Irrational Exuberance

[Ceetar]

Let me paint you a picture..

Road trip to loser teams in hitters park followed by what should be a fun, crazy, completely sold out weekend at home against the Red Sox in which there's a fair shot DAVID WRIGHT MAY BE PLAYING.

[Zvon]

A scene from Being Warren Zvon

[Benjamin Grimm]

I like how the graph I posted above has automatically adjusted itself.

[MFS62]

Somebody put an armed guard around Ashie.
His IGT mojo has to be protected.

Later

[batmagadanleadoff]

The last time the Mets were 11 games over .500 was on June 27, 2010.

[Benjamin Grimm]

I was at the two games that came after that date, in San Juan, Puerto Rico. As that graph shows, about a week later the wheels came off and the season unraveled.

[Ceetar]

Tuesday August 19th,2008 for 12 over.

[batmagadanleadoff]

Benjamin Grimm wrote: I was at the two games that came after that date, in San Juan, Puerto Rico. As that graph shows, about a week later the wheels came off and the season unraveled.

I remember that series and I remember you being there. Marlins, right? Swept the Mets.

That was Dickey's first year as a Met, and by June, he had, surprisingly, developed into an excellent pitcher. June 2010 was also Strasburg mania at full hype and Strasburg at his scariest best.

[Guest John Cougar Lunchbucket]

I can barely remember there being a baseball season in 2010 much less the Mets being 11 games over .500 in it. Wow.

[batmagadanleadoff]

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: I can barely remember there being a baseball season in 2010 much less the Mets being 11 games over .500 in it. Wow.

Same here. I woulda never guessed that the Mets were 11 over as recently as 2010. I woulda bet sometime during the 2006-08 years.

[batmagadanleadoff]

batmagadanleadoff wrote: John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: I can barely remember there being a baseball season in 2010 much less the Mets being 11 games over .500 in it. Wow. Same here. I woulda never guessed that the Mets were 11 over as recently as 2010. I woulda bet sometime during the 2006-08 years.

One look at the 2010 chart above and you could see how the train came off the tracks as soon as the Mets peaked.

[Benjamin Grimm]

The Mets lost the first two games they played in Puerto Rico (the two that I attended) but then won the third game, after we had returned home.

It was a weird experience. It was a Marlins home game, with Billy Marlin on site, and a countdown to the new stadium in Miami, but it was totally a Mets crowd. No seventh-inning stretch, at all. When I'm at a game, I sometimes like to stand up before everyone else for the 7th-inning stretch and gesture for everyone to rise, and when they do I feel like they were all heeding my command. I did that in San Juan and nobody stood up. Nobody! And I know that there were a lot of people there from the mainland who made the trip, but somehow they knew that there's no seventh-inning stretch in Puerto Rico but no one told me.

[batmagadanleadoff]

batmagadanleadoff wrote: batmagadanleadoff wrote: John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: I can barely remember there being a baseball season in 2010 much less the Mets being 11 games over .500 in it. Wow. Same here. I woulda never guessed that the Mets were 11 over as recently as 2010. I woulda bet sometime during the 2006-08 years. One look at the 2010 chart above and you could see how the train came off the tracks as soon as the Mets peaked.

I'll tell you, I've owned some stocks that performed like that 2010 Mets chart.

Edited August 13, 2015 by Guest

[Benjamin Grimm]

batmagadanleadoff wrote: One look at the 2010 chart above and you could see how the train came off the tracks as soon as the Mets peaked.

I remember that I saw it coming. (And I think it's documented somewhere on this forum.) I had this strong sense that they were playing over their heads, and unfortunately I was right.

[batmagadanleadoff]

Benjamin Grimm wrote: It was a weird experience. It was a Marlins home game, with Billy Marlin on site ... but it was totally a Mets crowd.

I went to Marlins Park last week for the entire three-game Mets/Marlins series. It was a weird experience for me, too. First of all, I doubt that even half the seats were occupied. That team just doesn't draw, even though their stadium's brand new and the Marlins have two of baseball's most exciting young stars. The third of three decks was apparently closed off entirely. This reminded me of the lean Joe Torre - two button pullover jersey era when the Upper Deck at Shea was closed off. And then the crowds ... they were Met crowds -- I mean more than half of the attendees were Mets fans, in Mets garb and rooting for the Mets. And I'm not exaggerating this post by even a pixel.

Edited August 13, 2015 by Guest

[batmagadanleadoff]

Benjamin Grimm wrote: batmagadanleadoff wrote: One look at the 2010 chart above and you could see how the train came off the tracks as soon as the Mets peaked. I remember that I saw it coming. (And I think it's documented somewhere on this forum.) I had this strong sense that they were playing over their heads, and unfortunately I was right.

Those charts are fantastic. You can skim it and see immediately that in 2010, the Mets just clustered a lot of wins in a short period of time. Specifically, they won 11 out of 12 in early June, and that run, compressed into two weeks, accounts for the chart spike.

[Guest John Cougar Lunchbucket]

Benjamin Grimm wrote: batmagadanleadoff wrote: One look at the 2010 chart above and you could see how the train came off the tracks as soon as the Mets peaked. I remember that I saw it coming. (And I think it's documented somewhere on this forum.) I had this strong sense that they were playing over their heads, and unfortunately I was right.

Looks like I surrendered on July 25.

[Frayed Knot]

One look at the 2010 chart above and you could see how the train came off the tracks as soon as the Mets peaked. I remember that I saw it coming. (And I think it's documented somewhere on this forum.) I had this strong sense that they were playing over their heads, and unfortunately I was right.

I remember that too.
It was one of those years that JCL put up his mid-season 'Predict the Shams'* polls so I stopped for a sec and thought about it (I'm usually not big on trying to predict what's going to happen next) and it suddenly hit me; 'OMG they're going to totally suck!!'
I forget what it was specifically at that point (probably a bunch of stuff) but, yeah, you could smell that one coming. Quite unlike last year by contrast where I thought they were going to have a much better second half until getting buried in August [12-17] thanks to ridiculously sucky performances by Granderson [.147/.231/.183] & the soon to be shut-down for the remainder Wright [.232 in Aug on 23 hits: 22 singles + 1 double]





* [Second Half Mets]

[Guest LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr]

Frayed Knot wrote: ... I thought they were going to have a much better second half until getting buried in August [12-17] thanks to ridiculously sucky performances by Granderson...

Em...

[Zvon]

Benjamin Grimm wrote: I was at the two games that came after that date, in San Juan, Puerto Rico. As that graph shows, about a week later the wheels came off and the season unraveled.

I remember that series well, although I wish I didn't.
I was bitching about the lack of an off day and was positive were were jinxed by the demons in the crowd.

[dgwphotography]

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: Benjamin Grimm wrote: batmagadanleadoff wrote: One look at the 2010 chart above and you could see how the train came off the tracks as soon as the Mets peaked. I remember that I saw it coming. (And I think it's documented somewhere on this forum.) I had this strong sense that they were playing over their heads, and unfortunately I was right. Looks like I surrendered on July 25.

...and 5 years later, that David Soul song is stuck in my head, again.

[seawolf17]

batmagadanleadoff wrote: Benjamin Grimm wrote: It was a weird experience. It was a Marlins home game, with Billy Marlin on site ... but it was totally a Mets crowd. I went to Marlins Park last week for the entire three-game Mets/Marlins series. It was a weird experience for me, too. First of all, I doubt that even half the seats were occupied. That team just doesn't draw, even though their stadium's brand new and the Marlins have two of baseball's most exciting young stars. The third of three decks was apparently closed off entirely. This reminded me of the lean Joe Torre - two button pullover jersey era when the Upper Deck at Shea was closed off. And then the crowds ... they were Met crowds -- I mean more than half of the attendees were Mets fans, in Mets garb and rooting for the Mets. And I'm not exaggerating this post by even a pixel.

Marlins park is a very strange place, yes. Went to a game earlier this season (the Ichiro HR off Torres game) and that was very Mets fan-heavy, and then went to Marlins-Phillies two nights later and that was Phillies fan-heavy.

[Lefty Specialist]

Lastings Milledge is irrationally exuberant.

[Guest Mets � Willets Point]

I went to a game with Seawolf on July 11, 2010. Santana and the Mets shutout the Braves. The Mets were 48-40. There was a buzz in the crowd that felt like maybe the Mets are going to make a run. We were wrong.

[dgwphotography]

Lefty Specialist wrote: Lastings Milledge is irrationally exuberant.

I would be, too if I was making over $1 mill a year to play baseball in Japan...

[Benjamin Grimm]

Wow, ten of the Mets' remaining 47 games are against the Phillies. Six against the Marlins.

[metirish]

Philles playing good ball apparently, not that I am looking at them tho

[batmagadanleadoff]

Benjamin Grimm wrote: Wow, ten of the Mets' remaining 47 games are against the Phillies. Six against the Marlins.

Baseball's worst two teams play in the NL East. Without looking anything up, I figured that this would give the Mets an advantage in the Wild Card race, but not necessarily in their battle for first place with the Nationals.


As it turns out, the Nats have 19 remaining games against the Marlins and the Phillies.

[Guest Mets � Willets Point]

It's time for the Marlins and Phillies to be a thorn in someone else's side.

[ashie62]

This is all very real. Reminds me of 1973 when I had to get the OOTS on a transistor radio every fifteen minutes on WINS.

This is as fun as that was.