I think he stays, as 1) he doesn't want to leave, and 2) the Wilpons could never show their faces at Citi again. Closer-in fences help and he's back to being a 30 HR 100-RBI guy. They'll re-sign him in the 5/$100 range, extending his contract, and probably backloading the living daylights out of it. Of course his muscle tear could also be fatal, in which case all bets are off.