smg58
-
Posts
5,863 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
8
Content Type
Profiles
New York Mets News, Rumors & Analysis
New York Mets Videos
2026 New York Mets Top Prospect Rankings
New York Mets Trade & Free Agent Rumors
New York Mets Fan Guides & Resources
2026 New York Mets Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by smg58
-
And this is why the $60 million that Carlos Santana got from the Phillies was absolute insanity.
-
It's possible that the trade and the Gomez signing were already more or less in place, and this was more creative accounting than anything else. Still, I'm not sure what the point of this was. They got a pretty good prospect from the Yankees in their other deal, but this just seems strange. Tristan Gray (the minor leaguer in the deal) had a decent year in low A, but he plays the same position (second base) as the prospect they just got from the Yankees.
-
My money is on Matz beating out Wheeler, but if we have more than five of these guys pitching well at the same time I won't complain. I think you're right about Gsellman and Lugo. Montero won't survive waivers if he's pitching adequately, but he might not be good enough to come north either.
-
I guess we should probably talk about Jason Vargas, huh
smg58 replied to A Boy Named Seo's topic in New York Mets Talk
A lot would depend on how optimistic I am about getting 175+ quality innings from at least four of DeGrom/Syndergaard/Harvey/Matz/Wheeler. He'd be an acceptable #5. He'd also be useful as a fill-in starter/long relief option/second lefty in the pen, but his track record says he'll want (and most likely get) more than that role normally goes for. He's not exciting, especially with better options still available, but he has a high floor compared to some of our staff. -
Super-Jack Hammer-Wielding Juan Lagares 2.0
smg58 replied to Centerfield's topic in New York Mets Talk
I would argue that Nimmo needs to hit for more pop too, or pitchers won't allow him to draw that many walks. Lagares' glove is still a big asset, and if he improves any facet of his hitting he deserves to play every day. But we'll see. Everyone's an optimist this time of year (not that there's anything wrong with that). -
It's worth pointing out that Lynn had a better ERA (and ERA+) than both Darvish and Arrieta did last year. It's also worth pointing out that his FIP was much worse than his ERA. The bottom line was that he got in a full load of starts pitching with less than his best stuff after TJS in the fall of 2015, and did as well as anybody could expect. The question with Lynn is will his stuff improve the second year back. If yes, he could have tremendous value. If no, the league could catch up to him very quickly. It's a risk, but I'd bet on him.
-
Sergio Romo finished up really well with the Rays last year after looking done with the Dodgers. At a low price, he's well worth checking into. I said in November that if Lance Lynn regains more of his old stuff the second year after TJS, he could provide comparable value to Arrietta and Darvish at half the price. I still think that's true. It's still a big if, but if you think Darvish has to learn to pitch with more guile after this past season, well, Lynn has already done that.
-
'Best Shape of His Life' - Dom Smith edition
smg58 replied to Frayed Knot's topic in New York Mets Talk
Smith had a higher OPS than Gonzalez last year and had a criminally low .218 BABIP. I'm still very bullish on him and I think he should, and will, play. -
Well yeah. Offense wasn't really our problem last year, and it won't be this year either. Defense was a problem, but I think that has been reasonably addressed. And that brings us back to pitching.
-
Ceetar wrote: They've praised Frazier's adjustments last year. Plus his BABIP has been crazy low the last two. If he's truly learned how to walk and can build on that with the new team, he'll be good. Teams probably use a shift on him, which would lower the BABIP (see Granderson, Curtis and Duda, Lucas), although the .226 BABIP he had last year probably had some bad luck tied to it. A good OBP in spite of a bad average would make up for things, especially if it comes with plus power and plus defense. He's a decent pickup at a very good price. That sets up the infield. Now back to pitching.
-
So we'll know on the 14th if we can expect to see him any time soon or not. That's fine.
-
If we still have resources after pitching and the infield have been adequately addressed, and he can be had on a deal that requires him to earn his spot, then maybe.
-
Lefty Specialist wrote: Filled the 'we have too many injuries and no decent outfielders in the minors so we have to have a body to put out there' role adequately. This. He performed the needed service of making Terry Collins less embarrassed to give the ump the lineup card.
-
I'm in.
-
I have that card. I always loved Oscar Gamble. The only thing that would have made that afro more perfect is a Houston Astros uniform.
-
Josh Harrison, He's Somebody Folks Talk About
smg58 replied to Edgy MD's topic in New York Mets Talk
What I get from all this is that the Pirates want Nimmo, and the Mets would prefer Harrison over the other options (for defensive reasons) if Nimmo wasn't the return package. I'm expecting something else to happen. -
Bully for Beltran (split from Appreciation for Santana)
smg58 replied to Centerfield's topic in New York Mets Talk
I think the reaction to the strikeout is more of a gut emotional reaction than anything else; it was a heartbreaking moment that I still cringe to think about. Is it fair? Fuck no. Carlos Beltran is human, and so am I. That being said, Beltran was a superb player before, during, and after his tenure with the Mets. I was happy to get him, I'm still happy we got him, and I wished him well when he left. -
The last game I saw at Shea was earlier that summer. Johan pitched eight innings and left with a two run lead, after crossing the 100-pitch threshold. The pen blew the game, and the torches and pitchforks came out regarding pitch counts. Johan was used a lot less carefully after that, and consequences ensued. I may be biased because I was there, but I still consider that game the turning point in the Mets' fortunes.
-
Bully for Beltran (split from Appreciation for Santana)
smg58 replied to Centerfield's topic in New York Mets Talk
It's human nature. Some games are more important than others, some plays are more important than others. Bill Buckner had an extremely enviable career. Ron Swoboda was considered a defensive liability. Al Weis didn't hit home runs. Every time I hear somebody mention how great Beltran was in the postseason -- and to be fair, he WAS -- it's like a knife twisting in my heart. You know what pitch is coming, get ready to swing at it! -
If you're carrying six infielders -- and assuming the reports that the Mets would go with 13 pitchers was insane speculation, you're carrying six infielders -- there is plenty of room for Reyes. You worry about what happens when Rivera comes back when Rivera comes back.
-
"I'm not officially retired. I'm still thinking about trying to come back. Only time will tell."
-
Edgy MD wrote: If the team thinks he could help, and he only costs a minor league contract, I'm all for it. Considering his style, I'd imagine he'd be pretty vulnerable to a double-digit ERA if he got a Vegas assignment, and if that's the case, no promotion will come. If he does somehow get signed and manage to pitch his way onto the roster and perform effectively, I certainly wouldn't take that second hand report as a statement of intent to retire after six wins. If he did that while the team was pursuing something, and he was their best asset to help them pursue it, he'd go into retirement looking like a real turd. Presumably he'd retire after the season if he got at least six wins (or if it became clear that he can no longer pitch at a level that would make six major league wins possible). But what do I know? I'd have no problem with a minor league, zero expectations deal. But the key phrase in that sentence is "zero expectations." FWIW, he'd be a great pickup for the Long Island Ducks.
-
Martinez at least is a Boras client. He is hoping for 6 and 150, but so far the Red Sox are standing firm at 5 and 125. After the damage done to Stephen Drew's career and earning potential when Boras rejected the QO and then refused to accept that one year was all Drew would get until the season was half over, Boras can only go so far with being stubborn and the league knows it. I don't think it is a collusion. Given the talent in next year's free agent pool and the way the luxury tax rules are written, there is a tangible reason for the big spenders to get under the tax threshold. And that has suppressed the market, although I think smaller payroll teams are scrambling to re-assess their spending plans for the offseason now that players they assumed were out of their price range no longer appear to be so.
-
My gut says "other." When I figure out who that other is, I'll tell you.
-
Holland did well enough pitching in Colorado the first year back from TJS. The physical might be make-or-break for him, but I'd have no problem giving him a look if the expected price is coming down. There are a few lefties out there. None have particularly big names, although Brian Duensing is coming off a good year.
