On Track

[batmagadanleadoff]

Jeff McNeil is on trackpace to challenge the .400 BA milestone and to clobber 35 HRs over the remainder of this season, having batted .393 with two HRs in eight minor league rehab games this year.

[batmagadanleadoff]

With that infield single, Mark Vientos' BA climbs to .183. Vientos is now on track to finish the season with a .183 BA.

[batmagadanleadoff]

With that triple, Mark Vientos' BA climbs to .190. Vientos is now on track to finish the season with a .190 BA.

[roger_that]

The Mets have climbed back over the .700 mark (.704) and their pace is now at precisely 114 wins for the season. In going RBI-less for the second straight game, Alonso has dipped below the 162 mark is in danger of dropping below the 150 mark any time now.



I didn't post in this thread yesterday (too bummed out by the brief losing streak) but it would have been a good time to do so, since all five starters had exactly 5 starts as of yesterday. All five had between 24.1 IP (Megill) and 28.2 (Senga) before today, putting them all on pace to finish with over 140 IP on the year, Kodai Senga to top them with over 170 IP.

[batmagadanleadoff]

=roger_that post_id=190889 time=1745716038 user_id=128]
In going RBI-less for the second straight game, Alonso has dipped below the 162 mark is in danger of dropping below the 150 mark any time now.

[Cowtipper]

Magic number is down to 131!

[roger_that]

And if you care about this sort of thing at all, 27 games is exactly one-sixth of the season, so you can easily compute anyone's numbers at this point by multiplying them by 6.



This relates, of course, to counting numbers, hits or wins or errors, and not to percentages and rate-stats, such as batting averages or ERAs, and such. I realize this is an obvious point, and most of us here are too intelligent to require such a reminder. A few dunderheads and trolls, but what are you going to do with them? (As little as humanly possible, I'd propose.)

[batmagadanleadoff]

=roger_that post_id=190921 time=1745775247 user_id=128]
And if you care about this sort of thing at all, 27 games is exactly one-sixth of the season, so you can easily compute anyone's numbers at this point by multiplying them by 6.



This relates, of course, to counting numbers, hits or wins or errors, and not to percentages and rate-stats, such as batting averages or ERAs, and such. I realize this is an obvious point, and most of us here are too intelligent to require such a reminder. A few dunderheads and trolls, but what are you going to do with them? (As little as humanly possible, I'd propose.)

[roger_that]

Yesterday morning, Brandon Nimmo was on track (despite his suckitude) to drive in 81 runs on the year, having 14 in 28 games to date, but yesterday evening, he was on track to drive in 117. A fine day's work. He's also now on track to hit 33 (and a half: .51) home runs, same as Pete. Not too shabby for someone who sucks eggs.

[MFS62]

You can pump the brakes on this thread for a while.

Later

[kcmets]

How old are you again? lol



Anti-lock brakes did away with brake pumping like half

a lifetime ago already.

[roger_that]

Even with 2 RBI last night, Pete has diminished his pace to under 150 for the year (147.27, to be precise.) His HR rate now stands at 39 (again, 39.27). Over 162 games, not an improbable figure for him to play in, those are beginning to approach likely 2025 figures, i.e., not absurd short sample projections.



Nimmo, on the other hand, is putting up some highly improbable power numbers for the year, given his past records: lifetime highs in both HR, 34 (34.36), and RBI, 108.



Despite dipping under .300, Lindor is still on pace for over 180 hits on the season (181.6). Pete is too, but that is less likely to hold up.



The Mets, winners of 22 out of 33 games so far, are currently on pace, of course, to win two-thirds of their games, which comes to 108, tying a franchise record.



Numerically on pace for a third of the games are Alonso's doubles (11, which comes to 54 doubles on the year), and on pace for two-thirds are Acuna in hits (now 22, or 108 on the year), Lindor in runs, and Alonso in Ks. I'd project that both Acuna will end up with more than 108 in each category, Acuna because of increased playing time, and Pete because, well, Pete.

Edited May 3, 2025 by Guest

[MFS62]

How old are you again? lol

Old enough to say, "Get off my lawn, you punk kid". LOL

Later

[Marshmallowmilkshake]

I like these On Track posts. They're fun. Nice work.

[Channel9]

I like this thread too.



I get a kick out of watching people's heads explode for no good reason.

[batmagadanleadoff]

=roger_that post_id=191545 time=1746280317 user_id=128]
Even with 2 RBI last night, Pete has diminished his pace to under 150 for the year (147.27, to be precise.) His HR rate now stands at 39 (again, 39.27). Over 162 games, not an improbable figure for him to play in, those are beginning to approach likely 2025 figures, i.e., not absurd short sample projections.



Nimmo, on the other hand, is putting up some highly improbable power numbers for the year, given his past records: lifetime highs in both HR, 34 (34.36), and RBI, 108.



Despite dipping under .300, Lindor is still on pace for over 180 hits on the season (181.6). Pete is too, but that is less likely to hold up.



The Mets, winners of 22 out of 33 games so far, are currently on pace, of course, to win two-thirds of their games, which comes to 108, tying a franchise record.



Numerically on pace for a third of the games are Alonso's doubles (11, which comes to 54 doubles on the year), and on pace for two-thirds are Acuna in hits (now 22, or 108 on the year), Lindor in runs, and Alonso in Ks. I'd project that both Acuna will end up with more than 108 in each category, Acuna because of increased playing time, and Pete because, well, Pete.

[roger_that]

=Marshmallowmilkshake post_id=191547 time=1746283800 user_id=119]
I like these On Track posts. They're fun. Nice work.

[roger_that]

One thing that stands out to me is the anomaly of Alonso's year so far. It's not only his best season by far, but his numbers are wacky given the type of hitter he's been to this point. For example, he had a K/BB ratio of better than 2 to 1 thru his first six years, but this season he has more BBs than Ks.

[Cowtipper]

Magic number down to 127!

[roger_that]

One thing that stands out to me is the anomaly of Alonso's year so far. It's not only his best season by far, but his numbers are wacky given the type of hitter he's been to this point. For example, he had a K/BB ratio of better than 2 to 1 thru his first six years, but this season he has more BBs than Ks.

On a scale but not quite an order of change, Nimmo is also, like Alonso, giving strong indications so far (stress on "so far," of course--we're still in small sample-size territory here) of changing his basic game from that of a fabulous OBP guy with sporadic power into a terrible OBP guy with very good power, beginning at age 30. For Nimmo that's last season, for Alonso, that's this one. The conventional wisdom is that Nimmo is deliberately changing his approach because he batted at the top of the order until recently and now is batting in the second third of the order consistently, but I don't know how any batter changes his approach to the game so easily. The vast majority of hitters are what they are, and can only tweak but not change their game quite so radically. We'll need to see if this is really a change or just a sample size anomaly.

[batmagadanleadoff]

=Marshmallowmilkshake post_id=191547 time=1746283800 user_id=119]
I like these On Track posts. They're fun. Nice work.

[Bob Alpacadaca]

Of course, you have the option of not reading any thread you are not interested in. Yet you've posted 14 times in this one. Why?

[batmagadanleadoff]

Bob Alpacadaca wrote: Of course, you have the option of not reading any thread you are not interested in. Yet you've posted 14 times in this one. Why?

Pete Alonso is on track to win the Player of the Month award every single month this season.



It's a nice thread when it's not being murdered to death with a master of the obvious providing twice daily updates and pounding his chest like he just discovered fire because he figured out what to do here at the 81 game mark of the season. Did you know that the 81 game mark is the halfway point in a major league baseball season? Stick around if you don't. Someone here will eventually explain it to you in six or seven paragraphs.

[Bob Alpacadaca]

If the thread annoys you, why do you keep reading it and posting in it?

[batmagadanleadoff]

Bob Alpacadaca wrote: If the thread annoys you, why do you keep reading it and posting in it?

Because disagreements and differences of opinion are far more interesting to read. What would a book or a movie be without a conflict?



Also, Tylor Megill is no longer on pace to have the best pitching season since Bob Gibson, 1968. How shock, shock, shocking. I never imagined this would happen. Chiefs and Prospects.

[roger_that]

Pete has now inched over the 60 doubles in a season pace, at 60.2. Theoretically, he's within striking distance of Earl Webb's mark of 67. He currently leads the major leagues in doubles. His previous high-water mark was 31, set last year, and he looks pretty solid to break that personal record.

[MFS62]

Is anyone going to start a thread titled "Derailed"?

Later

[roger_that]

The good news is the Mets are still on track to win 100 games. 101.8, to be precise. We're now playing .628 ball.



But getting back over .700 will be tough. If we start a 9-game winning streak now, we will inch back over .700 again (.704). Even short plateaus have a way of bringing a team down to earth quickly.

[stevejrogers]

=batmagadanleadoff post_id=191627 time=1746384988 user_id=68]
=Marshmallowmilkshake post_id=191547 time=1746283800 user_id=119]
I like these On Track posts. They're fun. Nice work.

[stevejrogers]

Is anyone going to start a thread titled "Derailed"? Later

We still have a 2 and a half game lead in the divison, but we'd be behind the Padres and tied with the Giants in the WC race…Still in somewhat control 👀🙏🏻📿🤞🏻✊🏻🪵