Bellinger is crazy inconsistent. If he plays well, he’s absolutely worth 30. This past season FanGraphs values his 4.4 war at $39M, and $36M in 2023. Unfortunately in between he posted a $16m season and had been coming off a three year stretch coming off his mvp wherein he logged a total of 2.0 fWAR. So… you don’t quite know who you’re going to get. At his best he’s at least as good as Tucker. Based on the Tucker valuation, I’d be ok with a $40M aav as the cost of doing business, with a similar 4-year structure to what they offered Tucker. Not 7. Or, actually, I’d prefer they do a similar thing but for framber, and then bring back bader, or some other of stopgap. I’m not as much concerned about our offense as the potential low floor (albeit high ceiling) of our current starting pitching staff