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Posted


Centerfield wrote:
This math is too hard for me. Did our chances of clinching a wild card slot (any slot) increase despite the loss?


Yes, because the Cardinals lost. Any combination of Met wins and Cardinal losses adding to 5 means we're in.

That's commonly called a magic number, of course, but somehow that doesn't apropos of what the Mets are doing. A friend refers to it as the Wild Number.


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Posted


My question was whether that benefit is offset by the half game we lose to the idle Giants. Again. Math too hard for me.


Posted


The Mets only have to finish ahead of one of the teams. I would say yesterday is a slight positive, because we're one day closer to the end of the season and the Cardinals failed to gain any ground.


Posted


Down just a hair acc to BP's odds.

Prior to Monday's game the Mets were at 83.7%, the Cards at 60.6%, the Giants at 55.6%
Today it's 83.3%, 49.6%, 66.8%

So obviously the Giants were the real winner of the day by process of sitting out. The increase in their playoff odds just barely (to the point of statistical irrelevance) washes out the decrease in StL's
Oh, and the Marlins jumped on the board with a 0.3% chance by virtue of their win so maybe you could say that's where our decreased shot went.


Posted


Rockin' Doc wrote:
Well, I never like to see the Mets lose, but if ever there was a night in which it didn't bother me too much, it was last night.


I didn't realize the Mets lost because I was watching the debates and then Mets fan, Chris Christie, said that the Mets had wrenched an emotional victory from the Marlins in mourning. Newt Gingch added that it was a magnificent Mets victory.

Christie then said that in fact, the Marlins never ever won a game against the Mets and that the Mets magic number to clinch the Eastern Division is one.


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