Organizational Sweeps of 2012 (split from Bingo Blues)

[Edgy MD]

Reese Havens was finally activated for Binghamton. He ended up homering on the first pitch he saw this season and adding two more hits in Bingo's 7-1 win over Erie. ZacK Wheeler walks off with his first AA victory.

Seriously, I gotta be optimistic.

• Sand Gnats win 9-3 over Lexington behind a dominating performance by Marcos Camarena and an offense putting up 12 hits.
  
  
  
• Saintly Mets win 5-1 over Ft Myers behind a dominating performance by Gonzalez German and an offense putting up 11 hits.
  
  
  
• B-Mets win 7-1 over Erie behind a dominating performance by [crossout]Dylan Owen[/crossout] Zack Wheeler and an offense putting up 14 hits. Plus Reese Havens returns in triumph.
  
  
  
• Bisons win 8-2 over Rochester behind a dominating performance by Dylan Owen and an offense putting up 14 hits.
  
  
  
• Mets win 6-5 over Colorado, behind a dominating (if abbreviated) performance by Johan Santana and an offense putting up 18 hits. Plus, nobody can get David Wright out.

I don't know how often an organization sweeps a day, but I've got to like the way today played out, aside from one swing by Helton.

[dinosaur jesus]

Dylan Owen gets around, doesn't he? Maybe someday soon he'll be dominating hitters simultaneously for the Bisons and the Mets.

[Edgy MD]

Zack Wheeler, baby.

[Edgy MD]

New York Mets Organization, 5/9/2012

• Mets win 5-3 on a ninth-inning, three-run homer by Jordany Valdespin.
  
  
  
• Buffalo Bisons win 4-3 on a three-run rally in the eighth inning. Rob Johnson with the big blow.
  
  
  
• Binghamton Mets postponed
  
  
  
• St. Lucie Mets win 5-4 on a two-run rally in the eighth. Wilmer Flores ties it with a homer. Adrian Rosario gets his eighth save.
  
  
  
• Savannah Sand Gnats win 5-0 on a one-hitter by Jacob DeGrom and Carlos Vasquez. A fifth-inning double was the only thing keeping the Gnat pitchers from sharing a perfect game.

I say it counts!

[Guest John Cougar Lunchbucket]

Is that a MFY logo on that baby's shades?

[Edgy MD]

Fixed...

[Edgy MD]

A week later, Tuesday, 5/13:

• Mets win 3-1 over Milwaukee on a powerful start from Miguel Batista.
  
  
  
• Bufalo wins 9-3 over Charlotte on a powerful start from Jeurys Familia, young enough to be Tatista's son.
  
  
  
• B-Mets have the day off (a big key to these sweeps days).
  
  
  
• St. Lucies win 4-1 over Bradenton on a powerful start from Jenrry Mejia (also young enough).
  
  
  
• Sand Gnats win 6-2 over Charleston (battle of the historically evocative small Southern cities of legend) on a powerful start from Rafael Montero.*

* After Montero exited, this became an eighth-inning blown save dealie that the Gnats ended up winning in extras thanks to two innings of scoreless releif by Jeffrey Walters, who is threatening to become a thing. (See below.) Big nights also for Camden Maron (3-6) and Alderlin Rodriguez (4-5), both of them hinting at coming out of a season-long slump.

W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	SHO	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GO/AO	AVG
3	0	0.00	8	0	0	0	0	13.1	5	3	0	0	3	16	1.11	.135

[Edgy MD]

The organization collectively is at 107-63 (.629). That's tops among all big-league organizations. All four affiliates are over .500. St. Lucie has the best record (34-9) of any affiliated team and they just added Jack Leathersich.

[Edgy MD]

Yesterday:

Mets 3, Pirates 2, behind the wondermints pitching of Jon Niese. Perfect ninth for the save to Francisco.

Buffalo: A night off.

Binghamton 8, New Briton 1 in a drubbing, with all eyes on Zack Wheeler, who gave up two hits and a run, while striking out seven and walking two in eight innings. Three hits including a homer for this Raul Reyes character.

St. Lucie 8, Daytona 7, following an heroic three-run rally in the seventh. Cory Vaughn and the suddenly good Francisco Pe�a with the homers.

Savannah 5, Charleston 3, also behind a three-run, eighth-inning rally. Domingo Tapia with the win. Jared West with the two inning save. Alderlin Rodriguez with two doubles.



Not to get all Cosby-and-Poitier on you, but let's do it again. Already have a homer from Matt den Dekker today.

[MFS62]

Den Dekker has three hits so far today, including that homer. But J. Mejia gave up 4 ER in 5 IP.

Later

[Edgy MD]

• Mets 6, Phillies 3, behind Jeremy Hefner recovering from a rough first couple of innings and adding a homer before he departed, and Omar Quintanilla debuting for the Mets with three hits.
  
  
  
• Buffalo 3, Columbus 1, behind six strong innings from Matt Harvey and a clutch hit by Matt Tuiasosopo. Meet the Matts!
  
  
  
• Binghamton, Reading, rained out.
  
  
  St. Lucie 9, Palm Beach 1, with seven vicious innings from Cory Mazzoni, and an unrelenting punch through the middle of the lineup, with 3-4-5 hitters Darrell Ceciliani, Wilmer Flores, and Cory Vaughn combining for nine hits and 15 total bases.
  
  
  Savannah 12, Greenville 2, featuring homers from Charley Thurber, TJ Rivera, and Travis Taijeron (his tenth, ladies!).

Combined score: 30-7.

[Edgy MD]

• Mets take the day off as Dickey and Wright help the National League clobber the American League
  
  
  
• Bisons take the day off as part of the AAA All-Star Break.
  
  
  
• B-Mets take the day off as part of the AA All-Star Break
  
  
  
• Lucies take the day off, along with the rest of the Florida State League.
  
  
  
• Sand Gnats shut out Delmarva, 2-0, behind the complete game shutout pitching of Logan Verrett, who allowed six hits and a walk while striking out seven.
  
  
  
• Cyclones get the day off, along with the rest of the New York-Penn League.
  
  
  
• And in some sort of universal tribute the All-Star Game, the K-Mets take a rest as well.

So I present the Mets organization with the Cheap Sweep Award for perhaps their cheapest sweep ever.



(Wasn't cheap for Logan Verrett, though.)

[Edgy MD]

• In the National League, NY Mets 3, Arizona Diamondbacks 1
  
  
  
• In the International League, Buffalo Bisons 10, Lousiville Bats 7
  
  
  
• In the Eastern League, Binghamton Mets-Portland Sea Dogs Postponed
  
  
  
• In the Florida State League, St. Lucie Mets 7, Lakeland Flying Tigers 2
  
  
  
• In the South Atlantic League, Savannah Sand Gnats 4, Kannapolis Intimidators 2
  
  
  
• In the New York-Penn League, Brooklyn Cyclones 7, Batavia Muckdogs 1
  
  
  
• In the Applachian League, Kingsport Mets 1, Bristol White Sox 0

SCHWEEP!

[Edgy MD]

Isn't this remarkable? In the second half, with seven teams operating, this is going to happen, like, less than 1% of the time, I think.

[Frayed Knot]

Edgy DC wrote: Isn't this remarkable? In the second half, with seven teams operating, this is going to happen, like, less than 1% of the time, I think.

If all seven played it would be less than a 1% shot, but the fact that last night had the rain-out and therefore only six teams playing increases the odds (doubles them in fact) to just over 1.5%

[Edgy MD]

Working with the assumption that ech team has a 10% chance of an off day and a 5% chance of a rainout (both of them counting as a successful day by this system) and a 5% chance of a doubleheader (with a 75% chance of losing at least one of those games and destroying a perfect day), we have a 1.2961...% chance of such lovely night as last night's.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Well, if the chances of an organizational sweep are the 1.2961 per cent that you calculated, then over the course of 180 days, it should happen, on average, 2.33298 times.

[Edgy MD]

Well, yes, but as remarkable as that is, it's not until after the short-season teams are in action that we have a whole slate of seven teams eligible to collect a win (or avoid a loss).

[metsmarathon]

i see a 1.77% chance of no losing a game across a 7-team deep organization.

assuming edgy's probabilities, i have:

Pgame_on = 0.90
Pno_rain = 0.95

therefore
Pgame = 0.90 * 0.95 = 0.155
and Pno_game = 1 - Pgame = 0.145

with a Pdouble_header = 0.05,
Ptwo_games = Pgame * Pdouble_header = 0.04275
and Pone_game = Pgame * (1 - Pdouble_header) = 0.81225

assuming agian a 50% shot at winning a game, and a 25% shot at sweeping a doubleheader, we have the following:
Pno_loss_one_game = Pone_game * 0.5 = 0.406125
and
Pno_loss_two_games = Ptwo_games * 0.25 = 0.010688

our total Pavoid_loss then = Pno_game + Pno_loss_one_game + Pno_loss_two_games = 0.145 + 0.406125 + 0.010688 = 0.561813

so each team has a 56% chance of not lsing on any given night.

and with 7 teams, you have (Pavoid_loss)^7 = 0.017666

yay math. back to work.

[Edgy MD]

So, how did this goodness all go down? Well, many of you followed how the Mets won. The Bisons clobbering of the Bats came from a night of astounding production at the top of the lineup. Here's your first four hitters.

Player	Pos	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO
Fred Lewis	LF	4	3	4	1	0	0	0	1	0
Josh Rodriguez	SS	5	2	3	3	0	0	5	0	1
Mike Baxter	CF-RF	5	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	2
Zach Lutz	3B	3	1	3	0	0	1	3	2	0

On imagines we'll be seeing Baxter soonio.

The game was also notable for a three-run inning of releag by Pedro Beato. Try harder, Pedro.

St. Lucie got six innings of four-hit ball from Eric Goeddel and three innings of scoreless relief (boing!) from Hammie Bennett and Jeffrey Walters. Cory Vaughn hit his 17th homer which I imagine leads the system. Losing pitcher (and barely hanging on) in that one was Shawn Teufel.

The Sand Gnats got seven brilliant innings from Alex Pantsload, giving up just an un-earned run, walking one, whiffing nine, and then they hammered home three in the bottom of the eighth to give the win to some other guy. Matt Reynolds with the big hit there.

Brooklyn was down 1-0 after seven before slamming home five in the eighth and two in the ninth against Batavia (and no, the Muckdogs weren't employing the Mets' bullpen, thank you very much). Luis Mateo kep' it close for the Coney Islanders with 6 2/3 innings, six hits, one run, no walks, and seven whifferinos. Jace Boyd and Kevin Plawecki each went 3-5 with two runs scored for the Beach Boys, but the late rallies included everybody.

It was late last night when I noted this sweep, what I didn't notice is that Kingsport swept a double-header, so Sterling-Mets kicked even more ass than previously reported.

Game one was a 1-0 seven-inning shutout, with six of those innings going to recently re-deployed Steven Matz. The almost-forgotten top pick from X years ago gave up only two hits, while walking three and striking out eight. Wouldn't it be something if they had one more shining star of an arm down there?

Game two was a 6-3 win in which the team garnered eight hits but six were singles and two doubles. Not a lot of power in the Appy League, it seems. The winning pitcher was somebody named Persio Reyes, who went five innings giving up a lone unearned run, walking two and fanning five. Forgotten former big shot prosect Juan Urbina pitched in this game, did poorly, and has a 10+ ERA.

[Fman99]

I hope Mike Baxter enjoys Jason Bay's locker when they call him back up, and launch Jason Bay into outer space with no return itinerary, a la Laika the dog in Sputnik II.