Predict the Mets, 2012

[bmfc1]

Just the Mets:

1. Where they will finish in the NL East
2. What the final record will be
3. If you predict a wild card spot, say so
4. If you predict a playoff appearance, how far will they go?

Last year's winner was Transmonk.
Please don't be a J.J. Putz and predict "162-0" or "0-162".

[bmfc1]

1. 5th
2. 77-85
3. No
4. No

[Guest themetfairy]

1. Third
2. 81-81
3. No
4. N/A

[metirish]

1. Where they will finish in the NL East - last
2. What the final record will be - 74-88
3. If you predict a wild card spot, say so - none
4. If you predict a playoff appearance, how far will they go?

[Ceetar]

1. Second
2. 85-77
3. No playoffs.

[Chad ochoseis]

5th place

69-93

No playoffs

I'd love to be wrong.

[Benjamin Grimm]

4th place. 76-86. No playoffs.

[Guest Mets Guy in Michigan]

1. Where they will finish in the NL East: Third
2. What the final record will be: 87-75
3. If you predict a wild card spot, say so: Alas, no.
4. If you predict a playoff appearance, how far will they go? Sniff.

[Gwreck]

5th Place
63-99
No Wildcard
No Playoffs

[HahnSolo]

4th place
75-87
No playoffs, nothing.

[G-Fafif]

1. 74-88, with alternating dollops of Pollyannish BS when they play well and overwrought doom and gloom when they don't filling the Metscape

2. 5th place, because I can't quite picture anybody in this division crumbling enough to let us have fourth

The revised playoff structure hasn't expanded enough to include the 2012 Mets given the above parameters.

[Guest LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr]

1. 5th
2. 76-86
3. No
4. N/A

[batmagadanleadoff]

Their Golden anniversary won't be as memorable as their Silver one.

[Vic Sage]

1. 5th - they'd finish 6th if they could
2. 72-90
3. No, the league would have needed to add 10 WCs for it to be a relevant issue for the 2012 Mets
4. oh, puleez

[Guest John Cougar Lunchbucket]

I can't see them winning with that defense and the thin starting pitching, not to mention the injuries. Could be a really bad year.

That said I'm constitutionally unable to predict doom during spring, so will say if it all clicks, we could go 84-78 and challenge for 3rd.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Losing record in April. Winning records in May and June will stir some fleeting hope. July will be a bit under .500, and August and September will be horrific.

[Vic Sage]

i agree... except for the parts about May and June.

[Guest Mets � Willets Point]

1. First
2. 102-60
3. Not needed
4. World Series champions

[metsmarathon]

82 - 80

third

no playoffs

no playoffs

i believe the NL east to be in a spectacularly transitional mode this year, with no team really stepping up and taking the reins. i expect miami to be a mess, the braves and nats to be competitive, and the phillies to get old. i think the mets will be in the thick of things, to some extent, and will at least keep the season interesting.

or i need my coffee and am hallucinating from a decaffeinated monday morning. whichev's.

[TransMonk]

78-84
Fourth in the NL East
No playoffs

[ashie62]

An NL East Clusterfuck will help the Mets.

I'm going with the Mets having a healthy year and..

82-80

No

and no

[Guest El Segundo Escupidor]

70-92, the rest is self-explanatory.

[Edgy MD]

I don't like to get into specifics. It'll be a positive, positive year. Many steps forward. Many enemies vanquished.

[Ceetar]

Edgy DC wrote: I don't like to get into specifics. It'll be a positive, positive year. Many steps forward. Many enemies vanquished.

Put a number on it!

[Edgy MD]

97-65.

[Vic Sage]

well THAT'S a relief. for a minute there i thought you'd predict 100 wins and we'd have to criticize you for being hopelessly optimistic bordering on utterly deranged. thank goodness we don't have to go there. now come inside; it's raining and you'll catch your death. sit by the fire, here's some tea...

[Benjamin Grimm]

When you're more optimistic than Ceetar, there's cause for alarm.

[Edgy MD]

I thought it conservative.

[Ceetar]

Benjamin Grimm wrote: When you're more optimistic than Ceetar, there's cause for alarm.

Santana is Santana of old, just through 30 starts instead of 33.

Jason Bay sticks to his old swing, re-finds his stroke, and hits 30 home runs.

Frank Francisco and Jon Rauch both pitch more good than bad, and Acosta and Ramirez remain very good.

Jon Niese, Ruben Tejada, Lucas Duda, Ike Davis and even Dillon Gee and Josh Thole take small but steady steps forward in their growth.

That team could win 97 games. Would any of those things happen really surprise you? Would you really say "Never in a million years would I have thought Bay would hit 30 home runs again"? Obviously these things don't always all happen, but neither does one make the other one less likely to happen.

[Edgy MD]

I don't know quite what the scenario is that'll unfold. There are 1,000 ways it could play itself out. Scenarios involving Havens discovering health. Duda becoming an indefensible maniac. Pelfrey finding his out pitch. Parnell becoming deadly. Maybe the guy who really exploits the shorter fences is an unanticipated dude like Murphy. A mid-season trade for some goofball sidearmer that is suddenly un-httable. It happens all the time.

Looked at more closely, there are 10,000 scenarios. Infinite ways, really. I just think there are more positive scenarios out there than people are willing to acknowledge. Understandably so, but I think the dice can and perhaps should land on one of them. So a guy puts a gun to my head, asks for a number, and I say 97. I dunno.