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Ceetar

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Everything posted by Ceetar

  1. dinosaur jesus wrote: I subscribed to YouTube, just to get rid of the ads every forty seconds. But I'm still not happy about ballgames being on it. It's one thing to put them on mlb.com, which gives you access to every game not on national TV or blacked out locally, or on a network available on any TV package. It's another to put them on a source you have to pay for directly. And the announcers probably suck. Anything's better than the cable network lockdown, this isn't the best solution, but I'd rather games be on YouTube than ESPN/Fox/WB11. And certainly telegraphing and trail-running a move to streaming gets everyone to at least know where the buttons are. Like mobile only ticketing and cashless ballparks. Fraught with rich/poor problems of course, but isn't it all.
  2. 46 game sample is all but meaningless in terms of defensive stats. Fangraphs actually has Lindor playing probably the worst defense of his career. Most of that seems to be range stuff, but he's on pace for a career high plays out of the zone, which strongly suggests the metrics haven't quite figured out the Mets shifts properly. I imagine the revolving door of other fielders around him has played into that a bunch too. The Mets defense is shockingly good this year. Some of that's gotta be just that they're less adept regulars are hurt, but certainly not all. Though I can't help but wonder if it's just the ball/bullpen. Every ball in play is just that much easier because the bullpen is excelling because the ball isn't as lively.
  3. https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/06/01/mets-francisco-lindor-isnt-slump-hes-three-year-slide/https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/06/01/mets-francisco-lindor-isnt-slump-hes-three-year-slide/ Neil Greenberg is a smart guy so his conclusion is upsetting. I don't know who he is or if he's smart, but that post was not convincing. Too much small sample stuff, particularly for this year. It goes all in on a "3 year slide" without mentioning the the first year was close to career norms, it's just that year before was an out-lier on the good side. The second year and third year of the 'slide' only add up to about 2/3rds of the first. (and again, if we get that first year for 10 years, he's a first-ballot Hall of Famer and maybe the best Met ever) It doesn't mention anything at all about what was weird about 2020 and how it might have affected the numbers. It takes the 2021 small sample and takes it with more seriousness than it's probably worth, given a small sample. Yes, if he continues like this it won't be a good sign, but it's a stretch to say the last 100 games are more predictive of the rest of his career than the 700 before it. Especially when, as he notes in some cases, mainly the problem is he's not squaring it up. He's still striking out at the same rate ,and actually walking a lot more. So is his lack of 'barrels' a sign of some sort of decline, or more likely, simply a slump and a result of not having a great start. He notes it a little bit, but doesn't quite connect the dots. It's not like Lindor is squaring it up and just not hitting it hard enough, bat speed, or something like that. It's that he's topping it more than usual. He's swinging at the wrong pitches and not squaring up the ones he chooses to swing at. But there's nothing predictive in there that suggests this is more than a slump.
  4. This is an out. it should always be an out. The only times it's not an out is when an umpire misses the call, which should be almost never. [attachment=0]villar.jpg[/attachment]
  5. that sounds like a more fun game than just letting stupid faulty human umpires subjectively decide.
  6. I used to get through the first 5-6 innings and then stop. Once I'm two beers in and the lineup changes start happening I lose interest. I used to keep score but I couldn't keep it up either. (the enthusiasm!) I have crappy hand-writing, I never went back to look at them, they don't really show me anything the zillion of online PBP don't show me. I saw some one mention the official scorer, why? Your scorecard isn't "official" score it how you think it should be scored!
  7. mistake 1. chasing Baez 2. Throwing to the catcher 3. Trying to tag the runner instead of Baez by the catcher 4. No one covering vacated first. I miss any? besides the 2 throwing errors?
  8. I don't know who's selling it like that. it's about getting the calls right. we have the capability, get the calls right. I'm sympathetic to the idea that this isn't how stolen bases are supposed to happen, that it's about touch the base before the ball can get to you, and worrying about coming a bit off is not super important, but then change the rule. It certainly makes more sense than 3-batter minimums, designating players as "pitchers" or "hitters", auto IBB, zombie runners, banning the shift, or hell even the DH.
  9. dinosaur jesus wrote: =batmagadanleadoff post_id=65631 time=1622071431 user_id=68] This is not a replay issue because that kind of out call can be made, just the same, in real-time, live, without the benefit of replay review. And it makes no sense to claim that replay is flawed because it presents the play under review with greater clarity. But that's just the point. Villar losing contact with the bag was not something that the umpire could have seen in real time. That's what we're talking about here, not plays that are so close that you need replay to decide them.
  10. =bmfc1 post_id=65615 time=1622063935 user_id=73] The MFYs postponed tonight's game b/c of the threat of rain. We'll see if the Mets do the same.
  11. it just denotes biological. the other 8 are cyborgs.
  12. both those calls last night were correct and we'd know. I'd be pissed if the opposition got an extra base they clearly didn't deserve and the rules prevented correcting it. If we're really just concerned with whether a player gest 90 feet before the ball gets there, not so much the tag itself, you can probably do this with Statcast. Anything else and you're just giving in to luck. Where the umpire happens to be positioned to get a decent enough look at the runner, the tag and the base for an unimpeded constant view. Because even if you want to make a play like last night non-reviewable, it's STILL going to be called by umpires sometimes, just wrongly.
  13. could make the bags bigger. even a few inches on either side would make stolen bases slightly easier, make staying on the bag slightly easier, would make beating out infield singles slightly easier. You'd barely notice, and MLB _probably_ could tweak it without screwing it up like the ball. Of course, they don't actually care, so it's hard to say. Writing a corporate memo to ball manufacturers is one thing, actually resdesigning the baseball field takes work. Or you know, dilute the pool of pitching with 6 new teams. You get the excitement of the bidding for new cities/teams, the draw of seeing a new team around the country, the naming debate. You get more playoffs without having to let half the teams in, players get more jobs, you arguably also get to bring back 2 dozen minor league teams, travel is reduced for some clubs. You could create even more scarcity of matchup that becomes a draw that interleague diluted. Mets might only play the Mariners at Citi Field once a decade! You could introduce more regional rivalries, which drives up attendance/ratings too.
  14. Lefty Specialist wrote: "Cameron Maybin, white courtesy phone....." Maybin will come along and be..almost okay maybe. Fargas is the casualty for this move, they couldn't make it yesterday because they literally didn't have enough players healthy on the 40.
  15. Robot umps. digital bases. They turn green when a baserunner is 'touching' (which you define programmatically if you want to allow a half inch above the bag for instance) replay and technology is exposing how flawed umpiring is. But there's no reason to stick with the flaws just because we didn't notice them or couldn't quantify them before. Fix the flaws. games are won and loss on a subjective spotty judgement by an umpire, and that's NOT sporting. A bad understanding of the rule and how to call it correctly almost cost the Mets the 2015 NLDS.
  16. I don't want ANY challenges. just get all the calls correct. You want to allow a safety net around the base for pop-up type slides? change the rules. Make the bases bigger. But the way it's written, they're rightly out. They came off the safety of the base.
  17. he should've sent that tweet to Cespedes. or like, any of the 29 other GMs that might have a player, or another agent..
  18. Ceetar's fault, he has some splainin' to do maňana. I kept going up to security "Just let me out there! I can hit! I swear!"
  19. okay, I'm gonna go to this one.
  20. you only know marginally less than us, these players just showed up too!
  21. sure, but that's a still a poor way to get the best meal you can tonight. Especially when just slipping the person at the door a $50 gets you a seat pretty reliably.
  22. it'd probably violate the collusion agreement.
  23. it could be the other way, presumably if he gets suspended for it they get some salary back? so either he's cheating and good-great, or he's a little above average but you get some salary back too.
  24. =batmagadanleadoff post_id=64899 time=1621554732 user_id=68] The lost FA that I tolerated the most was Bauer, who might've been merely using the Mets to up his deal with the Dodgers. But then there were the posts that he wasn't good enough, as if Bauer could've had a season as sublime as 2020 by pure luck and randomness.
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