Frayed Knot wrote: Lefty Specialist wrote: It's really kind of surprising the Yankees are this bad. The thing is though that they built up so much equity early in the season (they were freakin' 45 - 19) that they STILL have the third best record in the AL (barely behind Baltimore & Cleveland) and fifth best in MLB [PHI, LAD] despite playing sub-.400 ball (15 - 25) since June 6th. I wonder what sort of sample size you need for predictive value in 'recent' games versus ones earlier in the year - Looking at two .500 teams on July 1st, is a team that went 10-20 in April, 15-15 in May, and 20-10 in June more likely to finish with a winning record than one that did exactly the opposite?