Predictions: Who's staying and who's going, 2006 edition

[Benjamin Grimm]

Because this received such a lukewarm response last year, it's time to do it again!

I'm going to list the names of ten players who are currently in the Mets organization. For each player, give a number, from 0 to 10, indicating how likely you think it is that he'll still be Mets property on Opening Day, 2007. (He doesn't have to be on the active roster. If he's in the minors or on the DL, it still counts as being present.)

If you think a player is definitely not returning, vote 0. Definitely returning, vote 10.

For every player who does return, your score will be the number you assigned to him.

For every player who's gone by Opening Day, your score will be 10 minus your number.

Example: You think Player A is unlikely to return, but you think there's a slight possibility that he will, so you give him a 3. If he does return, you were pretty wrong, so you only get 3 points. If he doesn't, you were mostly right, so you get 7.

A perfect score is 100. To get it you have to vote 0 or 10 for every player, and be correct every time.

You can guarantee yourself a wishy-washy 50 by voting 5 for every player.

Rumors may start swirling as we get closer to August 31, so the sooner you vote the more pure your guess will be. Voting will be closed once one of the ten departs, or August 31, whichever comes first.

Here are the ten players, in alphabetical order:

Bannister, Brian
Delgado, Carlos
Floyd, Cliff
Glavine, Tom
Heilman, Aaron
Hernandez, Orlando
Maine, John
Milledge, Lastings
Trachsel, Steve
Valentin, Jose

It was harder to find ten guys "on the bubble" this year than it was last year.

[Willets Point]

Mets property on Opening Day 2006? That's easy!

Bannister, Brian 10
Delgado, Carlos 10
Floyd, Cliff 10
Glavine, Tom 10
Heilman, Aaron 10
Hernandez, Orlando 0
Maine, John 10
Milledge, Lastings 10
Trachsel, Steve 10
Valentin, Jose 10

I'm such a stinker!

[dgwphotography]

Bannister, Brian - 8
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 0
Glavine, Tom - 7
Heilman, Aaron - 3
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 7
Milledge, Lastings - 10
Trachsel, Steve - 0
Valentin, Jose - 3

[Benjamin Grimm]

Eek! Edited.

[MFS62]

Big oops,eh?

LOL!

Later

[Benjamin Grimm]

That's what happens when you paste without reading carefully.

[Guest Rockin' Doc]

Bannister, Brian - 9
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 3
Glavine, Tom - 7
Heilman, Aaron - 4
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 6
Milledge, Lastings - 10
Trachsel, Steve - 2
Valentin, Jose - 5

[soupcan]

Bannister, Brian - 10
Delgado, Carlos - 10
=red]Floyd, Cliff - 0
Glavine, Tom - 10
=red]Heilman, Aaron - 0
=red]Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 10
=red]Milledge, Lastings - 0
Trachsel, Steve - 10
=red]Valentin, Jose - 0

All or nuthin' baby.

[Elster88]

Norfolk and Bingo and such count as Met property right? Or did you mean on the field in a Met uniform on Opening Day 2007?

[Benjamin Grimm]

Read the second paragraph.

[Guest Rotblatt]

Bannister, Brian - 10
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 0
Glavine, Tom - 10
Heilman, Aaron - 0
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 10
Milledge, Lastings - 10
Trachsel, Steve - 0
Valentin, Jose -10

What soupy said.

[Elster88]

My apologies on the dumbass question

Bannister, Brian - 10
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 0
Glavine, Tom - 10
Heilman, Aaron - 10
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 10
Milledge, Lastings - 10
Trachsel, Steve - 0
Valentin, Jose -10

[Guest Rockin' Doc]

Updating my results to conform with Soupcan's all or nothing decree.

Bannister, Brian - 10
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 0 (I'm going to miss Cliff)
Glavine, Tom - 10
Heilman, Aaron - 0
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 10
Milledge, Lastings - 10
Trachsel, Steve - 0
Valentin, Jose - 10

[Benjamin Grimm]

This is even going to be less interesting than it was last year.

[Elster88]

I only gave Aaron a 10 to be different from the other posts.

[smg58]

Bannister, Brian 5
Delgado, Carlos 10
Floyd, Cliff 0
Glavine, Tom 10
Heilman, Aaron 4
Hernandez, Orlando 2
Maine, John 6
Milledge, Lastings 8
Trachsel, Steve 2
Valentin, Jose 5

[Theoldmole]

Bannister, Brian 4
Delgado, Carlos 9
Floyd, Cliff 3
Glavine, Tom 8
Heilman, Aaron 5
Hernandez, Orlando 2
Maine, John 5
Milledge, Lastings 7
Trachsel, Steve 8
Valentin, Jose 4

[Guest OlerudOwned]

Brian Bannister: 10
Carlos Delgado: 10
Cliff Floyd: 0
Tom Glavine: 10
Aaron Heilman: 0
Orlando Hernandez: 2
John Maine: 8
Lastings Milledge: 10
Steve Trachsel: 2
Jose Valentin: 4

[RealityChuck]

Bannister, Brian -- 8 (definitely need him)
Delgado, Carlos -- 10 (too pricy to trade, especially if his BA numbers don't improve)
Floyd, Cliff -- 0 (his contract is up, he doesn't want to ride the bench.
Glavine, Tom -- 2 (slight chance he'll go off to Atlanta, but most likely will win #300 in orange and blue)
Heilman, Aaron -- 5 (his value is low right now, and might go in some deal)
Hernandez, Orlando -- 5 (depends on how he holds up. If he wins a few games in the postseason, then it goes up to 8)
Maine, John -- 7 (will probably keep him, but not if a great deal comes along)
Milledge, Lastings -- 10 (don't want another Kazmir, and he'll replace Floyd)
Trachsel, Steve -- 9 (10 and 5)
Valentin, Jose -- 8 (Most likely will resign, but you never know.)

[Benjamin Grimm]

Ten and five for Trachsel doesn't mean anything if he's a free agent who's not offered a contract. Piazza was ten and five too, remember.

[nymr83]

Bannister, Brian 8
Delgado, Carlos 10
Floyd, Cliff 2
Glavine, Tom 10
Heilman, Aaron 0
Hernandez, Orlando 0
Maine, John 5
Milledge, Lastings 0
Trachsel, Steve 4
Valentin, Jose 8

[Benjamin Grimm]

Bannister, Brian 6
Delgado, Carlos 10
Floyd, Cliff 2
Glavine, Tom 6
Heilman, Aaron 2
Hernandez, Orlando 0
Maine, John 7
Milledge, Lastings 7
Trachsel, Steve 2
Valentin, Jose 6

[Guest GYC]

Edit: On second thought, I'll wait for the trade deadline to pass.

[Elster88]

Cheater.

[Elster88]

I'm glad Nady wasn't part of this game.

[Benjamin Grimm]

I hadn't even considered that he might be on the bubble.

If he had been part of the game, the voting would have closed now.

[Benjamin Grimm]

This thing will close on August 31.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Final reminder. If you don't play, you won't be able to win the prize that won't be awarded.

[MFS62]

Bannister, Brian 8 (definite maybe A/O 8/31)
Delgado, Carlos 10
Floyd, Cliff 0 (I dunno, is there a 365 day DL?)
Glavine, Tom 8 (The Mets look better to him in his quest for 300 wins than Atlanta does. And Atlanta seems to be the only other option he would consider)
Heilman, Aaron 8 (somebody up there likes him, but not in the way he would prefer.)
Hernandez, Orlando 4 (Let's see how much of his playoff magic he still retains)
Maine, John 10
Milledge, Lastings 10 (you said in the organization, so I guess that means the player could be in the minors)
Trachsel, Steve 5 (you could take a tough PR hit for not renewing a Cy Young winner.)
Valentin, Jose 4 (He could be the next Marlon Anderson - played so well that he was attractive to other teams. So the Mets might not be able to retain him for less money than he could get elsewhere.)

Later

[metsmarathon]

Bannister, Brian - 10
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 2
Glavine, Tom - 9
Heilman, Aaron - 7
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 10
Milledge, Lastings - 9
Trachsel, Steve - 2
Valentin, Jose - 2