If, heaven forbid, the Cardinals make the playoffs, Pujols could end up getting it. However, if David hits 4 more homers, keeps his batting average above .315, winds up with over 100 RBI and 100 runs scored, it looks like it's between him, Prince Fielder, and Matt Holliday. It all depends on which player and which team has the best September. If the Brewers don't make the playoffs, it seriously weighs against Fielder. Some voters might be put off by Holliday's Coors Field-inflated numbers. That leaves it up to Wright to separate himself from his teammates. If that happens, he has a fantastic shot at it.