Let's face it. It's Washington. Most experts in the spring thought the Mets were pretty much a .500 team, with a chance of maybe getting a wild card if things broke right. The team was pretty much what people thought it would be on July 30: 52-50. But the Nationals were only three games better. On paper, they should have been running away with the division. Then the Mets got Cespedes, Flores started hitting, and d'Arnaud and Wright came back. Johnson was an big pickup, and Clippard fixed some bullpen problems. But the Nationals underperformed all year, so that when the Mets started putting it together, they couldn't keep up. The sweep in Citi caused them to start panicking and pressing. That series was their Black Cat game, and suddenly the Mets were in their heads.