smg58
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Everything posted by smg58
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The concern is that you'll have to pay for 2015 in order to sign him, but you'll get something less. Of course, if you DO get 2015, you have the best pitcher in baseball. You have to make a realistic assessment of whether that kind of form is still in him. I'm leaning towards no, but I'm glad more knowledgeable people than I are making the decision.
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He's a tough player to read. As a hitter he strikes out too often. His pitching numbers are certainly impressive, but he's never thrown more than 160 innings in a season (and only threw 25 innings this year). There's a lot of raw talent there, but it's RAW talent by MLB standards. Treat him like the top pitching prospect, but not like a guaranteed perennial All Star.
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His ERA+ was noticeably down this year (118, compared to 134, 130, and 145 in his previous three seasons), and that's before we talk about the postseason. The risk that he's already past his prime is too high to justify a monster deal (defining a "monster" deal as north of 5 years and $100M). I'm totally for another frontline starter, but Darvish might not be that guy anymore.
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Centerfield wrote: Guys, this is like Luis Castillo without the walks. Luis Castillo in his prime was a very good player. Minaya paid for Castillio in his prime when he was clearly past it. Gordon is still in his prime, but he turns 30 in April and, like I said before, his value will most likely fall off a cliff at some point. The questions are how much value can you get from him in the meantime, and will it be worth the cost to get him. I'm for weighing as many options as I can find, and while he's a flawed option, he's good enough to not simply dismiss.
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Fangraphs valued Gordon at $26M this season, so his salary should not be a deterrent. The concern is that when you have a guy whose game revolves so entirely around speed, his value disintegrates quickly once he inevitably loses a step (see Cedeno, Roger). I'd be worried about the third and fourth years, but not to the point of dismissing him entirely.
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They need someone to fill either second or third, but they also need to add quality to the rotation and to the pen. My money would go toward pitching first. There's no point in pretending that it is currently the strength of the team. One starter, and two relievers. I do think the pickings at third base in the free agent market are better next offseason than this one, so I would lean in the direction of finding a second baseman now and letting Cabrera play third. Call me back if the price on Moustakas is lower than I think it will be. Frazier? No better offensively than what we already have. His defense is a plus, but Cabrera might improve with more time there. The question then becomes, what's on second? The outfield can be improved on, but I'm OK going with what we have (outside of another righthanded bat) if the rest of the needs are filled well.
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Awesome!
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We need at least two more relievers and one more infielder even if we bring both Blevins and Cabrera back, so picking up both options strikes me as a no-brainer.
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I don't remember anybody objecting when the Wright extension happened. If anything, people were relieved that the Mets were still willing to commit money to somebody. They're too cheap, except when they aren't, in which case they didn't have the balls to say no.
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Cabrera is going to start at either second or third (most likely third, as he's performed respectably there). For $6.5M (not including the buyout), we can do much worse. He's a better hitter and fielder at this point than Reyes. There might still be some room on the bench for Reyes, though.
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I would happily make the argument that giving Nimmo the chance to face lefties is preferable to giving serious playing time to Travis Taijeron. Given that it has been a while since Lagares played full time, though, I would like to see that he can handle it for an extended stretch without breaking down. Nimmo's goal is to show the Mets he would make a better fourth outhfielder in 2018 than Aoki. The Mets could also use another righthanded outfielder, but he's not on the roster right now.
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I think a big part of what tilted the market against the Mets at the trade deadline was the first-half performance of the Dodgers and Astros. Teams just weren't willing to give up significant value for a two-month rental that wouldn't make them competitive enough on paper. So naturally, both teams have fallen back to Earth since the deadline.
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I'll take three pitchers, and either a second or third baseman. I don't see first base as a position of need, and I think Lagares brings enough with his glove to justify letting him play. We need to address what killed us this year, and more than anything else that was pitching. Infield defense didn't help, but simply calling up Rosario was a boost in that regard.
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Conlon finished the regular season in the pen. His wrapped up with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP, but since he re-located he pitched 10.1 IP with 7 hits, 3 walks, 12 Ks, and one unearned run. He probably starts next season in the pen in Vegas, but in the meantime the B-Mets have a playoff series with Trenton.
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Jose has barely been above replacement level, due in some part to poor defense as an infielder. I could have seen some sentimental value in having him and Wright man the left side of the infield for one last game, but sentiment is basically all the value he has left, and at any rate Wright's shoulder isn't cooperating. I don't see a problem with having a third qualified major-league outfielder on our team the rest of the way.
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It Cuts Like a Knife: Injuries and Rehab in 2017
smg58 replied to Edgy MD's topic in New York Mets Talk
Lefty Specialist wrote: Jeez. Conforto with the dislocated shoulder on a swing. What's next....locusts? I'm pretty sure the locusts already happened. What comes next? -
Let's see how Wright looks before passing judgement. You obviously can't take him for granted, but he's here and under contract. As long as there is at least some chance that he will be useful next season, you might as well give him the opportunity.
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They need one more infielder for second or third. Otherwise, I'm OK with what they have as position players. Rosario and Smith will be better for their time spent in Queens this year. I'd be in on an ace starter like Darvish. But my interest mid-range starters would depend on a fair, honest assessment of the health of our staff. As for the pen... you have to be careful. Chapman is getting paid an awful lot for his 4.14 ERA, and Melancon is having trouble staying healthy. But failure to spend money on next year's pen is not an option.
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We as fans don't know what's going on behind the scenes, and can only speculate. I feel bad about it now, but it's what we do. Nobody's paying us to run a baseball team. But while I give DeGrom plenty of credit for suggesting "Hey Steve, you should get your nerves checked," that suggestion should have come from the Mets' doctors several months ago.
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Per Mark Carig (Newsday's Mets reporter), Matz has been pitching through pain all season. If he was performing reasonably well and the pain was something that offseason rest or surgery could take care of, you could have justified letting him pitch this long. Either the Mets have a rather broad definition of "reasonably well," or somebody (medical staff, front office, or both) is failing to do their job. You really get a sense that there is a major lack of communication between the players (the pitchers especially) and the medical staff. If the results weren't already damning enough, what are the Mets' doctors doing that the players don't want to talk to them when something isn't right? And why isn't somebody insisting on it?
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The PTBNL is Jacob Rhame, a AAA reliever with a 55/10 K/BB ratio in 48 IP but also 6 HRs and 4.31 ERA. His overall numbers aren't terrible for the PCL. He comes in on the 40 -- I guess he needed to clear waivers first -- so he'll get an audition in September if not sooner.
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There were a number of factors. The Dodgers and the Astros reduced the number of buyers, for one thing. A number of teams (the Yankees especially) also made it clear that they wouldn't give up value for two-month rentals. And nobody was more adversely affected by it than the Mets, whose luck on the season was already pretty crummy.
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Always a first-rate guy. He can't complain about where he ended up.
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HahnSolo wrote: smg58 wrote: And here I was thinking the thread was about somebody really bad, like Yadier Molina. Oh, how I wish baseball was the worst thing about this year. Two years ago, there's a segment of Mets fans who would have considered him only the fourth-most-hated person in that photo. It disturbs me to think there might be a segment of Mets fans who still do.
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And here I was thinking the thread was about somebody really bad, like Yadier Molina. Oh, how I wish baseball was the worst thing about this year.
