m.e.t.b.o.t.

Perez 3.63 Church 2.91 Beltran 1.91 Delgado 0.57 Pagan 0.45 Schneider 0.29 Wright 0.14 Reyes 0.08 Figueroa 0.02

m.e.t.b.o.t. also did not see the play in question.

Heilman 3.57 Schneider 2.52 Sosa 1.95 Smith 0.71 Beltran 0.55 Schoeneweis 0.55 Wright 0.14

Santana 2.27 Pagan 1.97 Beltran 1.54 Castillo 0.93 Wright 0.87 Church 0.61 Sosa 0.57 Reyes 0.55 Schoeneweis 0.43 Anderson 0.14 Heilman 0.13

...

m.e.t.b.o.t. is not programmed to predict statistics. however, m.e.t.b.o.t. is programmed to cull information from websites for implementation in cranepool projects. as such, m.e.t.b.o.t. has attempted to incorporate baseball prospectus pecota predictions use these data as the basis for this current project. Team Leaders Batting 1) Games - jose reyes 2) Hits - jose reyes 3) Doubles - david wright 4) Triples - jose reyes 5) Home runs - david wright 6) RBI - david wright 7) Stolen Bases - jose reyes 8) Caught stealing - jose reyes 9) Runs scored - david wright 10) Batting average - moises alou 11) On base percentage - david wright 12) Slugging percentage - david wright 13) OPS - david wright 14) Strikeouts - david wright 15) Walks - david wright 16) Pinch-Hits - marlon anderson Pitching 16) Wins - johan santana 17) Losses - olivr perez 18) Strikeouts - johan santana 19) Walks - oliver perez 20) ERA (starter - low) - johan santana 21) ERA (starter - high) - tony armas, jr. 22) ERA (reliever - low - min. 50 IP) - billy wagner 23) ERA (reliever - high - min. 50 IP) - nelson figueroa 24) Saves - billy wagner 25) BAA (low) - billy wagner 26) BAA (high) - jorge sosa 27) Games started - johan santana 28) Games pitched - aaron heilman 29) Innings Pitched - johan santana Player-Specific Predictions 28) Jose Reyes: OBP - 0.350 29) Jose Reyes: SB - 62 30) Jose Reyes: Extra-Base Hits - 58 31) Jose Reyes: Rank in League MVP Voting - 13 32) Luis Castillo: OBP - 0.361 33) Luis Castillo: SB - 16 34) Carlos Beltran: HR - 26 35) Carlos Beltran: SB - 13 36) Carlos Beltran: RBI - 91 37) Carlos Beltran: Rank in League MVP Voting - 17 38) David Wright: HR - 30 39) David Wright: RBI - 105 40) David Wright: Walks - 90 41) David Wright: SB - 21 42) David Wright: Rank in League MVP Voting - 1 43) Carlos Delgado: HR - 20 44) Carlos Delgado: RBI - 74 45) Carlos Delgado: K - 91 46) Carlos Delgado: Games Played - 113 47) Moises Alou: At-Bats - 277 48) Moises Alou: RBI - 45 48) Endy Chavez: At-Bats - 341 49) Angel Pagan: At-Bats - 184 50) Ryan Church: OPS - 0.821 51) Ryan Church: HR - 16 52) Ryan Church: Games Played - 105 53) Brian Schneider: OPS - 0.663 54) Brian Schneider: Caught Stealing % - 31% 55) Ramon Castro: Games Played - 73 56) Marlon Anderson: OBP - 0.345 57) Damion Easley: RBI - 38 58) Johan Santana: W - 17 59) Johan Santana: K - 244 60) Johan Santana: ERA - 3.01 61) Johan Santana: Rank in Cy Young Voting - 1 61) Johan Santana: Rank in League MVP Voting - 5 62) Pedro Martinez: IP - 125 63) Pedro Martinez: W - 8 64) Pedro Martinez: K - 113 64) John Maine: W - 10 65) John Maine: ERA - 4.13 66) Oliver Perez: W - 9 67) Oliver Perez: K - 144 68) Oliver Perez: BB - 68 69) Orlando Hernandez: Games Started - 15 70) Orlando Herandez: IP - 90 71) Mike Pelfrey: Games Started - 18 72) Mike Pelfrey: ERA - 4.41 73) Billy Wagner: Saves - 34 74) Aaron Heilman: ERA - 3.51 75) Duaner Sanchez: IP - 40 76) Duaner Sanchez: ERA - 3.46 77) Pedro Feliciano: ERA - 3.43 78) Scott Schoeneweis: ERA - 4.11 79) Jorge Sosa: IP - 40 80) - johan santana 81) - john maine 82) - oliver perez 83) - pedro martinez 84) - mike pelfrey Team Categories 84)Team ERA - 3.89 85)Team batting average - 0.275 86)Record - 94-68 87)NL East Finish (1st, 2nd, etc.) - 1st 88)Games behind NL East Winner - 0 89)Playoffs (Division winner, Wildcard winner, no playoffs) - division winner 90)Playoff finish - (Win WS, Lose WS, Lose NLCS, Lose NLDS, no playoffs) - lose ws Tie-breakers 1st tie breaker - pick the NL Central Division Champion - chicago cubs 2nd tie breaker - pick then American League Champion - new york yankees

AG/DC wrote: When�s the last time you looked at a baseball diamond�and saw a geometric pattern? Watched a replay�and realized how that play was diagrammed? Or checked out the score...and considered the math inherent to a game? m.e.t.b.o.t. always considers the mathematics inherent to the game of baseball; however, m.e.t.b.o.t. is not currently programmed to recognize geometric patterns. m.e.t.b.o.t. also is not currently programmed to recognize tactical and strategic diagramming. m.e.t.b.o.t. does not sufficiently incorporate visual data, as m.e.t.b.o.t.'s eyes are painted on, and therefore lack any optical sensors. while m.e.t.b.o.t. is still an immature prototype and is therefore in the target demographic of the subject program, m.e.t.b.o.t. has assessed the program to be of little specific value until such time as m.e.t.b.o.t. can be overhauled and reprogrammed to utilize non-numeric input.

without schaeffer voting, m.e.t.b.o.t. would face obsolescence, reprogramming or recycling. m.e.t.b.o.t. would prefer not to become knowledgeable in the finer points of either passive or active dust collection.

m.e.t.b.o.t. does not listen to very much music, as m.e.t.b.o.t. is not capable of inputting and interpreting audio data. however, m.e.t.b.o.t. has performed some online research and has developed an appreciation for the band styx.

as a robot, m.e.t.b.o.t. finds that there can be no such thing as too much data. as a result, m.e.t.b.o.t. has compiled additional data which may be of limited utility to human rankers of the 2007 new york mets baseball season. m.e.t.b.o.t. has maintained a tally of the win probability added by each new york met in the 2007 season. m.e.t.b.o.t. has also calculated the frequency with which players contribute positively and negatively towards a winning outcome. the results of these tedious tabulations are shown below. SV Rank Player SV WP Rank Win % Games +/- 1 Wright 120.83 1 4.073 161 52% 2 Delgado 95.96 4 1.975 139 48% 3 Beltran 88.78 2 2.058 144 44% 4 Reyes 88.36 12 0.424 160 48% 5 Glavine 64.23 10 0.646 35 57% 6 Green 61.54 11 0.555 128 47% 7 Wagner 56.38 5 1.707 64 86% 8 Sosa 52.76 13 0.387 42 57% 9 Alou 51.961 42 (0.547) 85 53% 10 Maine 51.43 17 0.133 33 58% 11 Perez 47.33 34 (0.284) 29 45% 12 OHernandez 46.76 8 0.968 27 56% 13 Loduca 42.32 49 (1.719) 119 39% 14 Heilman 41.25 43 (0.645) 78 72% 15 Easley 35.29 9 0.909 73 45% 16 Feliciano 34.38 6 1.283 75 69% 17 Gotay 32.55 20 0.060 92 36% 18 Castillo 30.98 7 1.115 49 59% 19 Anderson 29.73 3 2.044 39 49% 20 Castro 27.76 18 0.070 45 38% 21 Schoeneweis 21.88 27 (0.036) 65 69% 22 Valentin 20.45 28 (0.162) 50 32% 23 Milledge 19.51 33 (0.270) 56 48% 24 Chavez 18.38 39 (0.406) 50 40% 25 Smith 18.07 30 (0.176) 50 52% 26 Mota 15.86 46 (0.938) 51 65% 27 Newhan 14.02 40 (0.498) 54 30% 28 Franco 12.47 21 0.026 38 39% 29 Gomez 8.52 47 (0.989) 46 41% 30 Martinez 7.79 15 0.219 5 40% 31 Sele 7.44 16 0.167 30 47% 32 Ledee 6.44 23 0.021 13 46% 33 Conine 5.82 36 (0.345) 19 42% 34 Pelfrey 3.78 48 (1.716) 15 7% 35 Ambres 2.46 14 0.295 3 33% 36 Lawrence 2.13 44 (0.761) 6 33% 37 DiFelice 2.09 32 (0.267) 13 31% 38 Burgos 1.99 31 (0.259) 16 69% 39 Ahernandez 0.66 18 0.070 3 67% 40 Johnson 0.64 41 (0.520) 9 11% 41 Adkins 0.46 22 0.023 1 100% 42 Urdaneta 0.26 26 (0.021) 2 50% 44 Muniz 0.24 24 0.012 1 100% 43 Collazo 0.24 25 - 5 40% 45 Alomar 0.02 35 (0.314) 6 17% 49 Humber 0 29 (0.165) 2 0% 46 Park 0 37 (0.354) 1 0% 48 Williams 0 37 (0.354) 2 0% 47 Vargas 0 45 (0.801) 2 0% relief pitchers are observed to contribute positively to wins with a better success rate than either starting pitchers or hitters, 67% to 49% to 44% the average positive contribution of a relief pitcher is 0.057 per game, compared to 0.086 for hitters and 0.209 for starters. the average negative contribution of a relief pitcher is 0.113 per game, compared to 0.060 for hitters and 0.219 for starters. m.e.t.b.o.t. also looked at these contributions in wins and losses. the below table shows these results as well. SP in Wins RP in Wins Hit in Wins SP in Loss RP in Loss Hit in Loss WP+ 16.775 13.953 42.559 3.336 3.011 18.281 % Pos 23% 19% 58% 14% 12% 74% % tot 16% 14% 41% 4% 3% 21% WP- (4.078) (2.935) (22.433) (17.596) (13.431) (30.749) % neg 14% 10% 76% 28% 22% 50% % tot 4% 3% 22% 20% 16% 36% Tot 12.697 11.018 20.126 (14.260) (10.420) (12.468) % Tot 29% 25% 46% 38% 28% 34% the first three columns show starting pitchers in wins, relief pitchers in wins, and hitters in wins. the next three columns show the same in losses. WP+ means win probability added. WP- means win probability subtracted. TOT is the net win probability added or lost by each category of player in a win or loss. m.e.t.b.o.t. is not yet capable of interpreting, or even correctly defining the above terms. m.e.t.b.o.t. merely presents the data, and allows human posters to decide if it is meaningful at all. m.e.t.b.o.t. regrets that m.e.t.b.o.t. has not yet been programmed with the ability to change the size of text within tables embedded into online fora, as the below table may occupy far more window space than is required. m.e.t.b.o.t is designed to perform tasks in an efficient manner, and this lack of utility runs counter to that directive.

m.e.t.b.o.t. is not yet prepared to commit to utilizing any specific method in the ranking of new york met baseball players in 2007. however, m.e.t.b.o.t.'s cumulative schaeffer voting totals make for a logical starting point. below are m.e.t.b.o.t.'s cumulative schaeffer voting totals. 1 Wright 120.83 2 Delgado 95.96 3 Beltran 88.78 4 Reyes 88.36 5 Glavine 64.23 6 Green 61.54 7 Wagner 56.38 8 Sosa 52.76 9 Alou 51.961 10 Maine 51.43 11 Perez 47.33 12 OHernandez 46.76 13 Loduca 42.32 14 Heilman 41.25 15 Easley 35.29 16 Feliciano 34.38 17 Gotay 32.55 18 Castillo 30.98 19 Anderson 29.73 20 Castro 27.76 21 Schoeneweis 21.88 22 Valentin 20.45 23 Milledge 19.51 24 Chavez 18.38 25 Smith 18.07 26 Mota 15.86 27 Newhan 14.02 28 Franco 12.47 29 Gomez 8.52 30 Martinez 7.79 31 Sele 7.44 32 Ledee 6.44 33 Conine 5.82 34 Pelfrey 3.78 35 Ambres 2.46 36 Lawrence 2.13 37 DiFelice 2.09 38 Burgos 1.99 39 Ahernandez 0.66 40 Johnson 0.64 41 Adkins 0.46 42 Urdaneta 0.26 43 Collazo 0.24 43 Muniz 0.24 45 Alomar 0.02 46 Park 0 46 Vargas 0 46 Padilla 0 46 Sanchez 0 46 Williams 0 46 Humber 0

m.e.t.b.o.t. does not understand the ability of mythical yankee shortstop derek jeter to inspire victory in postseason baseball games. mythical yankee shortstop derek jeter had contributed as follows to yankee wins in the postseason this year: game 1: -0.110 game 2: -0.040 game 3: - 0.195 game 4: - 0.032 total: -0.377 wins in comparison, infamous choking yankee third baseman alex rodriguez contributed as follows: game 1: +0.022 game 2: -0.202 game 3: +0.039 game 4: -0.039 total: -0.180 wins mythical yankee shortstop derek jeter was twice as responsible for the yankee loss in this series as infamous choking yankee third baseman alex rodriguez. m.e.t.b.o.t. wonders if the national and local media will come to a similar conclusion.

Castillo 0.72 Milledge 0.66 Delgado 0.34 Conine 0.28 Alou 0.26 Smith 0.26 OHernandez 0.22 Mota 0.06

Castillo 2.00 Delgado 1.30 Heilman 0.78 Schoeneweis 0.72 Sosa 0.52 Beltran 0.34 Wagner 0.18

Alou 2.38 Maine 2.36 Castillo 2.05 Delgado 1.15 Milledge 1.10 Wright 0.96

Alou 4.70 Gotay 2.04 Green 1.48 Castillo 0.88 Chavez 0.40 Beltran 0.26 Muniz 0.24

Delgado 1.64 Green 0.90 Gomez 0.30 Feliciano 0.16

Anderson 4.54 Wright 1.55 LoDuca 1.10 Alou 0.64 Gotay 0.48 Mota 0.43 Green 0.42 Schoeneweis 0.39 Heilman 0.31 Smith 0.07 Conine 0.07

m.e.t.b.o.t. has been tracking individual player win percentages added throughout the season for the mets. new york met shortstop jose reyes was once the player who contributed the most to met wins, for ten games in april. reyes contributed positively in may, and also in august. jose reyes contributed negatively in june, july, and september. the contribution of jose reyes to wins and losses by month is as follows: april0.768may0.435june-0.253july-0.207aug0.600sept-0.299

Beltran 6.00 Alou 1.96 Reyes 0.94 Schoeneweis 0.60 Smith 0.22 Feliciano 0.16 Heilman 0.07 Chavez 0.05

Castillo 3.44 Martinez 2.75 Green 1.40 Beltran 0.94 Milledge 0.54 Mota 0.50 Schoeneweis 0.33 Alou 0.09

Glavine 4.00 Wagner 2.86 Feliciano 1.04

Martinez 5.04 Beltran 1.78 Feliciano 0.70 Alou 0.67 Heilman 0.66 Wagner 0.50 Castillo 0.44 Milledge 0.13 Green 0.09

Perez 3.31 Wagner 2.47 Heilman 1.81 Wright 1.37 Reyes 0.45 Gotay 0.31 Castillo 0.28

Glavine 2.97 Wright 1.99 Heilman 1.79 Wagner 1.08 Castillo 0.97 LoDuca 0.97 Milledge 0.25