Monday DH Scenarios

[batmagadanleadoff]

Also, an interesting idea in the reader comments to that article: let the #1 seed choose their opponent:





Mike N.

It's ridiculous that the “reward” for being the 1 seed is having to face the winner of the two hottest teams, whereas the 2 seed gets either an awful division winner or the team with the worst record in the whole field. MLB needs to rethink their bracket or at least re-seed after the wild card round.

Like







@Mike N. Everything should be reseeded after the wild card round. Or, up the intrigue and let the #1 seed choose their opponent of the available teams.

Edited September 26, 2024 by Guest

[Chad ochoseis]

It was odd explaining to my non- Mets fan friend that it makes no difference whether the Mets go into Monday even with the Braves, one game behind, or two games behind. And similarly, it makes no difference whether the Mets are one game ahead or two games ahead.

[metirish]

[Chad ochoseis]

It's smart. They can pitch Sale against KC, win, and root for the Brewers. Or they can pitch Sale against the Mets and not have to scoreboard watch. I'm surprised the Mets aren't saving Manaea.

[ashie62]

I wish I had studied Calculus this hard



Personally I liked 4 divisions with the winners moving forward

[Lefty Specialist]

Mets control their destiny- and Milwaukee is tuning up for the playoffs. Get the wins day by day. I'm OK with Manaea pitching. If he does well it's more pressure on the Braves and DBacks.



If the Braves are really saving Sale for Monday, I wonder how he pitches on 11 days rest. He last pitched on September 19.

[rchurch314]

Lefty Specialist wrote: Mets control their destiny- and Milwaukee is tuning up for the playoffs. Get the wins day by day. I'm OK with Manaea pitching. If he does well it's more pressure on the Braves and DBacks. If the Braves are really saving Sale for Monday, I wonder how he pitches on 11 days rest. He last pitched on September 19.

All of them control their own destiny.



I say it is dumb to save Sale. You need wins, and whoever pitches today can pitch game 2 of the WC series. But sure. Lots more clarity after tonight's games.

[Benjamin Grimm]

I think (with a seat-of-the-pants count) that 22 of the 64 possibilities will be eliminated from that chart on the previous page.

[Gwreck]

A lot of scenarios that would result in the games on Monday being cancelled or not mattering just went off the board.

[TABLE]
[TR]

[TH]Mets[/th]	[TH]Diamondbacks[/th]	[TH]Braves[/th]	[TH]Scenario[/th]

[metirish]

[Gwreck]

And some of the lesser scenarios gone with the Diamondbacks loss:

[TABLE]
[TR]

[TH]Mets[/th]	[TH]Diamondbacks[/th]	[TH]Braves[/th]	[TH]Scenario[/th]

Edited September 27, 2024 by Guest

[Centerfield]

Braves aren't losing this weekend.



Mets only hope is the DBacks collapse.



We'll need two on Monday.

[Centerfield]

So now.



If the Mets win and DBacks lose, we are in.



If the Mets win and DBacks win, the Mets need one win on Monday.



If the Mets lose tomorrow, and the DBacks lose, they'll need one game on Monday.



If the Mets lose and the DBacks win, the Mets will need to win both games on Monday.



So for our purposes, it's better if the Braves win tomorrow so they have nothing to play for on Monday. Is that right?

[Gwreck]

Heading into Sunday:

[TABLE]
[TR]

[TH]Mets[/th]	[TH]Diamondbacks[/th]	[TH]Braves[/th]	[TH]Scenario[/th]

[Chad ochoseis]

I was working on this exact table just as you posted it. Basically, the Mets' magic number vs the Diamondbacks is 2, and the Braves' magic number vs the Diamondbacks is 1.



For the Mets and Diamondbacks win, Braves lose scenario, the Mets and Braves are both in if they split the DH. Otherwise, it's the Diamondbacks and whoever sweeps.

[Fman99]

I wonder, in a scenario where the Monday DH only matters for seeding, would they still drag the Mets all the way to ATL just to determine that? Or would they use tiebreaker scenarios and give those teams Monday off?

[metirish]

[batmagadanleadoff]

https://x.com/AnthonyDiComo/status/1840220383976243350

Yeah. The Mets still control their own destiny. If they win two of three, they're in. If the DBacks lose today, they only have to win one of three. And in a worst case scenario where the Mets lose today and the DBacks win, they could still get in by winning two games tomorrow.

[Johnny Lunchbucket]

Another signal that there's too many teams in the playoffs