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Frayed Knot

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Everything posted by Frayed Knot

  1. Frayed Knot
    =metirish post_id=205661 time=1758891357 user_id=72] I'm dreading this series, they love beating the Mets , hopefully lots of Mets fans down there
  2. Frayed Knot
    At the moment (subject to change, obviously) the AL 1st round match-ups are: Yanx v BoSox; Tigers v Guardians
  3. Frayed Knot
    =Gwreck post_id=205647 time=1758866172 user_id=56] How are you calculating the possibility of a Mets sweep of Miami at 12.5%?
  4. Frayed Knot
    Ohtani hit #54 this afternoon.
  5. Frayed Knot
    So the Reds lost two of three, and the Snakes look like they're about to lose two of three. It would be real boost to the campaign here if we didn't follow them into that same rabbit hole.
  6. Frayed Knot
    My quickie calculations have us at a 63% (roughly 5 of 8) chance of securing the #3 WC slot. First time it's been over 50/50 this week. If the Mets go 3-0 they win regardless of what the other teams do: so that carries a 12.5% chance of happening If the Mets go 2-1 they secure the spot unless the Reds go 3-0: 32.8% probability If the Mets go 1-2 over the weekend they secure a spot only if the Reds go 1-2 or 0-3 AND the DBacks don't sweep: 17% If the Mets go 0-3 they advance only if the Reds get swept AND the DBacks lose at least twice: 0.8% 12.5 + 32.8 + 17 + 0.8 = 63.1%
  7. Frayed Knot
    For those not watching: a HR-stealing catch for out #2 by Noelvi Marte in RF, quickly followed by a more routine one for the final out.
  8. Frayed Knot
    Mets Reds: -1 Diamondbacks -2 3 games to go
  9. Frayed Knot
    Big time bad luck on the first AB ... somewhat good luck on the second.
  10. Frayed Knot
    That could be a season-saving catch for the Reds!! Reds Win!!
  11. Frayed Knot
    Good bullpenning tonight all around ... at least so far.
  12. Frayed Knot
    In the words of the great English philosopher Richard Starkey, "Got to pay your dues if you want to sing the blues / and you know it don't come easy"
  13. Frayed Knot
    With even a mediocre Cub defense tonight, this is an 11-2 game.
  14. Frayed Knot
    Tigers are up 4-2 with the bottom fo the 9th coming up in Cleveland, desperately trying for their first win since July. OK, not July, but their 6th in September against 15 losses.
  15. Frayed Knot
    Quick, pull McLean now so you can bring him back Sunday if needed. (j/k)
  16. Frayed Knot
    The only out this inning is the Vientos bullet/diving catch. let the record show I posted that prior to the Taylor GO
  17. Frayed Knot
    The Dodgers used both Kershaw and Roki Sasaki in relief during Wednesday's game. Probably part out of necessity (they still have to stay ahead of SDP) and part potential playoff prep. Mariners clinched the AL West, first time since 2001, behind HRs #59 & #60 from Cal Raleigh Yanx won again, Blue Jays lost again. Tied for 1st AL East w/4 to go. Jays hold tie-breaker. Tigers, losers to Cleveland again, currently one up on Astros for final AL WC
  18. Frayed Knot
    btw, the CIN/PIT game on Thursday is a 12:40 start and even the ARZ/LAD tilt is a rare day game in Phoenix (3:40 our time) so both those games will be over before ours even starts as we're back to 7:40 first pitch and local TV tomorrow.
  19. Frayed Knot
    K to start B 11 - Will Benson hitting: Walk, 1st & 2nd, 1 out - Matt McLain: FO, no runners advance - TJ Freidl as the Reds last hope: BB (from a 1-2 count), bases loaded - Noelvi Marte as the new best last hope: GO TO 3RD Pirates Win!!!!
  20. Frayed Knot
    Leadoff double for the Bucs scores a run as the batter and ghost runner switch places/ And then the new runner gets doubled off 2nd on a liner to 2B 4-3 Pirates but 2 out/bases empty. Going to bottom 11, P 4 - R 3
  21. Frayed Knot
    - Spenser Steer -- K - Elly De La Cruz -- Single, 1st & 2nd, 2 outs K ... and they're going to the 11th
  22. Frayed Knot
    B10: Mureta in to pitch - Noelvi Marte -- Single, 1st & 3rd - Gavin Lux -- Sac Fly, Tie Game, runner on 1st, 1 out
  23. Frayed Knot
    Sounds right.
  24. Frayed Knot
    - a WP to the leadoff hitter sends the ghost runner to 3rd, but a foul pop-up fails to score him - RBI 2B - K - GO So just the one run. Often that's not enough in this era.
  25. Frayed Knot
    Followed by Single - K - K Going to the clown car rules. Reds two runs tonight: inside-the-park HR (8th), HR (9th)
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