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smg58

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Everything posted by smg58

  1. You could objectively (to the extent that the stat is objective) set a criterion of WAR in a Mets uniform, and maybe allow bonus points for playoff appearances or World Series wins. And you could make the standard higher for number retirement than the Mets Hall of Fame.
  2. This is the exactly kind of thing you speculate on when there is really nothing better to do. So, naturally... I don't think a half-season would hurt how people view him long-term. A completely lost season would affect a lot of players for multiple reasons, though. You could only speculate on whether he'd have been as special this season as he was in the last two. But he'll still be judged on the overall body of work, and what happens after this year will matter plenty one way or the other.
  3. Edgy MD wrote: Frayed Knot wrote: Even giving weight to positional importance, Rey's 'defensive prime' was just too short to compare for overall impact. This is my problem with considering Beltran. He was really only fully healthy-- and at full defensive capability-- for three years with us. But peak-period outfielders are worth a lot, because 95% of the balls a shortstop doesn't get to are singles. (I made up that number. I guess that one in 20 might be that flare over the thirdbaseman's head that drops for a double.). What outfielders don't get to are more likely to drop for extra bases — dubbles, tribbles, and ho-hos. Beltran broke 2 dWAR twice, once with the Royals and once with us. Juan Lagares broke 3 dWAR in each of his first two seasons. Which I suppose brings us back to the debate between longevity and one or two brilliant seasons.
  4. dWAR is an interesting stat. I'm not sure how accurate it is or what it's based on, but it doesn't look unreasonable. I was too young to see Belanger in his prime, so I can't really compare him to Ozzie. Ozzie was fun to watch, although he only topped Rey's 4.0 dWAR in 1999 once. (He got over 3 many times, though.) Rey also made too many errors in his other seasons, which cut into his defensive value despite the highlight reel plays.
  5. Rey. His 99 was as good a defensive season as anybody has ever had.
  6. =seawolf17 post_id=34209 time=1585333577 user_id=91] Just *five* rounds for the draft? What the heck?
  7. Could you imagine in 2015 that Matt Harvey wouldn't make the top 10? In 2010 I'd have guessed there was a real chance of Reyes signing elsewhere, but Wright was a Met lifer on the track to Cooperstown.
  8. Sigh. Johnny Lunchbucket wrote: Good thing we let Wheeler go to Philly Brodie deserves some credit for thinking that a sixth starter was prudent. But he got a 5 and 6 when legit #2's were available. I would gladly swap Porcello and Betances for Bumgarner or Wheeler. And if Brodie was holding on to payroll for a trade that didn't happen, well, he has to answer to the fans for that (even if the Wilpons don't care).
  9. My friend took Muddy Chickens. He was planning to make his cuts today, but now it looks like he has more time. But Valley Vermin is still open?
  10. He just took over the Muddy Chickens.
  11. Steady but unspectacular. I'll go with a repeat of the .257/.363/.494 line from last year.
  12. 2.25 ERA in 225 IP. Finally wins 20 games, but somebody with a sub-2 ERA and criminally negligent run support edges him out for the Cy.
  13. HUGE error bars on this one. I'll say a bit less Mr. Hyde than last year, with enough awesome outings to make his overall 3.80 ERA seem better than it is.
  14. The best 20 innings we've ever gotten from a relief pitcher.
  15. Johnny Lunchbucket wrote: Here's something I didn't know and/or had forgotten: Brad Brach was an all-star in 2016. It was one of those obligations from a shitty Baltimore club, but he was very good that year and really, better than average most years. Decent K's, maybe a few too many walks, good homer-preventer. Depending on how Rojas ultimately deploys them--I suspect they will join the "bullpen game" trend-- he and Wilson could be a kind of Turk-Cook for this club. So... 3-3, 3.77, 50 innings I'll add 10 inning to this. Maybe he's still got something in the tank.
  16. Like Diaz, the error bars are huge. I'll aim for a conservative resurgence: a 3.50 ERA over 65 IP.
  17. My gut says he won't be a Met much longer, unless he hits at Syracuse like he did in Arizona over the winter.
  18. So my friend is registered in ottoneu, but he doesn't know how to join the league. Where do you click, and from what page?
  19. I hadn't realized we had five better starting pitchers than Matz. Three, yes. But he had a better ERA+ than Wacha and Porcello last season, despite an off year. Plus a real baseball would help him a lot. I'm not sure what the Yankees would consider trading that we could use, outside of relief pitching. But I wouldn't trade a starter for a reliever unless there was a huge quality difference or we were getting multiple decent ones.
  20. So my friend is interested, though I'm not sure which team just yet. (He was intrigued by having Mike Trout, but the price tag might be a deal-breaker.) What should he do from here?
  21. smg58

    FotF

    Two straight Cy's mean it's still Jake. But he has some potential challengers -- Alonso obviously, but if McNeil keeps being McNeil he's in the running. And Thor could have that big season I think he's capable of having. And who knows, maybe the old Cespedes will show up.
  22. I have a friend I could ask, although he bats for the other team I mean he's a Yankees fan.
  23. .265/.315/.435, with 18 HR and 70 RBI.
  24. I'll get his autograph in Central Islip in late August.
  25. Average up, power down. Matures as a hitter, but they go back to a real baseball. .270/.380/.545, with 38 HRs. Nimmo and McNeil hitting in front of him-full time push him over 100 RBIs.
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