I went with 3. If I'm much further back than that, I don't want to pin my hopes on "well, if the Braves start losing and the Diamondbacks get sunstroke and Prince Fielder gets traded to the Padres and Tony LaRussa starts batting his pitchers leadoff, then maybe we can sneak in to the wild card and get whupped by the Giants in the first round". I'd rather trade today's chips and have the best team in the league two or three years from now. In old pool parlance, I think that makes me a non-TITTS man. I'm more of a LEGGY (Let 'Em Go, Get Younger) kind of guy. I'm curious, Edgy. Why 1.75 as the exponent? There are a lot of other variables here - do I anticipate my team (or other teams) strengthening later in the year because of players coming back from injury? Do I anticipate my team weakening because some guys are playing over their heads? How much am I getting for my tradeable chips? Etc. Etc. Etc.