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Centerfield

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Everything posted by Centerfield

  1. Blackburn strikes out just another hitter to lead off the game.
  2. Two bullets over 100 mph. Three outs.
  3. It's bullshit that the Mets don't get an off day. We go across the country without rest. We have to throw a sixth starter. And we have to play an extra game against the Dodgers. This is on top of the extra series we have against the Yankees. Some bullshit scheduling IMO.
  4. Really? One hit through the three? Come on Mets.
  5. Baty in the lineup against a lefty. I support this.
  6. https://www.kcmets.net/CPF/NYM.png> F Lindor (S) SS M Vientos (R) 3B J Soto (L) RF P Alonso (R) 1B B Nimmo (L) LF S Marte (R) DH T Taylor (R) CF F Alvarez (R) C L Acuña (R) 2B D Peterson (LH) P (3-2, 2.79 ERA, 54 SO) I mean, I get there's a lefty on the mound. But Brett Baty has earned the right to play every day. An .889 OPS in May. He's had some good ABs against lefthanders too.
  7. It made no sense to me either. One mitigating circumstance could be that with the rain Mendy didn’t think they’d get all 9 in. But still.
  8. Hot Corner DH candidate Brandon Waddell not having the best day today.
  9. Frayed Knot wrote: =Radar post_id=193935 time=1748461854 user_id=182] Who is our hitting(lol)coach? Better question do we even have one. If so find another one. The same one(s) as last year when the Mets were 7th of 30 teams in RS/G Personally I usually view the idea of blaming coaches for player shortcomings, particularly short term ones, to be weak sauce. But your mileage may vary. Prior to today's game only Torrens (+67), Alonso (+73) and Baty (+67) had an OPS above their career mark The rest (discounting those with <100 ABs to date): Lindor is at -11 (so great April + lousy May = essentially a wash); Nimmo -126, Soto -186, T. Taylor -62; Marte -116 (being 36 y/o likely a factor there); and Vientos -156 (compared to '24 only since not much of a track record prior to that)
  10. It's HIGHLY subjective. Even for actual results. Is it real? Are the Mets actually failing in "clutch" situations? Maybe. Certainly some subset of them, at times. They were 1-6 with RISP yesterday. They scored 6 runs. It's not subjective. In any sense. The Mets OPS with RISP is a statistic. It's irrefutable. Whatever conclusions you may wish reach may be subjective, but the stat is the stat. It's a subset, you can use it as a small part of a bigger story you want to tell, but particularly in this instance, I'm not so sure what story it's telling. The story it tells is that the Mets OPS has been worse with RISP than their overall OPS. Mostly just that the Mets maybe have had some bad luck/sequencing of some of their hits at times. Yes. That's my takeaway as well. Also of note you infer that you understand it's not predictive but then suggest that it is predictive by saying they should score more going forward. Their past performance is not predictive. Their unlucky results that have already happened are not indicative of any result we'll see in the future. Their overall OPS is predictive. The Mets will likely perform in future situations just as they perform overall. Flipping a coin heads six times in a row is not indicative in anyway, what the next flips will be. The only predictive indicator are the overall odds. 50%. Going forward, the likelihood of tails will be 50%. Which is better than the 0%, already in the books.
  11. How bad is the rain? I'd take my chances with four innings against that bullpen, but how likely are we to get those four innings?
  12. By my unofficial count, the Mets lose 98.4% of all day games before an off-day. Leaving you days to dwell on that shitty loss. When it's a day game, followed by an off-day, followed by a West Coast 10 p.m. start, that percentage rises to 114%.
  13. Batting with RISP is randomness. Players can't hit "better" whenever they feel like it. If they could, they'd hardly ever make outs. The only times they'd make outs is when some outfielder pulls a Ron Swoboda-like World Series highlight reel catch. It's comical. No matter how many times I tell you that no one is arguing with you on this, you still feel compelled to make this argument. Will you reply with another full-throated argument against "clutch"? I'm guessing yes. If you flip a coin six times and it comes up "heads" all six times, the coin is not suddenly due to come up tails on the next flip. The coin is just as likely to come up either heads or tails on the seventh flip. Uhh. Yeah. Let's say you get $1 for every time the coin comes up tails. You get nothing if it comes up heads. Flip it six times in a row, you get heads every time. You've made no money. Flip it six more times, odds are you'll make $3. Because the odds suggest you'll do better than 0%. If the past was a statistical oddity, chances are you'll do better going forward. I never said there would be six tails in a row. Again, you're arguing points no one is making. The Mets OPS .676 with RISP. Oh no, it's terrible. Sky is falling. But going forward, their expected OPS with RISP is .730 (same as their overall OPS). So chances are, the Mets will score more runs going forward. If the past results were a statistical oddity, the likelihood is that the future will be closer to the expected probability. I remain unimpressed. Educate me again how clutch is not repeatable. I feel like I missed that.
  14. Well this sucks. 4-0 is basically insurmountable for this offense.
  15. I'm not sure what your point here is. I spell it out. It's right there, two sentences, standalone paragraph. If you don't believe that clutch hitting is some repeatable trait, these numbers are encouraging. Hopefully the Mets numbers with RISP will trend toward their overall numbers, and the offense will gradually improve. I mean. Honest question. Do you really not understand this point? I can't tell if you're trying to be antagonistic, or if your reading comprehension skills have drastically declined. Of course, teams should hope to drive in baserunners that are in scoring position. Teams should strive to score as many runs as possible. But RISP BAs are not repeatable skills, and not predictive of anything. RISP BAs are not comsistent from year to year. BAs with RISP are nothing more than a fancy term for the nonsensical and non-existing old wive's tale that is "clutch hitting". Batting with RISP is a junk stat. First off, it's not repeatable because clutch hitting is a myth, an old wive's tale. If players could turn it on at will, they'd bat .700 and hit 150 HRs a year. You keep making this counterargument that RISP is not a repeatable trait. Literally no one is making this argument. No one is making this case, but you feel compelled to speak out against it anyway. Multiple times. Are you imagining these conversations? If you read my quoted text above, I'm saying exactly the opposite. Again. Reading comprehension. This is why your posts are so confusing. I can't tell if you're arguing with me, or someone else, or just voices in your head. OPS with RISP is not a "junk stat". Whatever that means. It's a measure of real results that have taken place. No one ever said it's predictive of future results, but it is absolutely a record of what has taken place so far. And it matters because performance with RISP obviously affects results. Getting one hit each inning is going to result in less runs than getting nine hits in a row. OPS with RISP is useful. It's unquestionable that the Mets, in 2025, have been dreadful in "clutch" situations. But I think you and I both agree, that there's no reason to think that this will continue. This bodes well for the Mets. As their OPS with RISP eventually trends toward their overall OPS, they should score more runs.
  16. Butto has been awful. What happened to this guy.
  17. Brandon Nimmo OPS by Month 2025 April: .673 May: .698 Not bouncing back.
  18. Updating after three wins this weekend. The Mets are 9th overall in MLB in OPS (.730), but are 13th in runs scored. Their 4.31 runs per game is exactly league average. With RISP, the Mets' OPS drops to .676, good for 22nd in MLB (but higher than the 24th ranking they had when we started this discussion). That statistic is probably why they're league average in runs scored, despite a better than average OPS. Of note, their BABIP with RISP is a league worst .236. Which suggests they're getting really unlucky, or not hitting the ball hard, or likely both. Their overall BABIP is .286 (19th in MLB). If you don't believe that clutch hitting is some repeatable trait, these numbers are encouraging. Hopefully the Mets numbers with RISP will trend toward their overall numbers, and the offense will gradually improve. For what it's worth, the Mets OPS with RISP in 2024 was .809, tied for 2nd in MLB.
  19. Wow. Nice work Reed Garrett. Nice job Mets!
  20. Wow! Nice turn by Lindor.
  21. Stanek needs to mix his pitches earlier in the count.
  22. Was at the game. So much fun. Crowd wasn't as lively as I thought they'd be for a Saturday night game, but the Mets were as good as I can remember in a while. Give me this version of Edwin Diaz for the rest of the year please.
  23. Pete is our Manfred Man. Will be awesome to watch him lumber home.
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