metsmarathon

Willets Point wrote: Kind of sad that one of the greatest Mets had to play his entire career here in these nightmares. https://64.media.tumblr.com/250377919781886087b3003fb843ddb9/tumblr_inline_nz7j3g4T6Z1r9qiw6_1280.jpg> Just because I disagree with you doesn't necessarily mean that you're a terrible person. Except in this case. As ridiculous an attempt to be ‘hip' or whatever that the black uniforms were, they were fricking awesome. Maybe only because of the piazza Mets, and others who wore them. But I love the black unis.

Gotta say, I'm a big fan of the angels' city connect unis.

hmm... i think the sox and astros uniforms are pretty cool. i do agree about the number on the pants being... weird... i love the reds vests. they just happen to work. the rockies vests are terrible. it's a shame, because their all-purples are pretty sweet.

i feel like the baseball equivalent to 3v3 hockey is something akin to starting every at bat with a 3-2 count. which i would be more in favor of than the stupid extra runner.

oh those would be perfect!

well, girardi knows first hand what kind of bullpen they have, so he knows there's no hope.

it should take much less than dom to "get" moustakas. it should take more than dom to get castillo. that "more" may equal the subtraction of moustakas and the >$30M he's owed until the end of next year. that's a BIG dollar amount. i'm struggling to find any other BAD contracts that would make much sense for a team to be as interested in dumping on us as the reds should be on mous. it'd almost be malpractice for the reds not to pounce on the mets sniffing around that albatross.

trading a role player for a decent starting pitcher strikes me as almost always a good move. not that i'm willing to part with luis just yet, mind you. i'd be pretty worried about our middle infield depth without him - particularly at shortstop. but if guillorme was the missing piece keeping us from a needed acquisition of castillo or montas, it'd kindof be a no-brainer, right? i don't know that we're at panic-and-get-a-starter mode yet, though, so let's just hang onto him for now, and appreciate him for what he is.

i'm worried about the braves because they'll be the most likely team to catch us. but it will be the marlins that do it to us. it's always the fucking marlins.

anyone see the "bentcarrot" commercial? That shows up on my Roku all the time this comes up all the time for me, personally. i was worried it was just me. i also get asked a lot if i'm worried that my manhood bends the wrong way. . . . there are too many boner-problem commercials, is what i'm trying to say. that said, i'll take them over the navage guy any day.

Edgy MD wrote: The real dis' there wasn't for Rutgers so much as Montclair State and Stevens Tech and William Patterson. Holy smokes, Nymr totally shat all over them and tossed them into a landfill in Elizabeth! as a point of correction, Stevens Institute of Technology is most assuredly not a public university, and fabulously expensive. it is, however, excellent, and is frequently very much among the tops of colleges in terms of return on investment. with great tuition comes great salary expectations. i guess. i work for the government. so i don't think it quite did it exactly right. NJIT, though, is indeed an excellent public engineering college. It's in newark, which isn't nearly as awesome as hoboken. but is much better than it was 'round the turn of the century. neither, though, is quite a "university" if that's what you're angling for. i'll also give a shout out to little rowan university. one of my coworkers went there, and he's not awful. on the whole, i'd say that new jersey is massively underrated. mostly thanks to the vast swath of concrete and traffic in the middle of it. we make up for it with feisty debates over the intricacies of taylor hand and pork roll, and whether or not central jersey is a figment of the demented imaginations that wish to delude themselves into thinking they're not actually in south jersey. oh, and fuck the yankees.

my god i love the phillies bullpen. what a great game.

Johnny Lunchbucket wrote: May is getting an MRI I hope June is OK.

Johnny Lunchbucket wrote: Afaic this one was better than the Santana one. No controversy yeah, seriously. the beltran foul ball always felt like a little bit of an asterisk. i mean, i'm still going to celebrate it and love johan even more than i already did, but still. on the other hand, a combined nono somehow seems like less of an accomplishment, despite i being more rare and perhaps more improbable. whatever. i really don't care either way. both were great! glad we finished watching the latest moon knight in time for the 8th. oh, what a thing to behold!

i have a kid who's allergic to penicillin. it gave him lots and lots of pinks spots all over his body. he can't have anything in the 'cillin family. i recall getting bloody noses whenever i had taken 'cillin as a yoot. was never told i was allergic, and never had problems as an adult. i also never, to my knowledge, developed spots.

well, sure. that home run added 12.8% chance of the mets winning the game, which is pretty darned good. the poor cards had but a scant 3.1% chance at that point, down from 15.9% after dom's single. the porblem is, that wasn't the only thing nimmo did as a batter that game. in the first inning, leading off the game, nimmo made the first out, dropping the mets' chance of winning by 2.1% in the third inning, nimmo again made an out, with one out already in the inning, with the score tied. this dropped the mets' chance of winning by 1.6% and in the 5th inning, nimmo made an out, again with the scored tied, with two outs and a runner on second. this dropped the mets' chance of winning by 4.5% and finally, leading off the eighth inning with the score still tied, nimmo got out a fourth time, dropping the mets' chance of winning the game another 4.3% so despite adding 12.8% chance of winning in his last at bat, prior to that point he had already reduced the emts' chance of winning the game by a full 12.3% his net WPA was a scant 0.002 or 0.2% (losing a tenth of a percentage point to pesky rounding errors). m.e.t.b.o.t. looks at a whole game in total, not a single play in isolation. he's remarkably comprehensive. context matters. he's also a connotation nerd, which usually surprises people. he's admittedly not good at factoring in defensive contributions. he always credits a batter with a fielder having made an error, as for the error to have occurred, the batter must usually have done something to precipitate the action. but he always wanted to take the blame for defensive miscues away from the pitchers, who, he would always argue, did their job by getting the batter to hit the ball to one of his fielders. so he'd try to dig into the numbers and pull out the WPA delta attributable to errors. where he really struggled was identifying where the pitcher failed to get the batter to hit the ball to his fielders, but one of the fielders did something incredible to get to the ball and make a play. he'd benefit mightily by plugging into the treasure trove of statcast data available, but as near as i can tell, it's not yet available to in any kind of format that's remotely machine readable by slapdash coagulations of mismatched plastic gears housed in a repurposed child's toy. but we can still hope.

=batmagadanleadoff post_id=90428 time=1650996622 user_id=68] =metsmarathon post_id=90415 time=1650992362 user_id=83] btw, m.e.t.b.o.t. woulda shaeffered as follows: smith 5.10 scherzer 3.21 mcneil 0.71 canha 0.56 diaz 0.24 escobar 0.15 nimmo 0.02

btw, m.e.t.b.o.t. woulda shaeffered as follows: smith 5.10 scherzer 3.21 mcneil 0.71 canha 0.56 diaz 0.24 escobar 0.15 nimmo 0.02

shoot, i may have to wind up little old m.e.t.b.o.t. after that game! i believe the drop in win expectancy is because now with a runner on first, you have more ways to get out of the inning with no further damage, including and especially via a GIDP, which are slightly more likely to occur than the ways in which more runs can score. historically. i guess.

well. that's awfully convenient.

Willets Point wrote: Just missed an Alonsoboom. Frickin raindrops knocking it down an inch.

I usually coming in too optimistic, so imma try something different this year. 1. What will The Mets record will be? 84-78 2. Where will The Mets finish in the NL East? 3rd 3. Will The Mets make the playoffs (yes/no)? yes 4. If so, A. Where exactly will their record land, 1 through 6 (remember that there are 3 Wild Cards), in the NL; 6 B. How far will they advance; and, NLDS C. The number of games in their final round? 6 5. Who wins the World Series (can be the same answer as Q.4.B.)? blue jays 6. How many home runs will Pete Alonso hit? 32 ok, there's some optimism baked in. i can't see the mets not making the expanded playoffs. and if they get in, they've got a puncher's chance.

Hitting: name the first guy to: 1. Reach base safely marte 2. Get a hit marte 3. Double mcneil 4. Triple marte 5. HR canha 6. Score a run canha 7. draw a walk alonso 8. get hit by a pitch mcneil 9. Hit a sacrifice fly lindor 10. Steal a base nimmo 11. Get thrown out at home escobar 12. Strike out as a hitter mccann 13. Drive in more than 1 run in a single turn at bat lindor 14. Appear as a pinch hitter davis 15. Get a "walk-off" RBI cano Pitching/fielding: Name the first Met to: 16. Get credit for a win megill 17. credit for a save diaz 18. Make an appearance as a relief pitcher lugo 19. Take a loss carrasco 20. Fielder to commit an error mcneil 21. Outfielder credited with an assist marte Extra Credit/Tiebreakers: 22. Predict the date of Buck's first ejection may 5 23. Score the first play of the *top* of the first inning, first game nimmo, F9 24. First Met to reach 2 home runs for the season: lindor

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june 6th. deDay