicion of steroids. If there's hard proof, I understand. But if suspicion of steroids is the sole reason behind keeping someone like McGwire out of the Hall of Fame, those voters don't deserve their voting privileges. They're journalists, after all - go get some solid facts. However, if they based not giving someone a Hall pass based on something tangible - in McGwire's case, his low batting average - I completely understand.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:41 AM


How about the tangible facts of his testimony in Congress?

I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.







MFS62
Jan 13 2009 11:46 AM


="Benjamin Grimm":vgghykq1] I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.[/quote:vgghykq1]
Ditto.
And double ditto for Bonds.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 11:49 AM


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:51 AM


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:58 AM


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:09 PM


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:28 PM


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



Posted


i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...

that THT article is great. i've been wondering the same thing myself, as a result of an especially time-wasty hof-related project i'm miring myself in...


Posted


="Gwreck":28khau2g]
="Centerfield":28khau2g]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:28khau2g]

There's a difference?[/quote:28khau2g]

TECHNICALLY McGwire was only guilty of having a masking agent, which was legal in baseball at the time, in his locker. His name hasn't been officially named in any court document, or report. The only things people have on him is that his name is in the original Canseco book, anecdotal evidence (body size pre-Oakland, and post baseball) and "I'm not here to talk about the past."







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:52 PM


="metsmarathon":1fdxmugo]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...
[/quote:1fdxmugo]

I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.







Nymr83
Jan 12 2009 07:54 PM


162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:59 PM


="Nymr83":1u41q325]162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him[/quote:1u41q325]

I'm not arguing that, I'm arguing why baseball writers, who care more about opp than ops+ or obp, would consider McGwire a lock if they weren't holding steroids against him. Which is different than why people who study stats and analysis would consider him a lock, or not.







Edgy DC
Jan 12 2009 08:12 PM


I may be smart enought to shit a dictionary, but I don't know what Steve is talking about.







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 11:08 PM


="SteveJRogers"]
="metsmarathon"]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...


I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.


should "magic numbers" or "saving baseball" be sufficient, steve, for a player to merit induction into the hall of fame?

i'm asking for your own actual opinion here. not what you think might be the opinions of others whom you've never met, or the possible opinions you might've read somewhere on the internets. what do you yourself think, and why?

...

as far as mcgwire goes, i'm overstating a bit my opinion on his hof merit. i showed a bit more of the reasoning way back over here:

and so, here's a bit more intelligible way of looking at what i had said previously:

]per my methodology of using WARP3 and comparing those on the ballot to those who've already been voted in by the bbwaa...

i look at career and peak value over 5, 7, and 10 year spans. i also take a look at a player's best individual season, just for kicks...

among the other hitters, mark mcgwire is below average for a hall of famer in each measure save 7-year peak value, wherein he is in the bottom quarter.


summing it up in that handy table...

Player Career 5-yr peak 7-yr Peak 10-yr Plateau 1-yr Max
henderson TOP 2nd 2nd 2nd TOP
blyleven TOP 2nd 2nd 3rd 2nd
trammell 3rd 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd
raines 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd bottom
cone 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd
mcgwire 3rd 3rd bottom 3rd 3rd
mattingly bottom 3rd bottom bottom 3rd
murphy bottom bottom bottom bottom 3rd
dawson 3rd bottom bottom bottom bottom
john 2nd out out out out
morris bottom bottom bottom 3rd out
rice bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
baines bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
grace bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
bell bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
williams bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
parker bottom bottom bottom out bottom
smith bottom bottom bottom bottom out
vaughn out bottom bottom out bottom
gant out out out out bottom
vaughn out out out out bottom
orosco bottom out out out out
plesac out out out out out


he's basically a below average hall of famer. that's probably pretty good, overall. he's hurt by being hurt a lot, and having a relatively short career, and not playing generally good defense (gold glove not withstanding)

i'm in the process of re-looking my methodology on the hall, and with baseballprospectus talking up some major, big changes to their WARP3 calculations, i might be forced to redo it all once i have it close to being finished... and we'll see what i come up with then... but right now, mcgwire would surely not top my ballot. imo there are easily four more hof-worthy players on the ballot. is that a fair cutoff? i'm not sure, as i'm not sure where my cutoff actually is.

if i were a voter, would i really only vote for four players this year? i dunno. that sounds a bit harsh actually. so maybe mcgwire would get my vote afterall.

the point i guess, is that i wouldn't consider him a lock, or a no brainer. i wish the voters were looking at the merits of his career instead of its provenance, as i think that's a more interesting conversation (within the context of baseball).

the ped issue is more like arguing religion. or politics.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:16 AM


="Edgy DC"] I happen to be a minority voter in much of my life, and I'm offended by the majority opinion attacking me with "too dumb to vote" arguments. I'm so smart I could shit a dictionary. It'd be a crude dictionary --- small and constructed entirely of shit --- but I could.


Those who voice minority opinions should be ready for criticism coming from the majority. Sometimes, minority opinions will be well articulated, valid points of view. Your's, I believe, would probably fall into this category. I encourage minority opinions. I'm in the minority often as well.

Some minority opinions, however, are dumbass steaming piles of crap. And if their vote is bestowed upon them because of an expected level of expertise, they are too dumb to vote.

So I want the voters who leave Rickey, or Hank Aaron, or Mays, or Ripken off their ballot to justify their reasons for doing so. If they really are taking a stance, they should relish the opportunity to be heard.

I suspect, though, that they will be applying some "I didn't see him as a first-ballot guy" or "If Seaver wasn't unanimous, he shouldn't be either" criteria that is not set forth in the rules. Or you'll discover just plain idiots who didn't realize Rickey wasAnd if this is their justification, I say strip them of this privilege and give it to someone who will research and follow the rules.

Who? You. Me. Anyone who will take the time to get educated on the subject and abide by the criteria set by the Hall. I said I didn't know enough about Raines to know whether he was worth of induction or not. But if you gave me the right to vote, I'd make sure to get educated on it before checking off any names.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:27 AM


I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:29 AM


="Gwreck":1s58j1sc]
="Centerfield":1s58j1sc]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:1s58j1sc]

There's a difference?[/quote:1s58j1sc]

Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:42 AM


="Edgy DC":3ihja6wu]I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.[/quote:3ihja6wu]

Who said anything about being reviewed by your opponents?

How about this...

Someone at the Hall (Board of Directors? Trustees? Important Hall People?) decided that the Writers' Association should have the right to vote on inductees. Those writers submitting questionable ballots (exclusion of Rickey, inclusion of Jay Bell) should have to justify their decision to a panel of Important Hall People (not fellow voters). If the IHP determine that the vote was justified, great. If not, the voter is put on probation, told to abide by the rules (or get educated). If the voter has a second transgression during the probation period, his vote is rescinded.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:48 AM


Yeah, my response would be that Jay Bell appeared on the ballot as an eligible candidate, so blow me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:58 AM


Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.

The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:33 AM


I for one am vehemently opposed to keeping people out of the Hall of Fame purely on suspicion of steroids. If there's hard proof, I understand. But if suspicion of steroids is the sole reason behind keeping someone like McGwire out of the Hall of Fame, those voters don't deserve their voting privileges. They're journalists, after all - go get some solid facts. However, if they based not giving someone a Hall pass based on something tangible - in McGwire's case, his low batting average - I completely understand.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:41 AM


How about the tangible facts of his testimony in Congress?

I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.







MFS62
Jan 13 2009 11:46 AM


="Benjamin Grimm":vgghykq1] I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.[/quote:vgghykq1]
Ditto.
And double ditto for Bonds.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 11:49 AM


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:51 AM


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:58 AM


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:09 PM


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:28 PM


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



Posted


="metsmarathon":1fdxmugo]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...
[/quote:1fdxmugo]

I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.







Nymr83
Jan 12 2009 07:54 PM


162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him







SteveJRogers
Jan 12 2009 07:59 PM


="Nymr83":1u41q325]162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him[/quote:1u41q325]

I'm not arguing that, I'm arguing why baseball writers, who care more about opp than ops+ or obp, would consider McGwire a lock if they weren't holding steroids against him. Which is different than why people who study stats and analysis would consider him a lock, or not.







Edgy DC
Jan 12 2009 08:12 PM


I may be smart enought to shit a dictionary, but I don't know what Steve is talking about.







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 11:08 PM


="SteveJRogers"]
="metsmarathon"]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...


I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.


should "magic numbers" or "saving baseball" be sufficient, steve, for a player to merit induction into the hall of fame?

i'm asking for your own actual opinion here. not what you think might be the opinions of others whom you've never met, or the possible opinions you might've read somewhere on the internets. what do you yourself think, and why?

...

as far as mcgwire goes, i'm overstating a bit my opinion on his hof merit. i showed a bit more of the reasoning way back over here:

and so, here's a bit more intelligible way of looking at what i had said previously:

]per my methodology of using WARP3 and comparing those on the ballot to those who've already been voted in by the bbwaa...

i look at career and peak value over 5, 7, and 10 year spans. i also take a look at a player's best individual season, just for kicks...

among the other hitters, mark mcgwire is below average for a hall of famer in each measure save 7-year peak value, wherein he is in the bottom quarter.


summing it up in that handy table...

Player Career 5-yr peak 7-yr Peak 10-yr Plateau 1-yr Max
henderson TOP 2nd 2nd 2nd TOP
blyleven TOP 2nd 2nd 3rd 2nd
trammell 3rd 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd
raines 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd bottom
cone 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd
mcgwire 3rd 3rd bottom 3rd 3rd
mattingly bottom 3rd bottom bottom 3rd
murphy bottom bottom bottom bottom 3rd
dawson 3rd bottom bottom bottom bottom
john 2nd out out out out
morris bottom bottom bottom 3rd out
rice bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
baines bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
grace bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
bell bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
williams bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
parker bottom bottom bottom out bottom
smith bottom bottom bottom bottom out
vaughn out bottom bottom out bottom
gant out out out out bottom
vaughn out out out out bottom
orosco bottom out out out out
plesac out out out out out


he's basically a below average hall of famer. that's probably pretty good, overall. he's hurt by being hurt a lot, and having a relatively short career, and not playing generally good defense (gold glove not withstanding)

i'm in the process of re-looking my methodology on the hall, and with baseballprospectus talking up some major, big changes to their WARP3 calculations, i might be forced to redo it all once i have it close to being finished... and we'll see what i come up with then... but right now, mcgwire would surely not top my ballot. imo there are easily four more hof-worthy players on the ballot. is that a fair cutoff? i'm not sure, as i'm not sure where my cutoff actually is.

if i were a voter, would i really only vote for four players this year? i dunno. that sounds a bit harsh actually. so maybe mcgwire would get my vote afterall.

the point i guess, is that i wouldn't consider him a lock, or a no brainer. i wish the voters were looking at the merits of his career instead of its provenance, as i think that's a more interesting conversation (within the context of baseball).

the ped issue is more like arguing religion. or politics.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:16 AM


="Edgy DC"] I happen to be a minority voter in much of my life, and I'm offended by the majority opinion attacking me with "too dumb to vote" arguments. I'm so smart I could shit a dictionary. It'd be a crude dictionary --- small and constructed entirely of shit --- but I could.


Those who voice minority opinions should be ready for criticism coming from the majority. Sometimes, minority opinions will be well articulated, valid points of view. Your's, I believe, would probably fall into this category. I encourage minority opinions. I'm in the minority often as well.

Some minority opinions, however, are dumbass steaming piles of crap. And if their vote is bestowed upon them because of an expected level of expertise, they are too dumb to vote.

So I want the voters who leave Rickey, or Hank Aaron, or Mays, or Ripken off their ballot to justify their reasons for doing so. If they really are taking a stance, they should relish the opportunity to be heard.

I suspect, though, that they will be applying some "I didn't see him as a first-ballot guy" or "If Seaver wasn't unanimous, he shouldn't be either" criteria that is not set forth in the rules. Or you'll discover just plain idiots who didn't realize Rickey wasAnd if this is their justification, I say strip them of this privilege and give it to someone who will research and follow the rules.

Who? You. Me. Anyone who will take the time to get educated on the subject and abide by the criteria set by the Hall. I said I didn't know enough about Raines to know whether he was worth of induction or not. But if you gave me the right to vote, I'd make sure to get educated on it before checking off any names.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:27 AM


I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:29 AM


="Gwreck":1s58j1sc]
="Centerfield":1s58j1sc]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:1s58j1sc]

There's a difference?[/quote:1s58j1sc]

Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:42 AM


="Edgy DC":3ihja6wu]I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.[/quote:3ihja6wu]

Who said anything about being reviewed by your opponents?

How about this...

Someone at the Hall (Board of Directors? Trustees? Important Hall People?) decided that the Writers' Association should have the right to vote on inductees. Those writers submitting questionable ballots (exclusion of Rickey, inclusion of Jay Bell) should have to justify their decision to a panel of Important Hall People (not fellow voters). If the IHP determine that the vote was justified, great. If not, the voter is put on probation, told to abide by the rules (or get educated). If the voter has a second transgression during the probation period, his vote is rescinded.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:48 AM


Yeah, my response would be that Jay Bell appeared on the ballot as an eligible candidate, so blow me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:58 AM


Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.

The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:33 AM


I for one am vehemently opposed to keeping people out of the Hall of Fame purely on suspicion of steroids. If there's hard proof, I understand. But if suspicion of steroids is the sole reason behind keeping someone like McGwire out of the Hall of Fame, those voters don't deserve their voting privileges. They're journalists, after all - go get some solid facts. However, if they based not giving someone a Hall pass based on something tangible - in McGwire's case, his low batting average - I completely understand.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:41 AM


How about the tangible facts of his testimony in Congress?

I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.







MFS62
Jan 13 2009 11:46 AM


="Benjamin Grimm":vgghykq1] I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.[/quote:vgghykq1]
Ditto.
And double ditto for Bonds.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 11:49 AM


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:51 AM


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:58 AM


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:09 PM


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:28 PM


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



Posted


162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him


Posted


="Nymr83":1u41q325]162 ops+, .394 obp, .588 slugging. he is a no brainer if you arent going to hold steroids against him[/quote:1u41q325]

I'm not arguing that, I'm arguing why baseball writers, who care more about opp than ops+ or obp, would consider McGwire a lock if they weren't holding steroids against him. Which is different than why people who study stats and analysis would consider him a lock, or not.







Edgy DC
Jan 12 2009 08:12 PM


I may be smart enought to shit a dictionary, but I don't know what Steve is talking about.







metsmarathon
Jan 12 2009 11:08 PM


="SteveJRogers"]
="metsmarathon"]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...


I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.


should "magic numbers" or "saving baseball" be sufficient, steve, for a player to merit induction into the hall of fame?

i'm asking for your own actual opinion here. not what you think might be the opinions of others whom you've never met, or the possible opinions you might've read somewhere on the internets. what do you yourself think, and why?

...

as far as mcgwire goes, i'm overstating a bit my opinion on his hof merit. i showed a bit more of the reasoning way back over here:

and so, here's a bit more intelligible way of looking at what i had said previously:

]per my methodology of using WARP3 and comparing those on the ballot to those who've already been voted in by the bbwaa...

i look at career and peak value over 5, 7, and 10 year spans. i also take a look at a player's best individual season, just for kicks...

among the other hitters, mark mcgwire is below average for a hall of famer in each measure save 7-year peak value, wherein he is in the bottom quarter.


summing it up in that handy table...

Player Career 5-yr peak 7-yr Peak 10-yr Plateau 1-yr Max
henderson TOP 2nd 2nd 2nd TOP
blyleven TOP 2nd 2nd 3rd 2nd
trammell 3rd 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd
raines 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd bottom
cone 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd
mcgwire 3rd 3rd bottom 3rd 3rd
mattingly bottom 3rd bottom bottom 3rd
murphy bottom bottom bottom bottom 3rd
dawson 3rd bottom bottom bottom bottom
john 2nd out out out out
morris bottom bottom bottom 3rd out
rice bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
baines bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
grace bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
bell bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
williams bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
parker bottom bottom bottom out bottom
smith bottom bottom bottom bottom out
vaughn out bottom bottom out bottom
gant out out out out bottom
vaughn out out out out bottom
orosco bottom out out out out
plesac out out out out out


he's basically a below average hall of famer. that's probably pretty good, overall. he's hurt by being hurt a lot, and having a relatively short career, and not playing generally good defense (gold glove not withstanding)

i'm in the process of re-looking my methodology on the hall, and with baseballprospectus talking up some major, big changes to their WARP3 calculations, i might be forced to redo it all once i have it close to being finished... and we'll see what i come up with then... but right now, mcgwire would surely not top my ballot. imo there are easily four more hof-worthy players on the ballot. is that a fair cutoff? i'm not sure, as i'm not sure where my cutoff actually is.

if i were a voter, would i really only vote for four players this year? i dunno. that sounds a bit harsh actually. so maybe mcgwire would get my vote afterall.

the point i guess, is that i wouldn't consider him a lock, or a no brainer. i wish the voters were looking at the merits of his career instead of its provenance, as i think that's a more interesting conversation (within the context of baseball).

the ped issue is more like arguing religion. or politics.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:16 AM


="Edgy DC"] I happen to be a minority voter in much of my life, and I'm offended by the majority opinion attacking me with "too dumb to vote" arguments. I'm so smart I could shit a dictionary. It'd be a crude dictionary --- small and constructed entirely of shit --- but I could.


Those who voice minority opinions should be ready for criticism coming from the majority. Sometimes, minority opinions will be well articulated, valid points of view. Your's, I believe, would probably fall into this category. I encourage minority opinions. I'm in the minority often as well.

Some minority opinions, however, are dumbass steaming piles of crap. And if their vote is bestowed upon them because of an expected level of expertise, they are too dumb to vote.

So I want the voters who leave Rickey, or Hank Aaron, or Mays, or Ripken off their ballot to justify their reasons for doing so. If they really are taking a stance, they should relish the opportunity to be heard.

I suspect, though, that they will be applying some "I didn't see him as a first-ballot guy" or "If Seaver wasn't unanimous, he shouldn't be either" criteria that is not set forth in the rules. Or you'll discover just plain idiots who didn't realize Rickey wasAnd if this is their justification, I say strip them of this privilege and give it to someone who will research and follow the rules.

Who? You. Me. Anyone who will take the time to get educated on the subject and abide by the criteria set by the Hall. I said I didn't know enough about Raines to know whether he was worth of induction or not. But if you gave me the right to vote, I'd make sure to get educated on it before checking off any names.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:27 AM


I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:29 AM


="Gwreck":1s58j1sc]
="Centerfield":1s58j1sc]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:1s58j1sc]

There's a difference?[/quote:1s58j1sc]

Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:42 AM


="Edgy DC":3ihja6wu]I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.[/quote:3ihja6wu]

Who said anything about being reviewed by your opponents?

How about this...

Someone at the Hall (Board of Directors? Trustees? Important Hall People?) decided that the Writers' Association should have the right to vote on inductees. Those writers submitting questionable ballots (exclusion of Rickey, inclusion of Jay Bell) should have to justify their decision to a panel of Important Hall People (not fellow voters). If the IHP determine that the vote was justified, great. If not, the voter is put on probation, told to abide by the rules (or get educated). If the voter has a second transgression during the probation period, his vote is rescinded.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:48 AM


Yeah, my response would be that Jay Bell appeared on the ballot as an eligible candidate, so blow me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:58 AM


Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.

The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:33 AM


I for one am vehemently opposed to keeping people out of the Hall of Fame purely on suspicion of steroids. If there's hard proof, I understand. But if suspicion of steroids is the sole reason behind keeping someone like McGwire out of the Hall of Fame, those voters don't deserve their voting privileges. They're journalists, after all - go get some solid facts. However, if they based not giving someone a Hall pass based on something tangible - in McGwire's case, his low batting average - I completely understand.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:41 AM


How about the tangible facts of his testimony in Congress?

I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.







MFS62
Jan 13 2009 11:46 AM


="Benjamin Grimm":vgghykq1] I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.[/quote:vgghykq1]
Ditto.
And double ditto for Bonds.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 11:49 AM


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:51 AM


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:58 AM


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:09 PM


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:28 PM


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted


I may be smart enought to shit a dictionary, but I don't know what Steve is talking about.


Posted


="SteveJRogers"]
="metsmarathon"]i just wish there were more voters who cared to point out that mcgwire just wasn't good enough to be in the hall...


I doubt that though. He does have that "magic" 500 homers on his ledger and if he didn't have the steroid stink thanks to what I mentioned above, he'd have that "saved baseball" label.


should "magic numbers" or "saving baseball" be sufficient, steve, for a player to merit induction into the hall of fame?

i'm asking for your own actual opinion here. not what you think might be the opinions of others whom you've never met, or the possible opinions you might've read somewhere on the internets. what do you yourself think, and why?

...

as far as mcgwire goes, i'm overstating a bit my opinion on his hof merit. i showed a bit more of the reasoning way back over here:

and so, here's a bit more intelligible way of looking at what i had said previously:

]per my methodology of using WARP3 and comparing those on the ballot to those who've already been voted in by the bbwaa...

i look at career and peak value over 5, 7, and 10 year spans. i also take a look at a player's best individual season, just for kicks...

among the other hitters, mark mcgwire is below average for a hall of famer in each measure save 7-year peak value, wherein he is in the bottom quarter.


summing it up in that handy table...

Player Career 5-yr peak 7-yr Peak 10-yr Plateau 1-yr Max
henderson TOP 2nd 2nd 2nd TOP
blyleven TOP 2nd 2nd 3rd 2nd
trammell 3rd 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd
raines 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd bottom
cone 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd
mcgwire 3rd 3rd bottom 3rd 3rd
mattingly bottom 3rd bottom bottom 3rd
murphy bottom bottom bottom bottom 3rd
dawson 3rd bottom bottom bottom bottom
john 2nd out out out out
morris bottom bottom bottom 3rd out
rice bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
baines bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
grace bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
bell bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
williams bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom
parker bottom bottom bottom out bottom
smith bottom bottom bottom bottom out
vaughn out bottom bottom out bottom
gant out out out out bottom
vaughn out out out out bottom
orosco bottom out out out out
plesac out out out out out


he's basically a below average hall of famer. that's probably pretty good, overall. he's hurt by being hurt a lot, and having a relatively short career, and not playing generally good defense (gold glove not withstanding)

i'm in the process of re-looking my methodology on the hall, and with baseballprospectus talking up some major, big changes to their WARP3 calculations, i might be forced to redo it all once i have it close to being finished... and we'll see what i come up with then... but right now, mcgwire would surely not top my ballot. imo there are easily four more hof-worthy players on the ballot. is that a fair cutoff? i'm not sure, as i'm not sure where my cutoff actually is.

if i were a voter, would i really only vote for four players this year? i dunno. that sounds a bit harsh actually. so maybe mcgwire would get my vote afterall.

the point i guess, is that i wouldn't consider him a lock, or a no brainer. i wish the voters were looking at the merits of his career instead of its provenance, as i think that's a more interesting conversation (within the context of baseball).

the ped issue is more like arguing religion. or politics.


Posted


="Edgy DC"] I happen to be a minority voter in much of my life, and I'm offended by the majority opinion attacking me with "too dumb to vote" arguments. I'm so smart I could shit a dictionary. It'd be a crude dictionary --- small and constructed entirely of shit --- but I could.


Those who voice minority opinions should be ready for criticism coming from the majority. Sometimes, minority opinions will be well articulated, valid points of view. Your's, I believe, would probably fall into this category. I encourage minority opinions. I'm in the minority often as well.

Some minority opinions, however, are dumbass steaming piles of crap. And if their vote is bestowed upon them because of an expected level of expertise, they are too dumb to vote.

So I want the voters who leave Rickey, or Hank Aaron, or Mays, or Ripken off their ballot to justify their reasons for doing so. If they really are taking a stance, they should relish the opportunity to be heard.

I suspect, though, that they will be applying some "I didn't see him as a first-ballot guy" or "If Seaver wasn't unanimous, he shouldn't be either" criteria that is not set forth in the rules. Or you'll discover just plain idiots who didn't realize Rickey wasAnd if this is their justification, I say strip them of this privilege and give it to someone who will research and follow the rules.

Who? You. Me. Anyone who will take the time to get educated on the subject and abide by the criteria set by the Hall. I said I didn't know enough about Raines to know whether he was worth of induction or not. But if you gave me the right to vote, I'd make sure to get educated on it before checking off any names.


Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted


I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.


Posted


="Gwreck":1s58j1sc]
="Centerfield":1s58j1sc]I realize on the McGwire point (unlike the Henderson point) the baseball writers have more wiggle room to exercise discretion, but I think they should be careful to distinguish the evidence against Clemens and Bonds versus the evidence against McGwire.[/quote:1s58j1sc]

There's a difference?[/quote:1s58j1sc]

Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 08:42 AM


="Edgy DC":3ihja6wu]I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.[/quote:3ihja6wu]

Who said anything about being reviewed by your opponents?

How about this...

Someone at the Hall (Board of Directors? Trustees? Important Hall People?) decided that the Writers' Association should have the right to vote on inductees. Those writers submitting questionable ballots (exclusion of Rickey, inclusion of Jay Bell) should have to justify their decision to a panel of Important Hall People (not fellow voters). If the IHP determine that the vote was justified, great. If not, the voter is put on probation, told to abide by the rules (or get educated). If the voter has a second transgression during the probation period, his vote is rescinded.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:48 AM


Yeah, my response would be that Jay Bell appeared on the ballot as an eligible candidate, so blow me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:58 AM


Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.

The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:33 AM


I for one am vehemently opposed to keeping people out of the Hall of Fame purely on suspicion of steroids. If there's hard proof, I understand. But if suspicion of steroids is the sole reason behind keeping someone like McGwire out of the Hall of Fame, those voters don't deserve their voting privileges. They're journalists, after all - go get some solid facts. However, if they based not giving someone a Hall pass based on something tangible - in McGwire's case, his low batting average - I completely understand.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:41 AM


How about the tangible facts of his testimony in Congress?

I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.







MFS62
Jan 13 2009 11:46 AM


="Benjamin Grimm":vgghykq1] I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.[/quote:vgghykq1]
Ditto.
And double ditto for Bonds.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 11:49 AM


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:51 AM


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:58 AM


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:09 PM


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:28 PM


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



Posted


="Edgy DC":3ihja6wu]I am ready for criticism. I am not ready to defend my vote from being rescinded for being a big steaming pile of crap, because the ones who would decide the crappiness of my vote are the same majority who just outvoted me --- a jury of my opponents. The game is rigged.

And no, I often don't relish the opportunity to be heard by people with passionate contempt for my views. I cherish the anonymity of my ballot and the dispassionate blindness with which its counted.[/quote:3ihja6wu]

Who said anything about being reviewed by your opponents?

How about this...

Someone at the Hall (Board of Directors? Trustees? Important Hall People?) decided that the Writers' Association should have the right to vote on inductees. Those writers submitting questionable ballots (exclusion of Rickey, inclusion of Jay Bell) should have to justify their decision to a panel of Important Hall People (not fellow voters). If the IHP determine that the vote was justified, great. If not, the voter is put on probation, told to abide by the rules (or get educated). If the voter has a second transgression during the probation period, his vote is rescinded.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:48 AM


Yeah, my response would be that Jay Bell appeared on the ballot as an eligible candidate, so blow me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 08:58 AM


Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.

The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:33 AM


I for one am vehemently opposed to keeping people out of the Hall of Fame purely on suspicion of steroids. If there's hard proof, I understand. But if suspicion of steroids is the sole reason behind keeping someone like McGwire out of the Hall of Fame, those voters don't deserve their voting privileges. They're journalists, after all - go get some solid facts. However, if they based not giving someone a Hall pass based on something tangible - in McGwire's case, his low batting average - I completely understand.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:41 AM


How about the tangible facts of his testimony in Congress?

I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.







MFS62
Jan 13 2009 11:46 AM


="Benjamin Grimm":vgghykq1] I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.[/quote:vgghykq1]
Ditto.
And double ditto for Bonds.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 11:49 AM


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:51 AM


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:58 AM


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:09 PM


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:28 PM


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted


Yeah, my response would be that Jay Bell appeared on the ballot as an eligible candidate, so blow me.


Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted


Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.

The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Posted


I for one am vehemently opposed to keeping people out of the Hall of Fame purely on suspicion of steroids. If there's hard proof, I understand. But if suspicion of steroids is the sole reason behind keeping someone like McGwire out of the Hall of Fame, those voters don't deserve their voting privileges. They're journalists, after all - go get some solid facts. However, if they based not giving someone a Hall pass based on something tangible - in McGwire's case, his low batting average - I completely understand.


Posted


="Benjamin Grimm":vgghykq1] I'd not vote for him because of the disgrace he brought to the game.[/quote:vgghykq1]
Ditto.
And double ditto for Bonds.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 11:49 AM


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 11:51 AM


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 13 2009 11:58 AM


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:09 PM


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:28 PM


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted


If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.


Posted


If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

I must admit, I have a fondness for McGwire. I was 11 in 1998. The big home run chase was a big childhood memory for me. And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame. If you want to debate a player's stats, fine. If there's definitive evidence that a player cheated, fine. But basing a vote on rumors and innuendo is destructive to the process.


Posted


]And I would feel cheated if the generation of players I grew up watching ends up getting shut out of the Hall of Fame.


It's not about you.

Great players who disgrace the game don't get in.

Pete Rose didn't get in. Shoeless Joe Jackson didn't get in.

And I don't think that Bonds, Clemens, and McGwire are going to get in.

Your generation won't get shut out. But even if it does, so what? It's not about you.


Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted


="Valadius"]If I were a reporter, I'd call him up and ask him to explain himself.

He was asked to explain himself, and he elected not to. A voter is asked to make a judgment call and they're making the logical one that the facts of his past incriminate him.

Look at it this way, he said he didn't want to talk about the past. By not honoring his career and legacy by inducting him in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, those writers are honoring his request.


Posted


="Edgy DC":21bklxmx]If one more person starts rescinding voting privileges, I swear I'm gonna holler.[/quote:21bklxmx]

no vote for you.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 12:48 PM


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 12:53 PM


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 01:25 PM


="Edgy DC"] Listen, it should be clear when you're pounding out sentences that "The rules state that if a guy is eligible, you judge him on his accomplishments."

You're a lawyer, you know how important phrasing is. That is certainly not what the rules say at all. It is your interpretation of the criteria (not the rules, but the criteria) that satisfies your own sensibility. Other people will interpret them to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process.


Are the selection criteria at issue here? I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can. When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process." Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions? Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

Because, in reality, standards have been set. A player's "record" has come to mean that there is an accepted level of performance deemed "Hall of Fame-worthy". When someone who falls near those guidelines gets in (or falls short) there will always be those who cry foul. Their point, and I believe your point, is that the voters got it wrong.

I agree that the voters can get it wrong. In fact, I think they can be so wrong, they demonstrate they are in no position to be making these types of decisions.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.


Again, your logic contradicts itself. If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:09 PM


Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:32 AM




="Centerfield"]Are the selection criteria at issue here?

You keep saying that voters broke the rules. I don't think it's cut and dried like that.

="Centerfield"]I feel like you're jumping from issue to issue trying to win a point whereever you can.

I'm just responding to what you write.

="Centerfield"]When I said that a player should be judged on his accomplishments, I didn't think we were getting into that exact of an argument over selection criteria. We know how players are to be judged with respect to the Hall of Fame. It is the same criteria you are using to advocate Tim Raines.

Apparently, we don't know, because what you wrote, to me, does not accurately paraphrase the criteria at all.

="Centerfield"]My point was that the following issues are not things that the voters are to consider:

1. Whether they deem him a "first-ballot" guy
2. Whether he should get more percentage of the votes than (whatever legend).

You're arguing much more than that. You're arguing that voters should be made to justify their votes and that their voting privileges should be rescinded if they don't account for themselves to some star chamber's satisfaction. Certain voters, not all, but ones that trigger your sensitivities.

="Centerfield"]And oftentimes, you will get justifications such as the foregoing for their outlandish omissions. They should not be allowed to create their own standards. They are not interpreting the criteria, they are making up their own.

By the same token, you made up your own.

="Centerfield"]You say that voters are free to interpret the criteria "to satisfy their own sensibility. That's the process."

That's just the way the world is. We all understand things differently.

="Centerfield"] Yet you say they got it wrong with Raines. If voters are free to satisfy their own sensibility, how can we ever find fault with their decisions?

Easy. We say, "You got that wrong, and here's why," make an argument of our own, and lobby them. I didn't say we should always consider them right, I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.

="Centerfield"]Maybe those guys balanced those six criteria and deemed Raines unworthy. How can we ever tell anyone that their subjective views are wrong? How can we label it "harm"?

By making a rational argument that moves their heart.

="Edgy DC"] The idea that Jay Bell was considered worthy to turn over to the body for their judgment, only to have the body cleansed of any single person who would vote for him, is farcical.
="Centerfield"]Again, your logic contradicts itself.

No it doesn't. And there's no again. Don't you think that would be farcical? I think it would be outrageous in the context of anything called an election.

="Centerfield"]If a voter cannot be "wrong" about Jay Bell, they cannot be wrong about Tim Raines. If they can be wrong about Tim Raines, then they are certainly wrong about Jay Bell.

I didn't say anybody can't be wrong. I say the way to establish right from wrong is not to strip the minority of their votes, but to lobby those you disagree with until one side compels enough voters past the designated threshold established to determine an issue.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:18 PM


i think there are a greater percentage, by an order of magnitude, of unfit voters participating in our presidential elections than there are in the hall of fame elections.

...

i have a quick question that perhaps nobody here can answer. i was just reading an article on nytimes.com, and in it, ty kepner mentioned that he did not vote, though he received a ballot, because the times' policy will not allow it.

and it got me thinking.. does a ballot unreturned count towards the total? if 25% of the ballots were never returned, would it then be impossible for the hall to elect anybody?

and if not, is not the times policy self-defeating? instead of making news by voting for a player, are they not making news by not voting for a player? if there is no abstention, then a lack of a yes vote is a no vote.

and this, then, might be the source of some of the "no" (or non-"yes") votes for rickey.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 02:22 PM


The Times policy has been in place a while now, and I'm sure the Hall accounts for it.

It's also a good retort to the idea that the New York media machine or somesuch inflates the prospect of New York athletes being enshrined in Halls of Fame.







metirish
Jan 13 2009 02:26 PM


In his NY Times blog Kepner has this to say about Dawson.


]
The New York Times does not allow its writers to vote for the Hall of Fame, but if I could have sent in my ballot, I would have checked Dawson�s name � and not just because of childhood impressions.


it's not sent in so I doubt it's counted either way.







metsmarathon
Jan 13 2009 02:34 PM


from the hall's own rules:

]Any candidate receiving votes on seventy-five percent (75%) of the ballots cast shall be elected to membership in the National Baseball Hall of Fame.


well, that answers my question. thanks.







Centerfield
Jan 13 2009 03:00 PM


I don't know how many more pages this thread needs to continue before you stop mis-stating my position.

="Edgy DC"]I said that stripping people of their vote for being in the minority is awful.


I never said one should be stripped of their vote for being in the minority. Some people elected to keep Rice off their ballot and I have no problem with that. To be clear, my position is the following:

Where voting rights are bestowed upon a select group of educated individuals because of their superior knowledge, if an individual within that group demonstrates that he does not have such superior knowledge, he should be stripped of that privilege to vote.

He should not be stripped of his vote for being in the minority. He should only be stripped if he is stupid (or refuses to abide by the established criteria).

To my understanding, Nobel prizes winners are selected by committees, made up of highly qualified individuals in each field. If, during the selection process, a member of the Physics committee says "Oh, I thought we were selecting psychics", then that guy should be off the committee.

Of course, this rescission of votes for the stupid should only take place where the privilege of voting was bestowed upon them based upon an assumption of superior knowledge. So rights like voting for President, which are not based on merit, should not be stripped for being dumb.

I'm assuming, here, that the Hall gave the vote to writers, and not to fans, because they wanted voters to be educated. I could be wrong. The Hall could come back and say "Nope. We picked the writers because some are smart, some are stupid, and we wanted a good mix of both." In that case, it makes no sense to get rid of the dumb guys.

But if it was the Hall's intent to put this decision in the hands of an educated few, I say get rid of the ones that demonstrate their idiocy.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 03:08 PM


maybe fans should get to pick the writers who get to vote. Rob Neyer deserves a vote over some old guy who thinks a "walk" is what you do to get back to the dugout after you strike out







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 05:50 PM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 16 2009 10:35 AM




Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or not exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.







Gwreck
Jan 13 2009 06:55 PM


="Centerfield":29tslt5o]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:29tslt5o]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.







Nymr83
Jan 13 2009 07:01 PM


he's saying you shouldn't lump any of these guys together and say "they all used" but should instead consider only the evidence against each one.

what were the exact circumstances of McGwire's testimony before Congress? was he subpoenad or did he appear on his own accord?
if the former, i can understand his "i don't wanna talk about" answer which obviously would have come from his lawyer. if the latter he shouldnt have shown up voluntarily if he wasnt there to be honest and answer all questions.







SteveJRogers
Jan 13 2009 07:12 PM


I'm pretty sure they all were subpoenad. Don't forget the Palmerio finger waging, Sosa forgetting that he is fluent in English and Schilling backing down from his original commentary on players who took steroids.

The whole lot of them clearly got instructions from lawyers.







Valadius
Jan 13 2009 07:17 PM


He was subpoenaed:

]Mar 16, 2005 1:18 pm US/Eastern
Mark McGwire To Testify On Steroids
Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig Will Testify
NEW YORK (CBS) ―
Mark McGwire plans to comply with a subpoena and attend Thursday's congressional hearing into steroid use in baseball, The Associated Press has learned.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:27 PM


1) Anyone who doesn't think Rickey belongs in the HoF doesn't understand Rickey's accomplishments and/or is unable to place them in the proper historical context.
2) Anyone who thinks Rickey belongs in the HoF but doesn't vote for him is using his vote for something other than what the vote is for.

Anyone who falls into categories 1 or 2 shouldn't have a vote. CF is correct.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:37 PM


Why is unanimity so important to you?







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:38 PM


Are you addressing me?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:40 PM


Yes, please.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:41 PM


Unanimity is not important to me.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:43 PM


Then please accept a Hall of Fame without it.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 09:45 PM


I do. Please don't bring up topics that have nothing to do with what I posted.







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 09:57 PM


It does not have nothing to do with what you posted.

There is no crime and no damage done by a miniscule minority disagreeing with the mainstream. You want them disenfranchised, which does do harm by forcing a false consensus and chilling independent thought among all voters in all future elections.

And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:00 PM


You clearly have no idea what I want. You are reading what I said and extrapolating it incorrectly.

I shall clarify one more time.

I want the voters to be
1) people who understand the players' on the ballot and their careers
2) people who are able to place them in the proper historical context
3) people who vote "yes" if they think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame
4) people who vote "no" if they don't think the player belongs in the Hall of Fame

Anyone who doesn't fit these criteria should not have a vote.







Elster88
Jan 13 2009 10:01 PM


="Edgy DC":2jwfby5s]And spare me the snotty "Are you addressing me?" bullshit. We're adults.[/quote:2jwfby5s]

Really?







Edgy DC
Jan 13 2009 10:02 PM


Great. Good night.







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 07:59 AM


i think it is perfectly allowable for a voter to have such high standards that rickey henderson does not meet them, provided they consistently apply those standards to their ballot and have a good logical reason for it.

granted, the only remotely logical reason would be something about holding the hall to the same high standards as the first two or three classes of inductees.

and if that's their standard, then good for them. there's no reason that the voters have to be hog-tied to the precedents set by prior votes and voters. if they, for instance, think that the hall of fame voting started to go awry when they lowered their standards for george sisler and willie keeler in 1939, that those guys aren't good enough to share the room with the babe and the big train, and neither is rickey, then that is their right.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:33 AM


="Edgy DC"]Right, it's not the minority that offends, it's the extremely small minority. You assume anybody voting In that tiny block isn't abiding by the established criteria, and needs to be made to account.

I think that's ridiculous. It's doubly ridiculous when your paraphrase of the criteria isn't at all accurate.

And I didn't mis-state your position. There is nothing that qualifies them as being "stupid," or "idiots," or nto exhibiting "superior knowledge," except being in that small minority and exercising their vote.


I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation. In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone. I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking. If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

However, if they have no valid explanation, then they should be punished. Probation perhaps, with another transgression leading to them being removed from the voting committee. This will force the voters to take more care. You won't see as many reporters like the one in Oakland who didn't realize Rickey was on the ballot. You won't see "He deserves to be in, but not first ballot" type votes. And if you do, and this voter repeats such behavior, he should be booted from the committee.

You say that their voting record is insufficient to label them as idiots or insubordinates. I agree. That alone is not enough. That is why you get an explanation. After having heard the Oakland guy's explanation, I think we have enough here to label him "idiot". Not knowing Rickey was on the ballot is negligent to an incredible degree. This information could have been ascertained by:

1. Reading any article on the Hall of Fame candidates this year. (He is a writer after all)
2. Reading his ballot.

By putting him before a committee, you let him know that his behavior is unacceptable. And if it happens again, he will be deemed unfit to vote in the future.

On the other hand, let's assume the writer provides a explanation such as marathon's example. His voting history reflects that he voted for Aaron, Mays and no one else. Then, it's understandable that he didn't vote for Rickey. You and I can disagree with his application of the criteria, but at least he is applying the criteria. And unless the Hall specifies their criteria, they would have to live with such an application. (However, if his voting record showed he voted for Jim Rice, Tommy John and Burt Blylevin, the guy is a fucking fraud and should be booted.)

Your argument seems to be that there is no pattern in which a voter can vote that would justify his removal from the committee, or even an investigation into his criteria. He could come out and say "I only like ballplayers who are Pisces" or "I didn't vote for Rickey because I don't like the way he spells his name." By your argument, that guy should be left alone.

And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate. Secondly, I listed the specific criteria, when you accused me of mis-stating it.

And most importantly, save me the "not at all accurate" garbage.

The criteria are:

1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

If I had said the criteria were shoe size, that would have been "not at all accurate."

Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 08:39 AM


="Gwreck":1mvpbc6m]
="Centerfield":1mvpbc6m]Well, there is more evidence against Clemens and Bonds than against McGwire. As far as I know, McGwire has not been linked to any dealers, we have no packages of HGH being tracked to his house, no bloody gauzes, etc. All of the steroid stink around him arises from evasive testimony given before Congress and his subsequent seclusion.

If I were voting, I'd want to see more than this before I slap a steroid label on him.

Having argued this point many times, I've come to the conclusion that I have no problem if someone uses this to decline to vote for McGwire. Just as long as they make sure to consider the evidence against McGwire, and McGwire only, rather than throw him in with Clemens and Bonds.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

Wait, what? You are ok with people using what exactly to decline to vote for McGwire? But not ok for using that same thing to decline to vote for Clemens or Bonds?

I really can't figure out what position you're taking here.[/quote:1mvpbc6m]

As Namor said, if one is going to decline to vote against McGwire, or Clemens, or Bonds, I would hope they would weigh the specific evidence against each individual rather than casting his name aside as "one of those steroid guys".

If at the end of the day, a voter were to decide that the specific evidence against McGwire (evasive testimony, Canseco's book) were enough to ban him, I would have no problem with that.

Obviously, I have no problem with a voter declining to vote for Clemens or Bonds considering the amount of evidence that exists against those two.







HahnSolo
Jan 14 2009 08:40 AM


Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote. Let's have more voices heard...why is it only the BBWWA? Some in this thread advocated for broadcasters, I agree. Why should Buster Olney have a vote and Gary Cohen not? If you've been broadcasting (radio or TV) for more than 10 years, or whatever limit you want to put on it, you get a vote. So come on down Vin Scully. I'd add internet writers. No vote for Rob Neyer? Boo. Am I sounding like Bill James now? Well, let's bring him and Bob Costas to the party.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 09:07 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM




="Centerfield"]I assume nothing. I'm saying when I see a voting pattern that appears to have no justification, that appears to defy all logic and common sense, I want those guys to offer an explanation.

Actually, that's not what you were initially saying. What you originally said was,

="Centerfield"]Oh, and anyone stupid enough to leave Rickey Henderson off their ballot should have their voting rights rescinded.

You've only softened your stance and complicated your system of bureaucratic review as your original position became untenable.

="Centerfield"]In fact, it's because I don't assume they are not abiding by the criteria that I ask them to explain.

Then you would call everyone in, but no, it's the gross minority that's rounded up.

="Centerfield"]If they have a valid explanation, in the Hall's discretion, then they are left alone. Let me repeat this, if they have a valid reason, they should be left alone.

Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

="Centerfield"]I don't see how this will discourage individuality. I don't see how this will hamper free-thinking.

Then I ask you to think about it some more.

="Centerfield"]If anything, this will give these voters more of a forum to convey their unique positions.

Oh, how generous of you. The cleansing committee is just a forum for free thought. A Parisian salon!

Come on, what professional writer with enough tenure to gain membership in the BBWAA needs a special forum to convey his or her position. It's about persecuting thought and purifying thought.

The description of the punishment is too disheartening to respond to.

="Centerfield"]And finally, you keep bringing up my off-the-cuff statement about accomplishments. First of all, I said it speaking generally when I didn't believe the selection criteria was the focus of our debate.

You wrote it and I disagree with it.

="Centerfield"]1. Player's record - I assume these are statistics, another way of saying "accomplishments"
2. Playing ability - Which could best be measured by looking at his accomplishments.
3. Integrity - Is he a good guy?
4. Sportsmanship - Is he a good guy?
5. Character - Is he a good guy?
6. Contributions to his team - again, accomplishments.

By your own estimation, you're merely half right. You get to meet with the review committee to see if you need to go on probation until you can show yourself to think like the group.

="Centerfield"]Anyway, since we agree on the criteria, I don't see why you keep bringing it up, except as an attempt to somehow undermine my credibility by stating I mis-state the standard.

I don't know that we agree. I bring it up because you mis-stated the criteria, and want to punish others for not abiding by criteria that you couldn't be bothered to get right.

It's also helpful to my argument to make you understand the feeling of vulnerablity that you would seek to place upon voters. I understand you don't want to live under the reign of a pedant. Neither would I. Neither would I want voters to. You were wrong, and you would have been hung by your own system.

It seems obvious (though I guess not), but a democratic system is not designed to generate unamity, but to produce credible decisions by assenting to the freely expressed will of the majority. Take freedom of expression out of the equation, and the credibility is shot, and the whole thing crumbles.







Frayed Knot
Jan 14 2009 09:08 AM


Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 14 2009 10:40 AM




]Rather than taking away voters' rights, I'd like to expand who gets to vote.


They recently did expand things a little. Several of the BP writers now have votes in an attempt to start admitting some "non-traditional" writers.






Personally, I prefer public humiliation of bad voters over kicking them out.







Centerfield
Jan 14 2009 09:47 AM


I can't understand why you keep bringing up ancillary points rather than focusing on the issue.

1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity: I don't know how I can make this any clearer. I don't give a shit about unanimity. Elster doesn't give a shit about unanimity. Distorting our position to discredit it is not productive. I want the select group of voters to be monitored to make sure they are competent and applying the correct criteria. If there is never a unanimous selection into the Hall of Fame, I will care less than Elster, who doesn't care at all.

2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance: My first remark was obviously a throw-away statement meant to express my distaste with those voters. When you proposed a serious challenge to my idea, I gave you a system that was more thought through and less draconian. I went from an idealistic point of view, to a more rational, practical approach when you asked for one.

3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments: Again, sure I wrote accomplishments. And when challenged on it, I gave you a more thorough answer. I see no reason why you continue to bring it up. It was a generalization. You say it is only half-right, but that is only the case if you believe that the six criteria are weighted evenly. In my experience, the accomplishments of a player are far more pertinent to the analysis than his character. Number of hits has been weighed far more than pats on the butt given to teammates.

Secondly, I don't need to go before a review committee because I'm not a voter. If I were a voter, I certainly would get educated on the criteria before submitting my ballot. If I did not, and upon review, demonstrated that I did not know the criteria, I should be dealt with appropriately.

4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters: Sifting through all these other points, I think the crux of our disagreement comes here:

Edgy: Nobody should be called to account for checking a box on a ballot. Again, I would tell them to blow me and blow me hard.

Simply stated, I disagree with you. I think the writers have a duty to be educated and follow the criteria set by the Hall of Fame. I think they should be monitored to make sure this is the case. If they demonstrate they are not so, they should be replaced.

I think this applies to all situations where a select group of individuals, based upon their presumed knowledge or experience, is given the responsibility to make an educated, informed decision based upon the criteria set by an organization.

Admissions officers to Universities should make educated and informed decisions based upon the University's guidelines. Officers who appear to stray from these guidelines should be monitored, and replaced if shown not to be worthy. They should not be allowed to not know a candidate's worthiness ("Oh I didn't read his transcript") or apply their own criteria ("We have enough redheads on campus already"). The same should hold true for the members of the Nobel Price selection committee, corporate settings, any situation where the select group of voters are asked to exhibit superior knowledge and judgment.

Your way promotes free-thinking. My way promotes accountability. We disagree.







Nymr83
Jan 14 2009 10:04 AM


I agree with metsmarathon thats it is ok for a voter to have such high standards that Rickey doesn't meet them, as long as they apply such standards across the board (in which case the last player they should have voted for was likely Tom Seaver... or Ted Williams, because thats how great Rickey was)

I would like to remove the ballot from people who don't use it properly. Properly doesn't mean "vote for who i would have voted for," it means "evaluate each player based on the criteria and decide if they should be in our out" its ok to change your mind on a guy, its not ok to forget to vote, be too lazy to properly reseaech each player on the ballot, or apply different standards to different players.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 10:07 AM


="Centerfield"]1. Ancillary Point: Unanimity:

Henderson was elected. The system worked. There's no need to stamp out dissedent thinking except intolerance.

="Centerfield"]2. Ancillary Point: Softening of my Stance:

In other words, you softened my stance when your original position looks untenable. Why should I not point that out when you change your view and act as if I'm distorting your position, which you now explicitly accuse me of doing? I'm not. I'm responding to what you wrote. Because you move away from it doesn't erase your words and doesn't erase my response.

="Centerfield"]3. Ancillary Point: Accomplishments:

I explain exactly why I bring this up. And even as you claim I shouldn't continue to bring it up because you've (again) moved away from it, you continue to defend it.

Of course you're not a voter. It's an analogy, made to point out what one effect of such a system would be. An asshole with an agenda could toss you out for working with what you think is a most reasonable reading of the criteria.

="Centerfield"]4. The Real Issue: Monitoring Voters:

You don't monitor voters. You debate them.

I think your admissions office metaphor is a fine one, but students are not admitted by a voting body of several hundred, and Hall of Famers (at least the first time up) are not admidded by an appointed panel of a very few. If you submit to the former system, you've got to tolerate differences. Got to.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 10:13 AM


Was watching a SNY roundtable yesterday around 6:30 PM with 4 reporters/ writers/ sportstalk -type folks. Didn't get all the names. They were talking about HOF voting and one guy (didn't get his name) made what I thought was a good point. He said that as some of the older voters retire and no longer vote, they have been replaced by newer, younger voters who have only experienced the more recent eras. As a result, they may have different criteria for selection to the Hall. I just caught the end of it, but I think he was answering the question of why players get votes (like Jim Rice) after years of eligibility.

This makes sense to me. I remember when I thought a player had to have close to, or over, a .300 career BA for consideration for the Hall. But as newer statistics have become available, there are more detailed ways to measure performance. I don't believe in "magic numbers" for automatic election. But if a player/ pitcher is the best (or one of the best) at his position for an extended time that he played, he deserves consideration.
And by that I do mean consideration, not automatic election.

Later







metsmarathon
Jan 14 2009 10:21 AM


i don't necessarily buy that argument. doesn't it seem like the longer you're on the ballot, the more votes you get? do many candidates actually see their percentages move appreciably downward over the 15 years?

i think its a softening of the criteria and an increase in the nostalgia for a given player moreso than looking at the numbers a different way. otherwise, we'd see players drop from near 70% to 20% as routinely as we seem to see the 20% guys rise up into contention.

if i had the time, i'd look into that claim i just made. but i'll let others do the work for me. just this once.







Benjamin Grimm
Jan 14 2009 11:09 AM


]You don't monitor voters. You debate them.


Our elected legislators vote on our behalf. And we do (or should) monitor their votes. And while we can and do debate them, we also can vote them out (or, take away their vote) if we don't feel they're voting properly. In my example, that could me wisely, correctly, or any number of things. But in the case of Hall of Fame voters, they should be qualified; they should have a strong knowledge of what they're doing and a consistent approach.

Should there be no standard at all for Hall of Fame voters? It's not akin to the public voting in a democracy, I wouldn't say.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:15 AM


A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.







Vic Sage
Jan 14 2009 11:36 AM


="Edgy DC":2wrtve2y]A legislator being monitored by his or her constituents is a different thing from the star chamber.[/quote:2wrtve2y]

As long as you keep equating the voting RIGHTS of citizens in a democracy, with the voting PRIVILEGE of a small number of selectors for the HOF (or any other private selection process based on specified criteria), then no, it's not different. It's a constituency (whether citizens in a republic or members of the HOF administraton) monitoring and evaluating the performance of their chosen representatives.

the BBWWA don't have a right to be enfranchised in this process. They'e been granted a privilege. The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes. If you don't agree that such a selection committee should have oversight, then we will need to agree to disagree on that point. If you DO think there should be oversight, then the discussion can shift to what form it should take, without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 11:43 AM


Of course, it's different. Legislators are not electors, they are representatives of a constuency, empowered and disempowered by electors.

The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

If a vote for Jay Bell is an indiscretion that will lead to your investigation and possible disenfranchisement, then his name should not be on the ballot.







MFS62
Jan 14 2009 11:54 AM


="Edgy DC":scjwko15]
The privilege is granted to the members of the BBWAA, not select members of the BBWAA.

[/quote:scjwko15]
Don't think that's exactly true. I believe it is granted to members of the BBWAA who have been covering baseball for at least ten years.

Later







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:01 PM


True enough. (Or sort of true enough. It's BBWAA membership plus 10 years as an active baseball writer that qualifies one.)







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:09 PM


="Edgy DC":gnqufv19]The exercise of that privilege should be monitored in a way that increases accountiblity and, therefore, best possible outcomes.[/quote:gnqufv19]
More importantly, I don't believe hauling people before a review committe for being in the extreme minority ensures the best possible outcomes, but undermines that.

Democratic systems are designed to absorb such votes, and this one does it quite well.







Edgy DC
Jan 14 2009 12:57 PM


="Vic Sage":2ifvditq]...without resorting to inflammatory hyperbole like "star chamber".[/quote:2ifvditq]
If that comes out as uncivil, then please allow me to withdraw it with apologies.



Posted


i'd like to see what the reasoning behind some of the more interesting votes were - like the 6 yeses for mo vaughn and the 2 yeses for jay bell.

at the very least, everybody got greg vaughn right, right?

i'm also curious as to what the reasons are for not voting for either rickey or especially tim raines and bert blyleven.

i think the thing that i'm most interested in seeing from the voters is internal consistency. if a guy voted for jay bell because he was a salt of the earth kind of guy, and didnt vote for rickey because he was a selfish player, then i'm okay with that (sortof), because it is a reasoned response to the judging criteria, wherin that voter has taken the liberty afforded him to weigh one factor far more heavily than another. because the criteria are so broad, nebulous, and essentially qualitative, it is the voter's right to apply his vote as he sees fit.

i may argue with his weighting or reasoning, but at least there's reason applied. even if it's a simple dumb criteria like 'jim rice scared his opponents, and bert blyleven didnt' i can kindof live with it as long as the same criteria is applied evenly on a given ballot. but if you've denied ricky a vote because you don't believe that anybody should get in on their first try, but throw a bone to greg vaughn, well, then you're a fool, perhaps twice over.

if you apply your reasoning evenly, than you can be argued with. and the greater point may even prevail. if the reasoning is not applied evenly, then the choices made are essentially illogical, and it becomes a waste of time to even bother discussing.

i believe, too, that the voters should be voting on who they feel among the eligible were good enough to be in the hall of fame, not how long they should wait until they are enshrined, or by what percentage. that is really not what they are being asked to do, and that is what is frustrating.


Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted


I'm frustrated that Jim Rice is on the inside when Tim Raines had a better career.

Let us lobby the 380 voters who carry the day, not the 20 curiosities.


Guest
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