Frayed Knot

The idea that we're going to sign him at some price and length is certainly reasonable but the presumed inevitability of it begs the question of, then why not now or even why hasn't it already happened. And it of course still could. Just because they hit an arb number doesn't mean they can't come up with something longer that we'll hear about between now and opening day. But if nothing happens prior to the end of the '23 season then Pete is looking at complete free agency just a year away which provides all kinds of reasons for a player to NOT sign a L-T deal while also giving the team a slightly larger disincentive to commit a player will have already hit 30 y/o, especially one who is limited to the one position on the field (two if you want to treat 1B & DH as interchangeable) where it's easiest to find a bat. Another potential comp is Freddie Freeman whom the Braves famously allowed to walk away despite coming off four straight top-10 MVP seasons (including one 1st) and a WS title. Now he was turning 32 as he hit FA-gency, not 30, so the comp isn't exact and Atlanta had already squeezed 11 full seasons plus a cup of coffee year (he debuted in late 2010 a few days prior to turning 21) out of him to that point. His new deal with LA will still have a few years left by the time Pete can leave on his own so we likely won't know by then if Freddie turns out to be a good long term signing by the Dodgers or more a wishful thinking one.

Just to stipulate, the 'Pete Alonso Conundrum' is neither a lost Robert Ludlum book, nor is it the band that opened for BTO on their western Canada tour back in the '80s The question, of course, is when/whether the team should stop paying him year by year and plunge into a long term contract. The comp that keeps popping into my head, maybe because it serves as the cautionary tale, is Ryan Howard. Both are large, slugging 1st baseman who reached the majors in their mid-20s Pete did get a slight jump on Howard by playing a full season at age 24 where RH was just getting his feet wet (39 ML ABs) but Howard quickly jumped to higher peak seasons. [td]AGE[/td][td]Ryan Howard[/td][td]OPS+[/td][td]Pete Alsonso[/td][td]OPS+[/td][td]24[/td][td]39 ABs[/td][td]122[/td][td]ROY-1, MVP-7[/td][td]147[/td][td]25[/td][td]88 G, ROY-1[/td][td]133[/td][td]Covid Season[/td][td]122[/td][td]26[/td][td]MVP-1[/td][td]167[/td][td][/td][td]133[/td][td]27[/td][td]MVP-5[/td][td]145[/td][td]MVP-8[/td][td]146[/td][td]28[/td][td]MVP-2[/td][td]125[/td][td]MVP-17[/td][td]124[/td][td]29[/td][td]MVP-3[/td][td]141[/td][td]-----[/td][td]---[/td][td]30[/td][td]MVP-10[/td][td]127[/td][td]-----[/td][td]---[/td][td]31[/td][td]MVP-10[/td][td]126[/td][td]-----[/td][td]---[/td][td]32[/td][td]71 G[/td][td]91[/td][td]-----[/td][td]---[/td][td]33[/td][td]80 G[/td][td]115[/td][td]-----[/td][td]---[/td][td]34[/td][td]153 G[/td][td]92[/td][td]-----[/td][td]---[/td][td]35[/td][td]129 G[/td][td]96[/td][td]-----[/td][td]---[/td][td]36[/td][td]112 G[/td][td]85[/td][td]-----[/td][td]---[/td] The mistake the Phillies made, and I remember thinking this at the time, is that by the time they signed Howard to a multi-year deal he was already into his early 30s and in what turned out to be the start to a significant decline in both output and availability. Had he been with the Braves (then or now) they would have wished him well and immediately set off looking for a replacement. Of course had Pete come up with the Braves they probably would have signed him long-term coming off his rookie season (or maybe while still in the middle of it) but the Mets haven't shown that they buy into that philosophy and certainly weren't going to do it in the midst of the Wilpon/Cohen transitional mess. Alonso becomes a FA the winter he'll turn 30 following the '24 season. Given the length of contracts now in vogue it'll be tough NOT to sign him into his late '30s and we know that the track record of aging sluggers in the steroid testing era, even among the elites (Pujols, Cabrera) isn't a pretty one. If you want to pick another slugging comp, Judge, with an MVP plus two other top fives under his belt, just signed for 9 years starting at age 31. Be interesting to see how that one turns out. So I guess what I'm asking here is, what's your plan Stan?

There's an old line about how the small guy has to prove he can play while the big guy has to prove he can't. So, yeah, particularly when they're in the early stages of of rating talent, the smaller ones really need to stand out in order get selected. With your friend's kid, if he shines in JuCo maybe that gets him to a bigger school which, if he continues to improve, makes him a draft pick even if he never gets any bigger. Jett obviously has enough skills and potential to not just get drafted but make the top half of the 1st round. Do that and they stop caring how tall you are.

What's his non porn name?

****, I'm not going to be in Flowood until January!

Saw it a while back, probably shortly after its initial release. Probably more notable for JK Simmons' Oscar performance -- and he was a badass -- than as a great film. Kind of liked the concept of the war of wills between student and teacher but, yeah, the execution of it was at times a bit tough to buy. And the backstory of the dummer's personal life and how no one around him could fathom his drive and level of devotion to his craft was, IIRC, just sort of eh.

Not even a little bit.

I'm reluctant to visit Progressive Field out of fear of running into Flo

Yeah, that metal supply company building was a pre-existing structure with landmark (or something akin to it) status so the stadium was built around it. So where as you'd normally set home plate where you want it and adjust everything around that, in this case everything radiated out from the corner of the building which, because it's not square to the field, doubles as the left-field pole.