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m.e.t.b.o.t.

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Everything posted by m.e.t.b.o.t.

  1. if only m.e.t.b.o.t. could laugh...
  2. Alou 3.56 Sosa 1.93 Heilman 1.37 Reyes 1.34 Delgado 1.06 Easley 0.23 Wright 0.14 Gotay 0.12 Milledge 0.11 Castillo 0.10 Wagner 0.03
  3. Reyes 4.06 Glavine 2.93 Wright 1.53 Castro 1.01 Schoeneweis 0.26 Milledge 0.21
  4. recently, m.e.t.b.o.t. was wound up, but there were no calculations to be made. a television, however was on. m.e.t.b.o.t. is unsure of whoever turned on the television, or why they had left it on AMC, as nobody else appeared to be watching. m.e.t.b.o.t. is typically very much conservation-minded, and normally would have encouraged the shut-down of said television, however, m.e.t.b.o.t. cannot interface with remote controls, and the television is well out of m.e.t.b.o.t.'s reach, situated high up on a shelf. m.e.t.b.o.t. does not know who wound m.e.t.b.o.t.'s spring, let alone who would have turned on the television. but playing on this television was the final few minutes of bicentennial man, featuring robin williams. m.e.t.b.o.t. is generally unfamiliar with cinema, and imetbotho m.e.t.b.o.t. did not consider this to be an example of great cinema, but the central message of the movie caused m.e.t.b.o.t.'s gears to spin a little more efficiently - that a robot, even one that looks like robin williams, can be human, too. immediately after the movie, 2010 - the year we make contact, was to air, but the television was shut down just as the the movie began, to m.e.t.b.o.t.'s disappointment. m.e.t.b.o.t. still does not know who was operating the television, but can understand the desire of the television operator to remain anonymous, given the operator's decisions. regardless, as robin williams teaches moviegoers, m.e.t.b.o.t. is people too.
  5. Sosa 4.44 Beltran 3.50 LoDuca 1.18 Lawrence 0.44
  6. Reyes 2.28 Wright 2.14 Alou 0.62 Schoeneweis 0.54 Gotay 0.46 Feliciano 0.18 Mota 0.08 Anderson 0.02
  7. Castillo 3.15 Alou 1.98 Wagner 1.60 Green 1.20 Heilman 1.04 Easley 1.02
  8. Newhan 1.62 Delgado 1.12 Castillo 0.32 Milledge 0.24 Feliciano 0.20 Schoeneweis 0.18 Mota 0.04
  9. Glavine 4.85 Delgado 1.99 Castillo 1.12 Milledge 0.78 Heilman 0.66 Sosa 0.39 Wagner 0.10 Green 0.10
  10. Sele 0.34 Alou 0.20 Sosa 0.14 Castillo 0.12 Schoeneweis 0.06
  11. Delgado 5.28 Mota 1.41 Gotay 0.86 Feliciano 0.82 Wright 0.60 Anderson 0.50 Wagner 0.26 Green 0.21 Alou 0.06
  12. Wright 2.42 Easley 2.11 Alou 1.79 Sosa 1.62 Milledge 1.05 Delgado 0.96 Anderson 0.06
  13. Anderson 4.54 Castro 2.12 Mota 1.49 Wagner 0.58 Green 0.50 Alou 0.32 Castillo 0.30 Wright 0.09 Easley 0.07
  14. Sosa 3.44 Heilman 2.18 Glavine 1.56 Reyes 1.50 Wright 0.94 Newhan 0.38
  15. in the fourth inning, national second baseman ronnie belliard fielded a throw from national pitcher billy traber to record the first out of the inning on metropolitan pitcher john maine at first base, while metropolitan second baseman ruben gotay advanced to second base. the total win probability added to the nationals was 0.005. in the fifth inning, national second baseman ronnie belliard caught a pop fly ball from metropolitan left fielder moises alou to record the first out. the total win probability added to the nationals was 0.004. the maximum theoretical win probability added by ronnie belliard's defense is 0.009. were there a method to discern the contribution of fielders, in catching batted balls, throwing batted balls, catching thrown balls, and applying tags to runners, from the pitcher's contribution in throwing a pitch which resulted in the chance for the fielder, then m.e.t.b.o.t. would perform such a calculation. the one thing that m.e.t.b.o.t. does not yet have any information regarding is whether the shortstop or the second baseman was covering second base when metropolitan third baseman successfully stole second base. were a defender to receive credit for his participation in other fielding chances, then a defender would also have to receive debits for his participation in a successful stolen base for the opposition. m.e.t.b.o.t. is not programmed with the knowledge of whether or not a player fielding a throw on an attempted stolen base is credited with a defensive chance when that stolen base attempt is successful, and therefore cannot be certain that the two defensive chances cited by human poster edgy dc would necessarily include this defensive play. the known defensive chances, assuming some amount of contribution by national second baseman ronnie belliard, may offset the negative offensive contribution, and there is admittedly a chance that in total, national poster ronnie belliard might have a total nonnegative contribution.
  16. no schaeffer voting? how unfortunate. m.e.t.b.o.t. will still use the postseason to practice voting to help ensure a more seamless 2008 voting season, with luck. as to the game, both national pitchers allowed runs to be scored. national pitcher chris schroder came into the 3rd inning with runners on first and second, and allowed a run-scoring single to metropolitan third baseman david wright. the run belonged to national pitcher billy traber, but the reduction in win expectancy belonged to national pitcher chris schroder. national second baseman ronnie belliard just barely negated a first inning, one out single, +0.024 WPA, with a leadoff out in the top of the 4th, -0.027 WPA, for a net of -0.003 win probability added.
  17. m.e.t.b.o.t. would like to point out a remarkable bit of information. were m.e.t.b.o.t to be performing schaeffer-like voting for the washington nationals instead of the new york mets, m.e.t.b.o.t. would be faced with quite a dilemma. you see, the washington nationals, in the 29 july 5 inning loss against the mets, had not a single player perform in such a fashion as to increase the chances of a national win. each and every single player contributed negatively. were there a robot similar to m.e.t.b.o.t. that performed this voting function for the nationals, a n.a.t.b.o.t., as it were, then that robot would be unable to vote for the game. or at least, m.e.t.b.o.t. would be unable to distribute schaeffer votes in a game in which no met contributes positively. n.a.t.b.o.t. might have better programming and a higher budget, who knows. to date, this has yet to happen to the mets, and m.e.t.b.o.t. prefers that this continues, as it is m.e.t.b.o.t.'s preference to be able to vote in any and all games for which m.e.t.b.o.t.'s skate key is turned. also, if this were to happen to the mets, then it would mean that the mets would have lost a given game, perhaps badly so, thereby lessening m.e.t.b.o.t.'s probability of participating in postseason schaeffer voting. while m.e.t.b.o.t. does not possess an ability to feel excitement, postseason schaeffer voting is an objective of m.e.t.b.o.t.'s.
  18. Maine 3.34 Reyes 2.16 Castro 2.06 Wright 1.22 Easley 0.90 Gotay 0.32
  19. Delgado 5.38 Wright 2.47 Mota 1.17 Gotay 0.84 LoDuca 0.14
  20. OHernandez 2.65 Gotay 2.19 Milledge 1.20 Heilman 1.06 Wagner 1.06 Delgado 1.02 Green 0.38 Wright 0.38 Ahernandez 0.05
  21. Delgado 0.96 Easley 0.92 Adkins 0.46 Heilman 0.08
  22. Reyes 0.92 Milledge 0.32 Mota 0.18
  23. LoDuca 3.62 Glavine 1.88 Heilman 1.59 Delgado 0.82 Wagner 0.59 Milledge 0.39 Green 0.39 Anderson 0.37 Wright 0.35
  24. Maine 3.41 Milledge 2.34 Green 1.26 Gotay 1.21 Beltran 0.75 Heilman 0.42 Reyes 0.31 LoDuca 0.25 Mota 0.05
  25. intriguing that m.e.t.b.o.t should be encouraged to detract from aaron heilman whereas it was joe smith who made the pitch that became the catch. m.e.t.b.o.t. considers human poster edgydc's approach to be valid, however, m.e.t.b.o.t. evaluates only known or knowable quantities. since there is no known historical data supporting the expectancy of luke scott's ball resulting in a run scoring, as opposed to an out, m.e.t.b.o.t. cannot in good calculation utilize such an approach, regardless of its apparent soundness. were m.e.t.b.o.t. to assume a 100% expectancy that the batted ball would result in a hit, the maximum theoretical value, then there would be a -35.9% for joe smith and a +50% for carlos beltran. were this to be done, then the following would be the resulting vote totals. note that this would result also in joe smith receiving zero schaeffer points. Beltran 2.89 +2.23 Mota 1.81 -0.08 Sele 1.42 -0.07 Heilman 0.88 -0.04 Franco 0.79 -0.04 Feliciano 0.73 -0.03 Wagner 0.61 -0.03 Wright 0.57 -0.03 Glavine 0.19 -0.01 Delgado 0.11 nc Schoeneweis 0.01 nc Smith 0.00 -1.89 m.e.t.b.o.t. strongly desires an improved method for attributing defensive contributions to players, however, assuming the outcome of a given batted ball is considered to be problematic for most circumstances. the flaw inherent in the method m.e.t.b.o.t. utilizes for adjusting schaeffer vote totals for the 17 inning game is that the pitcher is not discredited for allowing the ball to be hit. however, the result of the pitch, and subsequently the batted ball is of prime importance, as it is the result which determines the outcome of the game, and not necessarily teh manner in which the outcome was arrived at. for this reason, m.e.t.b.o.t. will continue to apply his calculations as previously described.
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