Probably only a few folks here are old enough to have received a 'Greetings' letter from the U.S. Gov't back in the day, but at least for them it'll bring back some (not so warm) memories. But anyway, the MLB amateur draft is coming up on June 6th - 8th Mets have #11 pick (the one they did NOT surrender for Michael Bourne) plus choices 48, 76, 84, and then pick #116 and every 30 picks after that. Baseball America starts things off by looking back as they examine the Top 100 draft picks for Position Players only over a 20 year span (1989-2008) and checked how things worked out. http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/top-100-draft-flashback-naming-names/ What they did was to take those drafted players and divide them into essentially three categories 1) Those who either failed to reach the majors and/or only appeared in fewer than 100 games 2) Those who had played in more than 100 ML games 3) Those termed �Impact� players, defined by 10 career WAR or better They admit that there are still some folks out there, particularly from the more recent drafts, who could change categories still (the Reese Havens of the world for instance) but, now that they've gone five drafts back, there shouldn't be too many. Overall Sample: 917 players drafted: 513 (56%) from High School; 404 (44%) from College >100 Games Played: 350 players or 38% (30% of the HS players, 49% of the college) Impact: 112 or 12.2% - 10.5% from HS; 14.4% college So basically for every Eight players drafted in the Top-100 you can expect five to either never put on a ML uniform or to top out at being a cuppa-coffee guy; three to hang around the majors long enough to get at least 100 games in; and, on average, ONE of those three will become an �impact� player. Of course those odds would vary a lot in small samples and those picks towards the top of the 100 should fare a lot better than those at the bottom. Broken down by Position - although note that this is their position at the time they were drafted and not necessarily where they wound up: Catchers: 146 Drafted (16% of the total) >100 Games = 41% >10 WAR = 12% SS: 205 Drafted (22%) >100 games = 39% >10 WAR = 10% 2B: 29 Drafted (just 3% of the total and almost all of them - 22 - from college) >100 Games = 31% >10 WAR = 10% 3B: 108 Drafted (12%) >100 Games = 41% >10 WAR = 15% 1B: 82 Drafted (9%) >100 Games = 38% >10 WAR = 16% OF: 347 Drafted (38%) >100 Games = 37% >10 WAR = 12%