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metsmarathon

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Everything posted by metsmarathon

  1. John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: Times says one guy may be suing the Mets for up to $1 billion! how exactly would that make a lick of sense?
  2. smg58 wrote: seawolf17 wrote: The CPF needs to be a minority partner. I'm in for $37 too. We'll only need... /crunches numbers ... about 162,000 other people or so. We need a more symbolic number. 41? 69? (for the World Series year, so whatever else you may be thinking, stop now.) 86? 62.
  3. metirish wrote: TransMonk wrote: I think this is the coolest thing ever. Great job, BG! Yes.....and the choose font thing is the second coolest thing no comic sans? boo!
  4. could be that his shoulder is fine for everything but throwing little round objects at 80+ mph a hundred times or so every week for most of a year, and that with just plain rehab and strengthening exercises, he can lead a mostly normal life mostly uninterrupted by it.
  5. noooooooooooooooooooooooo
  6. i cheated. no way i'd get mr. 1,000 games.
  7. Valadius wrote: He looks like Mark McGwire. pitches like him, too.
  8. fangraphs... y'know, i was not expecting andruw to look as good as he does here. he's got the same WAR as jeter, and his best 9 years were each almost about a win better than jeter's best 9 years. he's a stronger candidate than berkman, which surprised me a lot.
  9. last year, bbref has fielder at 3.8 WAR vs. ike's 2.5 WAR, while fangraphs has fielder at 4.1 WAR vs. ike's 3.4 WAR even taking the greater spread on bbref, is it really worth the added cost, lesser defense, and virtually assured mo vaughnyness of prince fielder as compared to the dreadfully inexpensive, defensively sound, and homegrown ike davis? fangraphs and bbref agree that , fielder's best season, 2009, was the only season in which he was more valuable than pujols was in his least valuable season, 2002. given the choice, and especially taking into account the contracts each will command in 2012, i'd much rather have albert pujols than prince fielder. given the choice, and especially taking into account the contracts each will command in 2012, i'd rather have ike davis than prince fielder, especially if ike shows any further development this season. i do not trust prince's body to last. not one bit. let another team take that risk.
  10. the hangup that i think is common is the idea of the replacement player. we're tempted to thik of who exactly that replacement player is, or could be. the truth of the matter is, that the replacement player is a theoretical construct. a baseline against which to measure. the replacement player is imminently replaceable and interchangeable. he's what you'd expect to get out of any random AAA callup, not your top prospect or your first round draft pick. but the guy you call on after your other three backup shortstops get hurt. he's your yardstick. but why do you need him? well, we're rolling things up into wins, and how much a given player contributes to winning. you hear about it all the time in the mvp discussions - how good would the yankees be without jeter? how good would cincy be without votto, or st. louis without pujols. well, if you pulled derek jeter off the field, you'd leave a gaping hole at shortstop wouldn't you? well, ok. maybe it wouldn't be too noticeable at first. so you need a warm body to filll the void. that warm body is the replacement player. and instead of having an 8-man lineup, that warm body also gets to stand in the batters box and hit soft pop flys into the friendly confines of mfys3. think of him as your bare minimum expectations for a ball player. roster fodder. if you got him, you'd want to throw him back. last year's analagous replacement player, (using fangraphs) was jeff francoeur, with a fancy 0.1 WAR. the year before, was alex cora, who sported a solid 0.0 WAR. for a pitching analogue, think 2010's raul valdes, or 2009's tim redding, both of the 0.0 WAR. ... i'd look at it like you would temperature. how hot is something? water freezes at 32�F, room temperature is about 72�F, while body temperature is 99�F. in fahrenheit, that baseline is fairly arbitrary. but we all know what we're talking about. the replacement player is the same baseline. when we ask 'how hot is it outside', we compare against the baseline, and get a number. we don't then ask, 'well, what is next tuesday going to be like,' before we decide to put on a hat. when we ask 'how good is david wright' we compare against the baseline, and get a number. we don't instead ask, 'well, how good is mike hessman?'
  11. Benjamin Grimm wrote: I didn't realize he was such a weak hitter. well, he faces other teams, too.
  12. 99-00
  13. yup. and they were both simul-posts.
  14. scott erickson
  15. livan hernandez
  16. orlando hernandez
  17. vinegar bend mizell
  18. sid fernandez
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