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Posted

Bob Nightengale, who is generally nobody's fool, recently wrote that MLB teams still expect Bo Bichette to opt out of his contract at the end of the season.

It's really little more than a filler story, but again, Nightengale doesn't tend to pull stuff out of his ass.  Bichette, took a VERY big average annual salary in exchange for shorter years than the Phils were offering him.  The headline suggests that this would be "bad news" for the Mets but editors write those, and I imagine not a lot of Met-fan folks are seeing the notion that way on June 14.

I imagine Bichette has a better rest of the year ahead of him than what is behind him.  Still, getting $40 million cut from the payroll by letting a guy with backup-shortstop batting numbers walk has to look like the least of the Mets problems right now.

Posted

I would guess Bichette opts out. He leaves a $5MM opt out bonus on the table if he doesn’t. He’ll also be a year older, and though still very young, he won’t be able to sign that long term deal for much longer. Plus if he has a second down year, that ship will have sailed. 
 

But the biggest reason I believe he’s gone is that they will be no hitter available this offseason. I think he will greatly benefit from a bad market. 

Posted

I think the team went into this signing knowing, if not expecting, this to be the case. Him opting out also doesn't prevent the Mets from signing him, maybe for a longer deal but with less money each year.

Or, they can put that $40 million toward Tarik Skubal. 

We don't know what the collective bargaining agreement will lead to, either. He could be taking a pretty big gamble by opting out. 

 

Posted

I agree with that, both for Bichette and Peralta. Of course, both may end up somehow being long-term Mets, but they both seemed like full-year rentals for the glory of 2026. 

Stearns appears to be a guy who likes to make substantial roster changes each season. That hasn't helped the Mets win, and it doesn't help with fan engagement. If this keeps up they may very well lose me.

Posted

It seems that the Mets went into this deal with the thought that it would be a 1 years rental.  Why else would you offer a $5 mil. bonus to opt out after year one?  If your truly wanted him to stay you would offer a $5 mil. bonus not to opt out.  I think this was a quick, emergency, safe facing move once the Mets (Stearns) missed on Kyle Tucker.

I liked landing Bichette, but I didn't like the terms the Mets gave to land him.  Smelled of desperation.

 

Posted

Wanting him to opt out would imply that they had a plan in mind for their 2027 third baseman. Maybe they do, but I'm not sure who that would have been. They hadn't traded Jett Williams yet, but they most likely had already decided that they were willing to do so. Maybe they were thinking Baty or Vientos? I'm dubious about that. But if not them, who else?

Posted

Would some combination of Baty and Vientos and Mauricio and whoever be so much worse than Bichette?

They haven't been this year, despite having generally very little to show for themselves.

Baty plus Vientos plus Mauricio plus $40 million dollars over Bichette?  That's a choice I make very time.

Posted
18 minutes ago, Cowtipper said:

Who in their right mind would opt-in to this team?

I would, because the team you are seeing today is not what is going to be here next year. All the injuries and under performance will all be better -- plus an owner that you know is spending and trying to win. It's a good team that is playing like crap for a variety of reasons. That's much better than being on a team that isn't even trying. 

Posted

It's always next year. Why do we always have to look forward to next year. What about this year. It's always next year. That's basically been the line since, what, 1987?

Posted

No, I didn't miss them. But the consistent mantra in my lifetime has been "next year." Singular examples don't undo the overarching whole. 1999, when I got into baseball, was 27 years ago now. The Mets are of the biggest teams in one of the biggest markets with one of the biggest fan bases, yet we have only 6 examples (I'm not counting 2016 because I see it as a dud) of anything meaningful. Six examples in 27 years. Meanwhile, equally big-market teams, the Yankees and Dodgers, have been to the playoffs 22 times and 17 times in that span, respectively. This team isn't the endearing club of 1962 anymore. It's been around 65 years. It's in a huge market. They should have learned by now some method for consistent winning. Instead, nine times out of 10, it's "til next year." The relying on the cutesie-endearing Marv Throneberry-type stuff to get us by has gotten old.. We have no excuse to be so consistently mediocre anymore. And I think a big reason a lot of stars do so poorly when the come to the Mets, like Bo Bichette, is because psychologically and subconsciously they know that no matter how much they do, no matter how much they try, more than likely it is going to be an overwhelmingly mediocre club in the long run -- and that does weigh on them. 

Old-Timey Member
Posted
17 hours ago, Edgy MD said:

Baty plus Vientos plus Mauricio plus $40 million dollars over Bichette?  That's a choice I make very time.

It all depends on what you do with the $40 million.  Neither Baty nor Vientos nor Mauricio has shown that they should be a regular in the lineup.

Posted
14 minutes ago, Gwreck said:

It all depends on what you do with the $40 million.

Well, if I don't trust myself with $40 million, I don't get involved in the first place.

Baty on his own, while having a very bad season, has out-performed Bichette.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

Baty has a .615 OPS (OPS+ of 74) while Bichette has a .662 OPS (OPS+ of 86).  I don’t see that as outperformance.

Maybe when factoring in the defense it becomes a little closer but it’s hardly clear.  (And that’s even before considering that Bichette’s positional deployment is suboptimal because the team has no other option at short). 

—-

I am surprised to hear that Bichette would opt out.  Even factoring in the $5M opt-out bonus, would he get >$79M over the next two years on the open market?  I am dubious.  This sure seems like a situation in which Bichette is better suited to exercising his option for 2027 with an eye towards FA after that year (he has the opt-out after each year).

Old-Timey Member
Posted

I think that included in that mix of possible third basemen to replace Bo was prospect Jacob Reimer(a truer third baseman than Williams).  But he seems to have hit a wall this year.

Later

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