Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

[Edgy MD]

Pos: 1B

Born: 3/22/1987 in Edina, Minnesota (24 in 2011)

Acquired: Selected by the Mets in the 1st round with the18th overall pick of the 2008 amateur draft, noted in this dramatic thread.

2010 Stats:

Tm	Lg	G	PA	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	OPS+	TB	GDP	HBP	SH	SF	IBB	BB-Ref WAR	FanGraphs WAR	Awards
Buffalo	IL (AAA)	10	42	33	8	12	3	0	2	4	0	0	9	5	.364	.500	.636	1.136		21	0	0	0	0	0
NYM	NL (MLB)	147	601	523	73	138	33	1	19	71	3	2	72	138	.264	.351	.440	.791	115	230	13	1	0	5	6	2.5	3.4	RoY-7
Totals	All	157	643	556	81	150	36	1	21	75	3	2	81	143	.270	.364	.451	.815		251	13	1	0	5	6	2.5	3.4

Wifey: None.

Last Word: Not much has come out of Edina this winter, and maybe it's good that the unspecatcular but solid debut of Davis is largely going untrumpeted. A lesser Met team and it's "Is he the savior?" and a better one and it's "Is he coming along fast enough?"

What do you expect of Ike Davis in 2011?

[Ceetar]

I'm expecting a really solid year out of him.

Production wise, closer to 25 home runs and 110 RBI (assuming he's batting 6th with a TON of opportunity) In fact, due to the circumstances of being able to drive in Bay, Wright and Beltran, all of who will be on base a lot, I wouldn't be surprised to hear a radio host use the words MVP in describing his season so far. He won't actually receive any real MVP votes, but..

I think he gets his average closer to .300, mainly but cutting down on some of the strike outs. .288/.355/.477 slash line.

[smg58]

I think a .280/.380/.480 line is well within his reach.

[metirish]

Ceetar wrote: I'm expecting a really solid year out of him. Production wise, closer to 25 home runs and 110 RBI (assuming he's batting 6th with a TON of opportunity) In fact, due to the circumstances of being able to drive in Bay, Wright and Beltran, all of who will be on base a lot, I wouldn't be surprised to hear a radio host use the words MVP in describing his season so far. He won't actually receive any real MVP votes, but.. I think he gets his average closer to .300, mainly but cutting down on some of the strike outs. .288/.355/.477 slash line.

Sounds like you're enjoying your home brew Ceetar

[Ceetar]

metirish wrote: Ceetar wrote: I'm expecting a really solid year out of him. Production wise, closer to 25 home runs and 110 RBI (assuming he's batting 6th with a TON of opportunity) In fact, due to the circumstances of being able to drive in Bay, Wright and Beltran, all of who will be on base a lot, I wouldn't be surprised to hear a radio host use the words MVP in describing his season so far. He won't actually receive any real MVP votes, but.. I think he gets his average closer to .300, mainly but cutting down on some of the strike outs. .288/.355/.477 slash line. Sounds like you're enjoying your home brew Ceetar

You really think that sounds farfetched?

[metirish]

The 110 rbi yeah.......more like 90 I think....I hope you are right though...

[G-Fafif]

During barren periods like winter and work stoppages, there's usually one player I rely on to infiltrate my thoughts and nudge me happily toward when the Mets will play again. These days it's Ike. I can't (or Ike'ant) wait to watch him at bat again.

Expecting a good year. There's ten new inches of snow on the ground and CPF was gone all morning. Like I need to expect a bad year out of Ike Davis?

[Frayed Knot]

Slight improvement from 2010 -- .270/.360/.470
Counting stats probably go up a bit - say 24 HRs and 87 RBIs

[TransMonk]

Sophmore slump forthcoming offensively. .252, 12 HR, 61 RBI

He will not disappoint with the glove, though.

[batmagadanleadoff]

I'm going to go out on the limb and predict that Ike's road HR totals will be among the league's best. It's too bad about those CF dimensions.

[Guest John Cougar Lunchbucket]

Frayed Knot wrote: Slight improvement from 2010 -- .270/.360/.470 Counting stats probably go up a bit - say 24 HRs and 87 RBIs

That's what I'd say too. I think Davis arrived almost fully formed as a ballplayer, unlike most pitchers or guys like Tejada or Fartinez. That's good in the sense that he's dependable to do what he does but it takes a real stretch from where I'm standing to see him dramatically improve year to year. He also seems to have inherited that 'baseball player' gene that causes one's demeanor never to get too up or too down, but just hover about a stat line that looks a lot like like the one he had last year.

He yam what he yam.

[Edgy MD]

He can hit it out of any park in America though, so if he can just find one more pitch that he's the master of, it can really raise his profile.

He wasn't particularly consistent last year --- kinda bad in August, very good in September --- so maybe he can smooth that out a bit.

Maybe.

[batmagadanleadoff]

Ike's strong, no doubt. He hits 'em farther than any other Met, maybe even as far as Delgado used to. Still, even on the road, he averaged a HR about every 29 AB. So he'll hafta improve considerably to end up among the league leaders in road HR rate.

[Guest attgig]

the pitchers get a good idea of how to pitch to him, and so he struggles with the average. But the power is there and so the counting stats build. Later in the year, after beltran gets shipped off, he becomes the new cleanup hitter in between wright and bay. With that extra protection, gets a few better pitches to swing at. and by year end, we think we may have the best 1bman in the nl east.


BA .243
SLG .489
HR 28
RBI 101
SO 158

[Gwreck]

batmagadanleadoff wrote: I'm going to go out on the limb and predict that Ike's road HR totals will be among the league's best. It's too bad about those CF dimensions.

I'll wager $10 to the charity of your choice that Ike Davis does not finish in the top 10 in NL road home runs in 2011.

[Benjamin Grimm]

25 HR, 90 RBI .270. Somewhat fewer strikeouts. I'll say... 115.

[Vic Sage]

[crossout:136i82hw]Adam LaRoche[/crossout:136i82hw] Ike Davis = .265-.275ba / 20-25hr / 85-90rbi

[Fman99]

.310, 30 HR, 115 RBI, cures polio (I know, shut up), bangs a bunch of pop stars I never heard of, grows a moustache/goatee combo and gets the moniker 'evil Ike' by me.

[Guest LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr]

.273/.369/.488
26 HR
35 2B
96 RBI
79 R
78 BB
130 K

More shiksa tail than a WASP centaur colony.

[batmagadanleadoff]

Gwreck wrote: batmagadanleadoff wrote: I'm going to go out on the limb and predict that Ike's road HR totals will be among the league's best. It's too bad about those CF dimensions. I'll wager $10 to the charity of your choice that Ike Davis does not finish in the top 10 in NL road home runs in 2011.

OK. You're on. Are we talking about rates or raw #'s (as if it's gonna matter)?

[Guest LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr]

The Star-Ledger's Andy McCullough presents The Tao of Ike.

(I've seen this gimmick used before... but I'm not sure I've seen it used as skillfully. Nice piece.)

[batmagadanleadoff]

batmagadanleadoff wrote: batmagadanleadoff wrote: I'm going to go out on the limb and predict that Ike's road HR totals will be among the league's best. It's too bad about those CF dimensions. I'll wager $10 to the charity of your choice that Ike Davis does not finish in the top 10 in NL road home runs in 2011. OK. You're on. Are we talking about rates or raw #'s (as if it's gonna matter)?

I forgot all about this nutty wager. The NL East is probably the toughest division to hit HR's in -- stadium wise. Still, in Ike, we might be witnessing the
emergence of a real star.

[Gwreck]

So did I, but will of course be honoring it. Ike is currently 8th in the NL with 6 home runs; 2 of which were on the road.

[Edgy MD]

Here's to him not leading the league in sacrifice bunts.

[Frayed Knot]

btw, NYM HRs so far -- 18 Home to 7 Away (and with 1 fewer home game)

HRs given up to date = 14 home v 17 on road

[smg58]

And yet, the Mets have a better record on the road.

[batmagadanleadoff]

Early Returns

It's only May, but still, which Major Leaguers are making the best cases for a spot on the All-Star team at its' most potent and star-studded position -- NL first base? Pujols? Ryan Howard? Prince Fielder? The reigning MVP - Joey Votto? Gaby Sanchez -- Topps' 2010 All-Rookie Team first sacker?

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Even Dwight Eisenhower urges all to vote for Ike Davis: