Chad ochoseis

Late to this party, but it looks like fun. Jeff Conine?

About five minutes in, at the end of the opening scene, you'll see a gray haired woman say "It was a wonderful affair, and I've never seen so many judges in all my life." In real life, she's the significant other of a Crane Pooler .

https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/guardians-pitchers-emmanuel-clase-and-luis-ortiz-are-indicted-on-gambling-charges Closer Emmanuel Clase and meh starter Luis Ortiz indicted on gambling charges, including intentionally throwing out of the strike zone to fix the outcomes of proposition bets. Indictment is in federal court in New York. Don't know why there and not Ohio, but apparently the Eastern District of New York has been aggressive in pursuing illegal sports gambling.

Parts are in French and parts are in English, depending on who they're talking to, and Vladimir Guerrero speaks only Spanish (Pedro speaks in English in the film). It would have made sense if they just made one version that had subtitles in the opposite language regardless, but they didn't do that. I saw the version where subtitles were in English. Omar was brilliant at doing more with less. He just ran into problems when he had to do more with more.

Got to be Wall Street. Famous the world over, exciting to watch, the best at what it does, and most likable when watched from a distance. What is the Tom Seaver of Shakespeare's plays?

I saw this at a film festival in Montreal a couple of weeks ago and I believe it's coming out on Netflix in the US this week. A good documentary that asks a good question. A whole lot of love for Montreal from Pedro, as well as Larry Walker, Felipe Alou, and Vlad Guerrero. Jeffrey Loria and his stepson/henchman David Samson agree to appear, and it's puzzling as to why, because they come off as absolute douchebags and possibly the most likely answer to the titular question. It's clear that they went in knowing nothing at all about how to market baseball and, in particular, how to market it in Montreal. The consortium of Montreal businessmen who owned the club before Loria come in for some criticism as well, though some of the onus goes to MLB itself for not knowing how to deal with an ownership group without a designated leader. As usual, luck comes in for some blame as well, and in particular the absolute **** luck of the Expos being the best team in baseball during the one year of their existence when a strike cancelled the World Series. But in the end, it was probably economics that killed the Expos. Montreal can compete with the rest of North America because it's the only game in town if you're French speaking and want to live in a major city where your own cultural touchpoints are available. And it's a great place as far as food, culture, cleanliness, safety, green space, and all the other things that make a city worthwhile. But what it doesn't have is money. Mississippi is the poorest state in the US, and Quebec's per capita GDP is 12% below Mississippi's. It's a closed economy, and as major league salaries have gone from high to higher to astronomical, there's no way a local ownership group can keep up with the US or even the rest of Canada.

Frayed Knot wrote: Tigers lose. Guardians win AL Central The biggest comeback in the history of baseball. No team had ever come in first in its division or its league after being 15 1/2 games out. But since the wild cards have rendered division championships almost meaningless, the upshot is that the Guardians get to play three games at home instead of two. And the comeback is met with a collective shrug.

I was trying to defend Mendoza a couple of days ago, but I don't understand this at all. And meantime the Reds are leaving the door wide open. Anyone left on this site who lives in Queens? Start warming up. You may be needed. OE...yeah, yeah. They're not in Queens today.

This time last year, we were talking about him as Manager of the Year. He didn't suddenly get stupid over the winter. There were some decisions I didn't agree with, but that's going to happen with any manager. The pitching choices would have looked a lot better if we'd had better pitchers. But I don't think firing Mendoza is going to help the team any more than firing Showalter, Rojas, Calloway, or Collins did. I think the managerial revolving door may be the problem. It's hard to make good decisions with an axe hanging over your head. But I agree this team is a lot dumber than last year's team was. Success aside, last year's team was fun to root for because it looked like the LOLMets era had ended. They got out-talented by the Dodgers, but they didn't get out-thought by anyone. This year, the entire club's baseball IQ seems to have dropped. I haven't had a chance to watch much. It's been a busy spring and summer. But I've been asking myself just how good of a pickup Soto was. He's put up offensive numbers exactly as expected, maybe even better. But he's awful in right field, and it hurt that when Taylor was hurt or benched we didn't have a great center fielder to pick him up. He doesn't say much to the press so it's hard to gauge his personality, but he got pouty when he got off to a slow start. And I don't recall Gary or Ron ever saying "Wow, what a smart move by Soto!" And, yeah, pitching. We didn't get hit too hard by injuries this year, but losing Senga (followed by watching him stink up the joint) was a tough blow.

Whoa. Since the order of victories doesn't matter, there are effectively 64 possible outcomes. Each of the three teams has four possible outcomes - they win 0, 1, 2, or 3 games. 4³= 64. Of those, There are 16 combinations where the Mets win 3, and the Mets clinch in all There are 16 combinations where the Mets win 2. The only scenarios where the Mets don't clinch are the four where the Reds win 3 (and the DBacks win 0, 1, 2, or 3). That leaves 12 where the Mets clinch. 16 combinations where the Mets win 1. Of those, the Mets clinch where the Reds win 1 or 0 and the DBacks win 0, 1, or 2. That's 6 combinations. Where the Mets win 0, they only win the WC if the Reds also win 0 and the DBacks win 0 or 1. That's 2 combinations. So, out of 64, 16+12+6+2 = 36 where the Mets win the WC. So, if we assume 50-50 for each win, that's a 56.25% probability. If we assume that each team has a slightly higher probability of winning because they'll be more willing to use rather than rest better players, or simply that in the Mets' case, they're playing a weaker team, that favors the status quo and increases the probability that the Mets win the WC. Not showing work on that, but picture the extreme cases where the win probabilities were 0 or 100%. Those would guarantee the status quo.

Hope the other guys play crappier isn't a great strategy, but it works sometimes.

[bIGPURPLE]Juan Solo strikes again![/bIGPURPLE]

Am I the only one on the planet who is on Team Karen here? Looking at the whole film, this wasn't a scrum. The ball landed in front of Karen. Nobody was anywhere near her, so she bent down to pick it up, and Dad darted from about 15 seats away to grab the ball from her. She overreacted a bit, but nothing is as simple as it seems. There isn't any more clear video available via a Google search because everyone loves a good hero/villain story, but this one isn't bad. https://www.reddit.com/r/baseball/s/JPXJkEYa9Y

Bummer's done for the night. Next comes Ennui, Depression, Quiet Desperation, and Rock Bottom.

Cookie Carrasco is probably a stellar human being and has a great comeback story, but he's stunk up several stadiums over the past seven years and I puzzle over how he's still in organized baseball.

And all of a sudden Woodruff looks unhittable.

I get none of the clues. But Skip Lockwood saved some games. (OE - I see he was already guessed)

In the middle of a work trip that involved flights on Monday, Tuesday, and this morning, and I'm catching an early flight tomorrow from O'Hare to Greensboro, NC. The Cyclones are in town, so I'm going to see them play the Greensboro Grasshoppers at First National Bank Field before catching another flight Saturday morning. I can use some advice on how to depressurize my ears, and also some thoughts on the park if anyone's ever been there.

Guy makes how many million dollars per year and he's never been measured for a suit?

Carlos Gomez was the high ceiling guy we gave up to get Johan.

Guessing everyone involved or just who came to the Mets? I think we sent Ramon Castro to the White Sox in 2009.

I can't think of a trade we made with the Rox since we sent them Kaz Matsui in 2008.

There's been some Met-Phillie movement, but I think it's mainly FA and waivers. I don't think we've made an actual trade with them in a long time.

Orioles draft catcher Ike Irish in the first round who, in addition to being a shoe-in for the All Country Team, will be the first major leaguer in history with the initials I.I. if he makes the bigs.

A bit of math geek-out follows. The Mets are batting .245 (639 for 2609) on the season, and .215 with RISP. I'd prefer to work with OBP and not BA, but I couldn't find their OBP with RISP. I also couldn't find the number of at-bats they've had with RISP, but on average, about 24% of ABs come with RISP. So, figure in rough terms that 626 at bats have been with RISP and the Mets have gotten 134 hits. On average, if the Mets' true overall BA is .245, you'd expect them to get 153 hits in 626 at-bats. Using some standard mathematical assumptions, this is distributed normally (i.e. according to a bell curve) with a standard deviation of 10.76. We're assuming 134 hits, or 19 fewer than expected, or about 1.77 standard deviations below average. There would be about a 4% chance of that happening by luck alone. 5% is about where statisticians start considering that something didn't occur by luck alone. I'm oversimplifying by avoiding issues like sampling error, but this is about where we'd conclude that it isn't just bad luck, and we have enough of a sample to say that yes, there's a real problem here. Not that I know what to do about it. Or that anything is certain. Things with 4% probabilities of occurring do happen by dumb luck sometimes.