Just a hunch, maybe I'm a cynic, but I don't think Maddux and Glavine both get in the first time around, since there are so many good candidates to take votes away. I think Maddux is in and Glavine waits. I think JCL is absolutely right about the glut of candidates, and I don't think the backIog is going to get much smaller this year. I'd love to be wrong. I could easily and happily vote for probably ten of these guys, but if I am guessing who will get in, not who I would vote to get in, I would say: IN Maddux Biggio Morris (though he'd be near the bottom of my ballot) Next top vote getters: Bagwell Piazza Thomas Glavine I expect that all four of those guys will be in the 60 percent voting range. I think Thomas will split votes with Bagwell; I think Bagwell and Piazza will gain votes but still fall under the suspicions of PEDs, no matter how fair or unfair. And Glavine will fall victim to the "too many guys on the ballot" and "is this guy really good enough to be voted in on the first ballot?" scenarios.