Predict The Mets '16

[bmfc1]

Record.
NL East Finish.
How far they'll go in the playoffs, if anywhere.

[Gwreck]

94-68
1st place, NL East
Win WS

Edit: 94 wins is still the prediction. Just forgot how to subtract from 162.

Edited March 31, 2016 by Guest

[Lefty Specialist]

Sorry to say, 84-78, 2nd place, miss the playoffs.

Starters will be fine, but they'll be done in by a weak offense and an underperforming bullpen. Washington will come out firing on all cylinders and put it away. Dusty Baker is no Matt Williams. Mets won't sneak up on anyone this year.

Urination will be frequent, however.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Put me down for 93-69, N.L. East Champs.

The playoffs are, in many ways, a crapshoot, so I might as well tilt towards optimism and say they'll win the World Series.

[TransMonk]

This is the era to go big or go home.

94-68
NL East Champions
World Champions

[Ceetar]

I want to temper expectations because things go wrong,but fuck it, they're set up pretty nicely here.

101-61
NL East dominators
World Series champs in 6.

[Guest John Cougar Lunchbucket]

I'd like to be more optimistic but I'm filled with dread.

I have to be honest, I know everyone was rooting for a Cespedes deal but I don't like him in center field one bit nor do I like the alternative of sitting Conforto as often as we might. I'm rooting in the meantime for guys like Doodoo and dArnaud but they're anything but locks: How they go could make the ultimate difference. Walker's another guy I don't trust yet, but less concerned with Mookie Dilson ready to take over. Cabrera? Who knows. Wright? Good luck. Grandy? Love his attitude, worried about his advancing age.

Pitching? Love Syndergaard, consider him a CY candidate right now, and I think deGrom is swell. Harvey's got great ability obv., but had a very bad spring and I feel like his state of mind isn't right. I don't trust Matz yet, and I think his girlfriend is weird. I'd put him in the same maybe/maybe not category as Duda and dArnaud. Colon gets, and I suppose, deserves, a lot of credit for a guy with as high an ERA and hits allowed as he surrenders, but those nights where he just doesn't have it are going to be more frequent. A midseason Wheeler delivery would do wonders for us.

I'm also constitutionally incapable of predicting bad things so we somehow arrive at the line 90-72 with a playoff spot before the pitching steps up and we go All. The. Way.

[Benjamin Grimm]

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: I have to be honest, I know everyone was rooting for a Cespedes deal but I don't like him in center field one bit nor do I like the alternative of sitting Conforto as often as we might.

Is it too far outside the box to consider Conforto in center and Cespedes in left? I know that either way you have one outfielder playing out of position, but maybe Conforto is better at adapting to center than Cespedes is. Spring training would have been a good time to try to find out.

[Ceetar]

Benjamin Grimm wrote: John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: I have to be honest, I know everyone was rooting for a Cespedes deal but I don't like him in center field one bit nor do I like the alternative of sitting Conforto as often as we might. Is it too far outside the box to consider Conforto in center and Cespedes in left? I know that either way you have one outfielder playing out of position, but maybe Conforto is better at adapting to center than Cespedes is. Spring training would have been a good time to try to find out.

I think the conventional wisdom is we're not even sure Conforto is a good LFer (And that play in the World Series might've been party on him too) never mind center.

Hell, we're not even sure if he can hit lefties.

[Guest d'Kong76]

99-63...
[fimg=200:30edrtbl]http://us.hellomagazine.com/imagenes/cuisine/2013012810924/valentines-day-champagne-taittinger/0-55-670/champagne--z.jpg[/fimg:30edrtbl]

[TransMonk]

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: I'd like to be more optimistic but I'm filled with dread. I have to be honest, I know everyone was rooting for a Cespedes deal but I don't like him in center field one bit nor do I like the alternative of sitting Conforto as often as we might. I'm rooting in the meantime for guys like Doodoo and dArnaud but they're anything but locks: How they go could make the ultimate difference. Walker's another guy I don't trust yet, but less concerned with Mookie Dilson ready to take over. Cabrera? Who knows. Wright? Good luck. Grandy? Love his attitude, worried about his advancing age. Pitching? Love Syndergaard, consider him a CY candidate right now, and I think deGrom is swell. Harvey's got great ability obv., but had a very bad spring and I feel like his state of mind isn't right. I don't trust Matz yet, and I think his girlfriend is weird. I'd put him in the same maybe/maybe not category as Duda and dArnaud. Colon gets, and I suppose, deserves, a lot of credit for a guy with as high an ERA and hits allowed as he surrenders, but those nights where he just doesn't have it are going to be more frequent. A midseason Wheeler delivery would do wonders for us. I'm also constitutionally incapable of predicting bad things so we somehow arrive at the line 90-72 with a playoff spot before the pitching steps up and we go All. The. Way.

I tend to agree with most of this (tho, I like Walker much more than Murph and consider losing Niese addition by subtraction).

Yes, there are question marks and I expect the Nats to be better than last year. But I also think ownership and management is as "all in" as they have been lately and maybe as much as they are ever going to get. I believe that if the 2016 Mets have holes in July, an attempt will be made to fill them.

[Guest John Cougar Lunchbucket]

You know, if Zimmo has it in him to take one more step things look a lot better to me. Would be nice to have the flexibility to trade Grandy or Laggy or DeAza if all my outfield fears come to roost.

[bmfc1]

94-68
1st Place
World Champions

[ashie62]

100-62 WS Champions

Matt Reynolds ROY

Edited March 31, 2016 by Guest

[G-Fafif]

I'm, what, the fourth 'Pooler to predict...

94-68
National League East champs.
World Series winners.

Good company to be in if we're all on the nose.

Edited March 31, 2016 by Guest

[Guest d'Kong76]

You need a tie breaker: What Met scores the WS clinching run?

[Vic Sage]

88-74
2nd place NL East,
NL wildcard,
lose in LCS

I'm more sanguine than Bucket about Cespedes in CF. I didn't mind what i saw from him there last year and have no reason to think he'll be worse and every reason to think he'll be better. And while he is unlikely to hit like he did here last year, he'll hit enough to be helpful. And I think Conforto will get more ABs against LHP than we may think, particularly as the season progresses and Grandy wears down, and his minor league numbers show no reason why he wouldn't be able to hit them. I have high hopes for him.

The rest of the lineup, however, leaves me with great concerns:
-Grandy is getting old and is likely to regress;
-Wright looks like he'll never be the same (e.g., Mattingly, in his later years);
-Duda will continue to be a boom and bust contributor who can hurt us for weeks at a time;
-Walker is a mediocrity who can't hit lefties;
-"mediocre" is Cabrera's best case scenario; and
-d'Arnaud hasn't convinced me he can play a full season.

Yes, the rotation will probably be fine, maybe even great, but the bullpen is loaded with question marks and the bench doesn't inspire much confidence either. If Harvey, deGrom and Thor all have solid, healthy seasons, we'll be a competitive and winning team, but those guys may not be enough to overcome a bad defense, a lack of speed and depth, an inconsistent offense and a potentially shaky pen.

[dgwphotography]

90-72
Second Place
Wild Card
World Champions

[Gwreck]

d'Kong76 wrote: You need a tie breaker: What Met scores the WS clinching run?

Neil Walker

[G-Fafif]

d'Kong76 wrote: You need a tie breaker: What Met scores the WS clinching run?

Dilson Herrera.

[Frayed Knot]

Based on recent ST results, they'll go 0-162 ... and miss the playoffs.

[MFS62]

If I could predict the future, I would be in Las Vegas winning millions.
But, if I must:
Terry Collins will get fed up with David Wright missing games, Harvey not being able to piss right, and Cespedes not hustling. He will snap, punch out a snarky writer (the crystal ball is unclear - most likely one from the Post) and retire.
Wally Backman will replace him as manager.

The Mets finish second, make the wild card, get to the World Series, and beat Houston in the World Series, one game going 16 innings.
The rest is mere details.

Later

[Theoldmole]

95-67, first place, all the way to World Champs.

[G-Fafif]

Bump

[Guest d'Kong76]

I was off a mere dozen games.

[Gwreck]

Congrats to Vic Sage, who was pretty darn close about the record. Fortunately he was wrong about Walker and Cabrera though!

[Centerfield]

There were lots to predicted the Wild Card.

Lots of others who predicted WS Champions, who when we are all sipping champagne, will argue that this particular prediction meant more than regular season record.

[TransMonk]

I had predicted (expected) 84 wins in '15 (they won 90 in actuality) and 94 wins in '16 (they won 87 in actuality). So, for the two years combined, the Mets are failing my expectations by one game.

They can more than make up for that one game with the one they play on Wednesday.

[MFS62]

I predicted the Mets finishing second and getting the wild card. But I didn't predict the number of wins.

Later

[Zvon]

I'm sure I would have said 100 wins. Like I do every year.

[fimg=400:11epo5fs]https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/A0Esbtpy0-iw_qC5XYq0AQA_IrlFg_WvZmNjXmSQep1jMHBJQEklH54rwif8IVgRHnWO9jsQ0uS3zwpl4ZTJakv_Mfdde64YevZZnyFXV7YVZ-rObf-TFnKoQU5mF4amf5xdYgxIQY7p7L1DVFDfp46dwb5Hb3QA7j1xpqwt9uA9smPWjCyEFpFMhvZF1tbOCOwtf1bo65daXHO2r749EZXlqrCNDq9bmZPb2K8yXfHdp_mfwb32mlErm3DjZH2iY-0zn5TL9f8niAyFBC0VvwNuYEFftd_75BmpUNUnR0WGY92BWHXeSH2zaR3a2Rni7nJqti_gYlk4WQiwT3SvNCSOMF_sDmXYGr5rdstjdAskT9tAtqUdJB4QkaN4lZNZtTVEJQlep2VbbpLuTxJpJwFgfkmkxViJMW_HAPOzbP5ar2ezxNZCAwK3N5DUQMLxzro-TFscXOsDgFXVE98lK55tbNPEctggJUWaK2x6nS60Hgpw_swCZP2kweyjCIuApBp8YDMNk97ZeODV1FMgUohRb2tlIQUd5tFhACbKe8jAqiPLHFz-KO2NzrdHfdM2P-43X2RsLEZMVZT-fdHCKmCovgZX0DzUms-KLCzb-ikWvUwWlw=w1600-h1200-no[/fimg:11epo5fs]

I thought the roller -coaster analogy was apt, but this makes it ridiculous. Ha!

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