smg58
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Everything posted by smg58
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Two great articles posted here within ten minutes of each other. I'm impressed!
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Wow, a sportswriter who talks sense.
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So every time a controversial trade happens, we get lots of rationalizations from one side of the argument and conspiracy theories from the other. It happened, Minaya has his reasons, and I'm rooting for him to be right and me to be wrong. As for Peterson, the pitching staff has outperformed my expectations the past two seasons, so either I'm overly cynical or he's doing a good job.
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I've got no problem at all with minor league deals to players like Boone when the upper levels of the farm system are thin at that player's position. This happens not to be the case at second base, and I think all Boone can do for the Mets is block somebody else's progress. I doubt it will have any major consequences for the team, but I see no need for it.
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Hillbilly wrote: It looks to me based on the wedding pictures that I've seen that Jae is out of shape. This might have been a contributor to the Mets making him available. Based on wedding pictures where the guy's mid-region is blocked from view by his wife. I don't see how anybody can seriously make an issue out of that. Look, Seo has a 3.85 ERA over 397 innings (roughly two full seasons). I wouldn't count on 2.59 over a full year, but a 3.85 ERA (assuming, perhaps conservatively, that he couldn't do better) would still make him our third best pitcher. We added depth to our pen by making our starting rotation worse. We also reduced our options from the left side of the pen, where we were already too thin. I feel like I have to subtract a few wins from my projection for the team beacuse of this deal.
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All-Purpose 2006 Where Have You Gone... Former Mets Thread
smg58 replied to a topic in New York Mets Talk
So I guess the Astros are committed to Berkman at first, which means they don't expect Bagwell back. What's the going rate on Chris Burke? He looked like he was starting to get it in the second half (.781 OPS after the All-Star break), and had a few big hits in the playoffs, but it looks like he might have less playing time in store this year than last. There's still quite a bit of upside there. Then again, Houston may be serious about a Tejada deal, so a lot of pieces might move. -
So the Mets are getting one of the many solid prospects in the Dodgers' system (the deepest in the league) in addition to Sanchez, right? The whole world needs starting pitching, so the Mets could obviously get more than a righty middle reliever with a 3.72 ERA for a cheap, young starter coming off a sub-3 ERA season, right? Right?
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Offseason trading begins, Nats move Castilla to Padres
smg58 replied to a topic in New York Mets Talk
http://baseball.about.com/od/theballparkeffect/a/parkeffecthit.htm This site makes reference to the numbers, which they got from Bill James, but doesn't post anything specific. Apparently Petco was last from both sides of the plate, but I guess the Padres feel it more keenly from the left side because of Giles and Klesko. (On a side note, it wouldn't surprise me if Giles or his agent insisted on taking in the fence as a condition for his returning.) -
86-Dreamer wrote: I hate this if it is Heilman. Dislike less, but still dislike if it is for Seo. I would love it if it was for Zambrano .... I'm with you on the first two, but even Zambrano would be trading a capable starting pitcher for a righty set-up guy.
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Like I said before, I'm OK with Bradford if the Mets go with seven relievers, but I don't see there being room for a righty specialist if the Mets carry only six. At this point we have Wagner, Heilman, Bell, Padilla, Bradford, Zambrano, and one more lefty, but if we go with seven then Diaz, Nady, and Franco are competing for two spots. Something's gotta give somewhere.
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Padilla's career ERA (for two seasons, roughly translating to one full season of work) is 4.07, and that's probably an accurate indication of where he'll be if the strikeouts don't improve. That being said, Padilla's K/BB in AAA suggests we'll see better in that regard as he pitches more on this level. I don't think anybody sees a one-something ERA in 2006 as realistic, but 3.50 is within his reach.
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Millwood's much less of a flyball pitcher than Park, so they at least learned something from the Park fiasco. I don't know if Millwood is really good enough for this kind of contract -- I look at his decent WHIP and HR totals from last year and wonder how his ERA could possibly be so low. So he may or may not be an upgrade over Rogers for the Rangers, and Eaton may or may not be an upgrade over Chris Young. That's a lot of money spent to hopefully break even.
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I can't imagine both Redman and Chavez make the roster. Hopefully one of them outperforms his track record.
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Offseason trading begins, Nats move Castilla to Padres
smg58 replied to a topic in New York Mets Talk
If the Jays can move Hillenbrand for an outfielder with comparable hitting ability, they will have done quite well for themselves. I like the deal from the D-Backs perspective, because it clears one of the big contracts blocking Chad Tracy and two live prospects. That Mark Green deal is killing them, though. -
Josh Barfield is one of the Padres' top three prospects and had over 500 AB last year in AAA. I could see Bellhorn as a useful sub, but blocking Barfield? I'd be stunned if they do that.
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Maybe Rondell can stay healthy if he DH's fairly regularly. Or, maybe not.
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Bradford can do the job against righties, but he's awful against lefties. If you're going with seven relievers, maybe, but no way with six.
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Edgy DC wrote: Gun to your head, smiggy. OK fine, I'll say Wade Miller because he has the biggest upside, and even two decent months might beat out the rest of this lot.
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Hmm. Will any of these guys get 5? Wade Miller or Joe Borowski if they regain their health, but otherwise there's not much to work with here.
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It's a coup for the Yankees, and it puts the Red Sox on the ropes in a big way. The Yankees may wind up overpaying a guy past his prime down the road a bit, but when has that stopped them before?
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Lots of ex-Mets. So I guess Phillips for Ishii was a wash? Wade Miller gets non-tendered two years in a row. He still might be a good cheap gamble for somebody, if his arm is in better shape than it was last year. Weren't Obermeuller and Kolb just traded for each other? And wasn't Eric Byrnes an in-demand player at last year's deadline?
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Offseason trading begins, Nats move Castilla to Padres
smg58 replied to a topic in New York Mets Talk
OK, so Texas gets Eaton in exchange for a guy who had the same ERA last year except he did it in the AL at as bad a park for pitchers as petco is good, AND a 1B prospect that at least a few teams considered a desirable commodity, AND half the package they got for Soriano. Oh wait, the Rangers also got a righty setup guy with a 3.60 ERA in petco. That leaves them very screwed, as opposed to utterly screwed. The Padres' lineup is a little too lefthanded right now, but you can't really complain about the deal from their end. If they had gotten Shoppach instead of Mirabelli for Loretta, they'd be having a great offseason. -
I could see why one of the teams in the market for a centerfielder might want Jacque Jones, but he just doesn't hit well enough to play the corners.
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I like the Dodgers strategy, grabbing vets for short terms while preserving the best farm system in the league right now. They're already more than competitive enough in the NL West.
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Parra and Feliciano give the Mets some options in the back of the pen. They may not help, but they won't hurt. Washburn is similar to Millwood, if not as good. His ERA is very inconsistent from year to year, and it's hard to tell which pitcher you're going to get.
