June Swoon or June Boon? Could be June Doom!

[Centerfield]

I mentioned this in the other thread.  June has the potential to be a brutal month for our Mets.  They entered June with a record of 26-33.  7 games below .500.

In the month of June into early July, they will face:

@Seattle - 3 games
@San Diego - 3 games
St. Louis - 3 games
Atlanta - 3 games
@Cincinnati - 3 games
@Philadelphia - 3 games
Chicago Cubs - 4 games
Philadelphia - 3 games
@Toronto - 3 games
@Atlanta - 4 games

10 series, 32 games against good competition.  We've already started 0-2.  

18-14 is probably as good as we can possibly hope for.  That would put us 3 games under .500, and maybe gives us a puncher's chance the rest of the season.  Our chances are still fairly slim, and I won't mention our first four series coming out of the All-Star Break, but I think if we hit this mark, we're still holding on to some sort of hope.  I think we have no chance of getting anywhere close to this.

16-16 would mean we remain 7 games under, with a month ticked off the calendar.  Our chances to get to a mid-80s win total and grab that third WC is probably not realistic at that point.

Anything worse than that, and I think we can agree that our season is basically over.

For me, I think this is the month we are all put out of our misery.  I think the only reason we have any faint hope is that the schedule has been incredibly kind to us (in terms of competition, not travel).  I think when we face these good teams we'll see how outclassed we are.  I guess the potential mitigating factor could be guys coming back from injury, but I don't think it will be enough to make a difference.

I think we do no better than 13-19.  I think there will be series where we feel lucky to steal a game (like this current one).  We will clearly be sellers going into the All-Star Break.  

[Cowtipper]

Why it could be a summer bummer or a summer stunner, we just can't tell!

[MFS62]

22 minutes ago, Cowtipper said:

Why it could be a summer bummer or a summer stunner, we just can't tell!

Heading into the August Angst and the inevitable September Splat!

Later

[Benjamin Grimm]

I'm hopeful, but not optimistic.

[seawolf17]

So you're saying there's a chance!

[metirish]

Damn, that's a tough month,  18-14 would be good alright,  we aren't great on the road either 

[smg58]

We're a game ahead of the 2024 Mets 60 games in.  We're six games out of a playoff spot, and we're at least competitive with most of the teams ahead of us (not counting the division leaders) in terms of run differential.  We need to be a better team than we've been up to this point, for sure, but hopefully a lot of that will come from guys returning to the lineup.  And hey, we are no longer burdened with high expectations.

[Centerfield]

All of that is true.  My concern is that we just don't have the pitching.  2024 had the good Manaea, Severino, the good David Peterson, and a solid Quintana.  They also had passable fill-in guys like Butto and Megill.

Peralta is solid.  I'm hoping McLean bounces back.  And we hope that Scott continues to develop.  But beyond that we have nothing.    

[Centerfield]

3-3. Not good. Not bad. 
 

But better than I was expecting. The Mets can win the St Louis series. Let’s win 2 of 3. 

[metirish]

At 29-36 and  .446 winning % and with 97 games to go, done with the West coast what realistically do the Mets need to do to have a shot here ? A near .600 winning %?

[Lefty Specialist]

To get to 90 wins, they'd need to go 61-36 the rest of the way., which is .628 ball.  Just don't see that happening.

.A .600 pace gets you to 87 wins, probably not enough.  Since the end of the 12-game losing streak, they've gone 22-20, a .524 pace.  Keep that up and you're looking at roughly an 80-82 record.

[Centerfield]

The Mets have won 7 of their last 10, which is a .700 win percentage.  That will certainly get it done!

The problem is, just before that, they lost 7 of 8, which is a .125 win %.  That's not likely to get us to the postseason.

But just before that, they went on a stretch where they were 10-4 (.714).  Amazing!

But just before that was the 4- stretch that included losing 12 in a row.  (.181)  Not ideal.

But just before that, we were 7-4 (.636)

So yes, the 2026 Mets are little streaky.  

[MFS62]

1 hour ago, Centerfield said:

 

So yes, the 2026 Mets are little streaky.  

I'd call them bi-polar, but streaky works, too.

Later

[ashie62]

So am I. I lost my debit card and did something to my phone where I can't verify anything. I did however renew my SNY

It's gonna take some to fix everything. It's like 1972 without pay phones, oh.

LGM!

 

[Johnny Lunchbucket]

[Fman99]

They're about to win a bunch of games.  You watch (note: I am often wrong)

[Frayed Knot]

That's what's needed, of course, a run that no one sees coming. Something like 27-28 being followed up with 40-15. Or two years ago when the Tigers sold off parts at the deadline and were seven games under .500 after Tarik Skubal got roughed up on August 2nd only to  close out the season 34-17 and won four playoff games.

The problem is that they've put themselves in a position where they Need such a run. But they occasionally do happen.

[Centerfield]

We just had the same week as last week.