Met Predictions 2006

[Elster88]

I'll once again post my plea for this to be put to the baseball forum.

[Elster88]

Updates about 2/3 of the way through the season (after 110 games). Last update after game 142.

1) Give the Met who will have the most of each category, names but no numbers

Batting categories
Games - Wright (107, projected - 157.29)
Hits - Reyes (132, 194.04)
Doubles - Lo Duca (28, 41.16)
Triples - Reyes (13, 19.11)
Home runs - Beltran (33, 48.51)
RBI - Beltran (97, 142.59)
Stolen Bases - Reyes (45, 66.15)
Caught stealing - Reyes (11, 16.17)
Runs scored - Reyes (91, 133.77)
Batting average (high) - Lo Duca (.322)
On base percentage (high) - Beltran (.384)
Strikeouts (high) - Delgado (93, 136.71)
Walks - Beltran (63, 92.61)

Pitching categories
Wins - Glavine (12, 17.64)
Losses - Trachsel (5, 7.35)
Strikeouts - Martinez (122, 179.34)
Walks - Trachsel (54, 79.38)
ERA (low) - Maine (2.08)
ERA (high) - Lima (9.87)
ERA (low by a starter) - Maine (2.08)
ERA (high by a starter) - Lima (9.78)
Saves - Wagner (24, 35.28)
BAA (low) - Maine (.190)
BAA (high) - Bell (.330)
Games started - Glavine (24, 35.28)
Games pitched - Heilman (40, 74.97)

2) Give the number for the player and category specified - (total so far, projected amount)

Cliff Floyd - games: 79, 116.13
Cliff Floyd - batting average: .245
David Wright - runs scored: 53, 102.29
David Wright - RBI: 70, 102.9
Carlos Beltran - home runs: 33, 48.51
Carlos Beltran - stolen bases: 14, 20.58
Jose Reyes - errors: 10, 14.7
Jose Reyes - on base percentage: .350
Carlos Delgado - batting average: .260
Carlos Delgado - RBI: 73, 107.31
Kaz Matsui - games: 38 (closed)
Kaz Matsui - runs scored: 10 (closed)
Anderson Hernandez - games: 12, 17.64
Anderson Hernandez - batting average: .146
Anderson Hernandez - fielding percentage: 1.000
Paul Lo Duca - on base percentage: .366, .366
Xavier Nady - RBI: 40 (closed)
Victor Diaz - games: 6, 8.82
Pedro Martinez - strikeouts: 122, 179.34
Tom Glavine - wins: 12, 17.64
Steve Trachsel - losses: 5, 7.35
Steve Trachsel - walks: 54, 79.38
Victor Zambrano - ERA: 6.75, (closed)
Victor Zambrano - strikeouts: 15, (closed)
Brian Bannister - games started: 5, 7.35
Aaron Heilman - games started: 0, 0
Billy Wagner - saves: 24, 35.28
Billy Wagner - ERA: 2.45
Jorge Julio - ERA: 5.06 (closed)

3)Team Categories - (total so far, projected amount)

Total runs scored: 593, 871.71
Total runs against: 499, 733.53
Team ERA: 4.05, 4.05
Team batting average: .267, .267
Record: 66-44, 97-65
NL East Finish (1st, 2nd, etc.): 1st, 1st
Games behind NL East Winner: 0, 0
Playoffs (Division winner, Wildcard winner, no playoffs): Division Leader, Division Winner
Playoff finish - (Win WS, Lose WS, Lose NLCS, Lose NLDS, no playoffs) ???, not no playoffs, at least

4)Tie-breakers - (total so far, projected amount)
1st tie breaker - Total number of rainouts: 2, 2.94
2nd tie breaker - Time of longest game of the year: 5:22, 5:22 - May 23rd vs. Philly

[Benjamin Grimm]

Wow, I'm not winning this game, I don't think.

20 starts for Bannister? 22 homers for Beltran?

[Elster88]

Here we go. Time to wrap this thing up. I have no idea how to score this.

What I plan to do is give one point for every time someone predicted correctly. If more than one person gets it, they both/all get one point. If no one guesses exactly, whoever is closest gets a point. (Again if there is a tie, both/all people get a point.)

If anyone has a better scoring system, let me know. I'll post the results by mid-afternoon.

Admins, could we pop this in the baseball forum one last time, until it disappears to the back pages again?

Edit: Also, if more than one player tie in a category, you get full credit if you match either/any.

Edit2: I'm also not sure how to break up starters vs. non-starters. I'm thinking 10 starts or more? Anyone disagree, let me know. (For BA and SLG, etc., a hitter needs over 500 ABs) Also, 60 IP needed to qualify for ERA highs and lows.

[Elster88]

Please move to the baseball forum.

[Willets Point]

I did, what forum is it in?

[Willets Point]

Ah, there it is. That was weird. I could only find it in search.

[Guest OlerudOwned]

While we're looking at predictions, lets get the Standings Prediction Thread.

http://cybermessageboard.ehost.com/getalife/viewtopic.php?t=2631&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=0

I got 5 of 6 division champs.

[metsmarathon]

Elster88 wrote: Here we go. Time to wrap this thing up. I have no idea how to score this. What I plan to do is give one point for every time someone predicted correctly. If more than one person gets it, they both/all get one point. If no one guesses exactly, whoever is closest gets a point. (Again if there is a tie, both/all people get a point.) If anyone has a better scoring system, let me know. I'll post the results by mid-afternoon. Admins, could we pop this in the baseball forum one last time, until it disappears to the back pages again? Edit: Also, if more than one player tie in a category, you get full credit if you match either/any. Edit2: I'm also not sure how to break up starters vs. non-starters. I'm thinking 10 starts or more? Anyone disagree, let me know. (For BA and SLG, etc., a hitter needs over 500 ABs) Also, 60 IP needed to qualify for ERA highs and lows.

3 - 2 - 1
or
10 - 4 - 1

throw us a bone for getting close? triple your work

[Elster88]

Not sure what you mean marathon. So if I were to use 3-2-1, does that mean if you get it right you get 3, if more than one person get it right they get 2 each, and if no one gets it right the closest person(s) get 1?

Or the top 3 closest get 3, 2, and 1 respectively?

[Elster88]

Anyone else feel like suggesting something?

Anyone else care?

[Guest Johnny Dickshot]

Just score it, and we'll bitch afterward, It's the American Way.

[Edgy MD]

We have rpackrat --- who we haven't heard from in five months --- on the first page of this thread.

[Elster88]

Johnny Dickshot wrote: Just score it, and we'll bitch afterward, It's the American Way.

In this case, I'd rather go with my original way of scoring it, since I already did the counting.

[metsmarathon]

sorry. i was being unclear. 3 points for the closest to teh right answer, 2 points for next closest, and 1 for third closest.

or going with a 10-4-1 (or 10-3-1) scheme would give you a wider spread, and more reward for getting one right.

either way, i'm cool.

my understanding going in was there was no minimum inning/game/pa requirement for any of the rate stats... adding that might help me, granted, but doing it with a requirement would i think force one participant into having an incompatible answer.

[nymr83]

someone tell us who "won" already!

[metsmarathon]

KC had the most correct answers, with 20.

TransMonk had the fewest, with 8

the full results, as near as i can tell...

pooler	one	two	three	3-2-1	10-4-1
KC	20	7	5	79	233
Rotblatt	19	6	4	73	218
seawolf17	19	12	5	86	243
Vic Sage	17	5	5	66	195
abogdan	17	8	3	70	205
Nymr83	16	7	7	69	195
metsmarathon	16	8	4	68	196
Edgy DC	16	11	8	78	212
Johnny Dickshot	15	9	6	69	192
duan	14	5	4	56	164
elster88	14	7	7	63	175
MFS62	13	7	5	58	163
ABG	13	7	6	59	164
Yancy Street Gang	13	9	10	67	176
Olerud Owned	13	9	8	65	174
metirish	12	3	7	49	139
86-Dreamer	12	7	6	56	154
DocTee	10	12	3	57	151
rpackrat	10	7	6	50	134
sharpie	9	11	6	55	140
The Old Mole	9	7	4	45	122
TransMonk	8	8	8	48	120

y'all may now debate as to whether or not KC is the best prognosticator, or if seawolf is.