Gwreck

=Cowtipper post_id=206034 time=1759092516 user_id=166] Reds have pulled ahead 9-4.

Lefty Specialist wrote: So what do you do after Diaz? A very good question. [CROSSOUT]Manaea[/CROSSOUT] [CROSSOUT]Brazoban[/CROSSOUT] [CROSSOUT]Raley[/CROSSOUT] [CROSSOUT]Stanek[/CROSSOUT] [CROSSOUT]Rogers[/CROSSOUT] [CROSSOUT]Diaz[/CROSSOUT] Helsley Peterson Tong G. Soto Ross

Mets bullpen [CROSSOUT]Manaea[/CROSSOUT] [CROSSOUT]Brazoban[/CROSSOUT] [CROSSOUT]Raley[/CROSSOUT] [CROSSOUT]Stanek[/CROSSOUT] Rogers Diaz (at least 3, maybe 6 outs) Helsley Peterson Tong G. Soto Ross

Lindor SS Soto RF Alonso 1B Nimmo LF Vientos DH McNeil 2B Alvarez C Mauricio 3B Taylor CF

Milwaukee clinched best record in MLB when the Phillies lost. Cubs won and clinched the #4 seed with SD #5. NL seedings are set 1-5, and we all know what's at stake for the last spot. Detroit and Cleveland both won, clinching playoff spots. Houston was eliminated, and the 6 AL teams are set, but aside from Seattle at #2, the other seedings are up in the air. Sunday's AL games that matter: -Toronto and Yankees are tied, Blue Jays have tiebreaker. One gets the AL East title and #1 seed, the other gets the #4 seed. -Detroit and Cleveland are tied for the AL Central, Cleveland has the tiebreaker. One will be the #3 seed, and the other will play on the road in the WC series. (Cleveland cannot get the #5 seed if they don't win the division) -Detroit is also one game back of Boston for the #5 seed, and has the tiebreaker over Boston. Scoreboard watching could be quite interesting. If, say, Cleveland was out to a big lead (and thus the division was out of the question), Detroit might have an incentive to lose and get the #6 seed instead of #5, and avoid the Blue Jays/Yankees in the wild card round.

He’s serving as an opener ahead of Jacob Misiorowski, one of the Brewers regular starters, since Misiorowski will be serving as a reliever this postseason.

The Brewers are not cooperating.

Sean Manaea starting for the Mets.

Baty to IL, Jared Young called up.

Clay Holmes ® vs. Eury Perez ® -Holmes to be backed up by…someone. My vote is to use David Peterson as the “piggyback” after Holmes (figuring that Peterson probably will only go one turn through the order. (Since Sunday's game is guaranteed to matter if the Mets want to play more this year, I'd go with an opener followed by Manaea in that game). -Assuming Baty can't go, Vientos should be at third with Marte at DH. Best offensive players have to be in there since we shouldn't be expecting a Johan Santana-style two-hit shutout here (17 years ago to the day). -Brewers/Reds isn't until 7:15.

That’s fine, and mostly likely anyway, but reliable relief pitching does not grow on trees. The Mets declined to pay the giant prospect cost for a Duran or Miller, and they’re going to have to pay a significant amount of cash to retain Diaz this offseason. The Mets will assuredly exercise their 2026 option for Raley, probably will exercise it for Drew Smith, and AJ Minter will probably exercise his player option. Brazoban is arbitration-eligible for the first time and threw 62 innings (more than any reliever other than Diaz) to a 109 ERA+. He’s not going anywhere, nor should he.

What does this mean? Taylor had a .941 OPS in August after being terrible at the plate earlier, and also has hit in his limited September action. That’s improvement, yes? C’mon. Acuna is not a natural centerfielder, he’s a valuable pinch runner and defensive replacement on the infield, and he doesn’t hit. Mullins might be well be awful this year but he does have actual past major league success, and Taylor is far and away the best defensive option there. It’s not at all “odd” that Acuna’s not been a primary consideration for center. I think there is *maybe* a colorable/fringe argument for playing Acuna a bit more but this is not some obvious thing being missed.

No, he isn’t. And he certainly hasn’t been this year, as the numbers show.

Frayed Knot wrote: The odds of one of those happening equals about 19% Only if you assume that the given outcome of any game is a 50-50 coin flip (which it is not).

This feels exactly like the last week of 2008. Same opponents, same results. vs Cubs: Win Tuesday, Lose Wednesday, Win Thursday. vs Marlins: Lose (?) Friday…

I wouldn't pull Sproat here. 61 pitches, 2 outs, 1 run game, runner on first? I let him try to end it here, and maybe another inning.

Love those graphs. I wonder how many times the Mets have made the playoffs despite the peak coming so early in the season. (I'm guessing 1973 is the only other such season -- that team peaked at 4 games over .500 in May).

Convenient, as I did not want to do the work to calculate that tiebreak!

The Brewers have a magic number of 1 to clinch best record in MLB/home field in every round. But, they also have 5 days off coming up so they don’t really need to rest anyone. The Padres are 2 games behind the Cubs for the #4 seed and home field in the wild card. Padres would hold the tiebreaker if they catch Chicago.

I believe a 6-way tiebreak at 81-81 is also possible if Miami wins tonight.

How are you calculating the possibility of a Mets sweep of Miami at 12.5%?

One wonders if they think Siri will go unclaimed. On a hypothetical postseason roster, would you want Mullins or Siri? It’s not so clear what the better choice is. Especially if the primary role of that spot is pinch running and possibly as a defensive replacement.

The West divisions in this proposal here are across three time zones (and in most every other proposal, to be fair). It’s part of why we know Manfred is full of it when he talks about travel. There aren’t enough teams in the Pacific/Mountain time zones, so there are always going to be theee-time-zone divisions. Maybe if they award expansion franchises to both Portland and Salt Lake City that changes the balance enough, but as Ben Grimm flagged, it seems likely that Raleigh/Charlotte/Nashville gets one of the new teams.

Pirates won.

=Centerfield post_id=205497 time=1758766015 user_id=65] So angry. Jonah Tong should have collected all of his Minor League awards. Waved from the dugout at the Citi crowd. Felt good about his season. Instead he has this. Hopefully he realizes he needs to develop his secondary pitches and comes back stronger.