Yeah, that's where I'm at too. I think the runner probably missed the plate but I don't overturn that based on what I just saw there (wasn't watching live). It's the same deal if he were called out; the Phils would challenge (at that point of the game there's no reason not to) but I wouldn't support flipping that call either. I'll reiterate what I've said here a bunch of times, that replay is always sold on the idea that it will only be used to reverse the obvious blown calls. Fans bought into the idea that Don Denkinger's call would have been undone, that the Galarraga kid from Detroit would have gotten his perfect game back, and the handful of obvious wrongs committed each season (only the one's against your team of course - the other way doesn't really exist) and the game will be a better game for all concerned. But instead things have slipped, as even a minimum amount of logic would tell you it would, into the situation where if the replay appears to show that the call was probably wrong then it gets flipped. So not only is the requirement not that of a jury trial: beyond a reasonable doubt, it's not even as high as the one for a civil suit which asks for 'a preponderance of evidence'. Instead it's more like what I tend to think of as the '51 %' standard. But the thing is, the more the over-seer umps refrain from overturning those kind of 'coin flip' calls, not only will replay at least start to resemble what it was supposedly built for in the first place, but also the more gun-shy managers (and their consultants on the other end of the phone line) will get about challenging those ticky-tack calls which accomplish little more than to delay the game for what are, at worst, minor misjudgments.