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Benjamin Grimm

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Everything posted by Benjamin Grimm

  1. Benjamin Grimm
    Yesterday: Mets lost. Giants and Reds won, Cardinals and Diamondbacks lost. Mets Magic Number by team: Arizona Diamondbacks 9 (possibly 8 based on extended tiebreaker rules) Cincinnati Reds 9 San Francisco Giants 8 St. Louis Cardinals 5 The Mets hold the tie-breaker advantage over the Giants and Cardinals. The Reds have the advantage over the Mets The Mets/Diamondbacks tiebreaker is still TBD, but Arizona currently has the lead. Here's how it shakes out: The Mets are 23-23 against teams in their division. (Braves 5-8, Phillies 7-6, Marlins 5-5, Nationals 6-4). The Diamondbacks are 25-21 (Dodgers 5-5, Giants 7-6, Padres 5-5, Rockies 8-5). The Mets have six more games against division foes, three each against Miami and Washington. The Diamondbacks have six, three each against the Dodgers and Padres.
  2. Benjamin Grimm
    But I'm sure that part of that 99.4% has them in the third slot, behind the Mets.
  3. Benjamin Grimm
    We'll be in the rare position of rooting for the Phillies this weekend, as they'll be in Phoenix playing the Diamondbacks.
  4. Benjamin Grimm
    How does FanGraphs determine the odds? Baseball Reference does 1,000 simulations. Their odds also favor the Mets, but not as heavily. Mets 66.7 Arizona 23.1 Cincinnati 6.3 Giants 4.7 St. Louis 0.2
  5. Benjamin Grimm
    Last night, the Mets beat the Padres, the Cardinals defeated the Reds, and the Diamondbacks won their game against the Giants. Mets Magic Number by team: Arizona Diamondbacks 10 (possibly 9 based on extended tiebreaker rules) Cincinnati Reds 9 San Francisco Giants 8 St. Louis Cardinals 6 The Mets hold the tie-breaker advantage over the Giants and Cardinals. The Reds have the advantage over the Mets The Mets/Diamondbacks tiebreaker is still TBD, but Arizona currently has the lead. Here's how it shakes out: The Mets are 23-23 against teams in their division. (Braves 5-8, Phillies 7-6, Marlins 5-5, Nationals 6-4). The Diamondbacks are 25-20 (Dodgers 5-5, Giants 7-5, Padres 5-5, Rockies 8-5). The Mets have six more games against division foes, three each against Miami and Washington. The Diamondbacks have seven, one against the Giants and three each against the Dodgers and Padres.
  6. Benjamin Grimm
    Last night, the Reds beat the Cardinals and the Diamondbacks defeated the Giants. The magic number over St. Louis and San Francisco thereby drop by one each. Mets Magic Number by team: Cincinnati Reds 11 Arizona Diamondbacks 11 (possibly 10 based on extended tiebreaker rules) San Francisco Giants 10 St. Louis Cardinals 7 The Mets hold the tie-breaker advantage over the Giants and Cardinals. The Reds have the advantage over the Mets The Mets/Diamondbacks tiebreaker is still TBD, but Arizona currently has the lead. Here's how it shakes out: The Mets are 23-23 against teams in their division. (Braves 5-8, Phillies 7-6, Marlins 5-5, Nationals 6-4). The Diamondbacks are 24-20 (Dodgers 5-5, Giants 6-5, Padres 5-5, Rockies 8-5). The Mets have six more games against division foes, three each against Miami and Washington. The Diamondbacks have eight, two against the Giants and three each against the Dodgers and Padres.
  7. Benjamin Grimm
    I hope that's accurate, but it doesn't feel like it. I think there's a decent enough likelihood that one of those three teams (Giants, Reds, Diamondbacks) will win two or more games than the Mets do the rest of the way.
  8. Benjamin Grimm
    Let's see if this helps. This should kick in by tomorrow. I enabled the domain to go through Cloudflare:
  9. Benjamin Grimm
    The Giants play the Diamondbacks tonight, so at least one of the magic numbers will go down. Not sure who to root for, however. You could argue the Giants, because the Mets definitely have the tiebreaker against them. And a Giants win could help the Mets get the tiebreaker over Arizona as well, since a loss by the Diamondbacks would affect their intra-division record.
  10. Benjamin Grimm
    Hey! The Mets won a game! Let's take a fresh look at the magic numbers. Mets Magic Number by team: San Francisco Giants 11 Cincinnati Reds 11 Arizona Diamondbacks 11 (possibly 10 based on extended tiebreaker rules) St. Louis Cardinals 8 The Mets hold the tie-breaker advantage over the Giants and Cardinals. The Reds have the advantage over the Mets, and Mets/Diamondbacks is still TBD. The Padres are in the second wild-card spot, and have a five-game lead (and a magic number of 7) over the Mets. If the Mets can manage to sweep the upcoming three-game series against San Diego, things might get interesting. This doesn't seem likely, but stranger things have happened. Or so I'm told. With only twelve games left, a magic number of 11 over three different teams means there's a very good chance that at least one of the three teams will pass the Mets. While the Mets are currently in a playoff spot, their hold is very tenuous.
  11. Benjamin Grimm
    I'm sure Buck Showalter would tell him he has nothing to worry about.
  12. Benjamin Grimm
    Of course not. There are too many Mets fans (in my opinion) who seem to enjoy wallowing in angst. Maybe fans of other teams do this as well. I wouldn't know about that.
  13. Benjamin Grimm
    In other words, the Mets continue to rearrange the deck chairs.
  14. Benjamin Grimm
    The starting pitching collapsed. Canning got hurt. Megill got hurt. Senga got hurt. The number of innings caught up to Holmes. Senga returned, but poorly. Manaea and Montas came along and failed. Short outings by starters overworked the bullpen and their performance then suffered as well. It's really no mystery what happened.
  15. Benjamin Grimm
    https://www.legacy.com/us/obituaries/name/james-bethke-obituary?id=58690679
  16. Benjamin Grimm
    They still do it the old-fashioned way, before the tiebreaker system was implemented. I checked to see if the Mets hold an advantage over the Diamondbacks, and for the moment at least, they don't. The second level of tiebreakers is the teams' record against their division opponents. The Mets are 23-20 (.535) against the Braves, Phillies, Nationals, and Marlins. The Diamondbacks are 22-19 (.537) against the Dodgers, Padres, Giants, and Rockies. Hopefully this won't matter, but if it does, it may end up being very close.
  17. Benjamin Grimm
    The Mets magic number over the Giants, for that third wild card, is actually 15, because they hold the tiebreaker advantage. The Giants have 71 losses, so the most they can win is 91. The Mets have 76 wins. Any combination of Mets wins and Giants losses that add up to 15 will result in the Mets finishing with the advantage over the Giants. Of course, another team may also sneak in. The Mets magic number over the Reds is also 15. The Reds can win 90, but since they have the tiebreaker over the Mets, the Mets would need 91 wins to finish ahead of them. The Diamondbacks can win a maximum of 89 games. That would give the Mets a magic number of 14 over Arizona for a clean win. The two teams split the season series, so it's hard to say right now who would win a tiebreaker. The Cardinals can also win 89 games. The Mets have the tiebreaker here, so the magic number over St. Louis is 13. Summary: Mets Magic Number by team: San Francisco Giants 15 Cincinnati Reds 15 Arizona Diamondbacks 14 (possibly 13 based on extended tiebreaker rules) St. Louis Cardinals 13
  18. Benjamin Grimm
    Bethke's major league career ended before his 19th birthday, but he continued to bounce around the Mets farm system for another five years, ending in Memphis (AA) in 1970. His final professional season was 1971, at the age of 24, in the Royals' farm system. Four games at AA Elmira and 17 at Single-A San Jose, where he had a 2.85 ERA in 98 innings.
  19. Benjamin Grimm
    Felix Mantilla is dead at the present time.
  20. Benjamin Grimm
    I think it would be hard to be more disappointing than 2007. They fell so far so fast in those last couple of weeks.
  21. Benjamin Grimm
    Basically, we need the Mets to be the team that gets hot. And it might happen. But it's not looking promising.
  22. Benjamin Grimm
    That definitely looks like Dykstra. And were the Mets still wearing the racing stripes in 1991?
  23. Benjamin Grimm
    George Altman, March 20, 1933, is now the oldest living Met.
  24. Benjamin Grimm
    When the Mets bring up a highly rated prospect, there's always the potential that he'll be the last player to wear whatever uniform number is assigned to him. Given that, the number should be chosen with care. So what number should Brandon Sproat be assigned? I looked at the current numerical roster at Baseball Reference. The most suitable numbers that are unclaimed (and unretired) seem to be 40, and 45. I suggested 30 for McLean and 40 for Tong. I'll try again with 40 and suggest that number for Sproat.
  25. Benjamin Grimm
    http://potg.ultimatemets.com/images/schaefer47.jpg Cast your vote!
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