Continuing the conversation from the St. Louis IGT. As Gwreck said, Semien still provides value with his glove. 3.3 WAR in 2025, despite just a .669 OPS. That being said, you have to wonder if we can even get a repeat of that.
He has a -0.1 WAR so far (I know, meaningless sample size). But if you look at how he's trending, it's not at all a given we'll get a 3 win player, or anything close to that.
2024: 4.5 WAR. .699 OPS
2025: 3.3 WAR. .669 OPS (Second half 2025: .593 OPS)
Spring Training 2026: .649 OPS (46 PA)
2026: .390 OPS (25 PA)
His Baseball Savant page is ugly.
Marcus Semien Stats: Statcast, Visuals & Advanced Metrics | baseballsavant.com
His bat speed is in the 5th percentile. It's dropped from 13th% in 2023, 9% in 2024, 8% in 2025 to now 5%.
For what it's worth, the projections were relatively high on him prior to the season.
Steamer: .703 OPS, 2.5 WAR
ZiPS: .696 OPS, 2.8 WAR
BBR: .715 OPS.
I was kinda hoping taking him out of Texas would help his offensive numbers. Texas has almost inexplicably bad home offensive numbers. And that may still be the case. I guess we'll see how this plays out.
I'm on record predicting he will be a defensive replacement by the end of the season. Hope I'm wrong.