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Guest Edgy DC

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Guest Edgy DC
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Posted

I like to look at net games back -- that is the games back a team is behind everybody. It's an answer to those who'll tell you that games back is a misleading when there are a lot of teams between your team and the leaders.

I'm not sure why nobody prints standings with this column.

EastWLPCTGBNGBHOMEROADEASTCENTWEST AL L10STRK
Washington5237.584--30-1322-2418-1814-98-412-64-6L3
Atlanta5040.5562.52.529-1421-2624-1916-73-67-86-4L3
Philadelphia4644.5116.510.527-1919-2518-2514-97-27-86-4W3
Florida4443.5067.012.025-2219-2120-229-115-510-54-6L4
New York4544.5067.012.026-1819-2624-2012-124-25-105-5W2

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Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted

So here. In the last few days, the Mets have lost no ground to the first-place Nationals, but have in reality backslid in the Net Games Back column, by losing games to the second- and third-place teams.

EastWLPCTGBNGBHOMEROADEASTCENTWEST INTERL10STRK
Washington5339.576--30-1323-2618-1815-118-412-63-7L1
Atlanta5241.5591.51.529-1423-2726-2016-73-67-86-4L1
Philadelphia4845.5165.59.529-2019-2520-2614-97-27-86-4W2
Florida4545.5007.014.025-2220-2321-249-115-510-53-7L2
New York4646.5007.014.027-2019-2625-2212-124-25-105-5W1

Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted

Roy Oswalt shuts down the Nationals in Washington for eight innings, yielding only six hits and no walks. But the world being such as it is, Phil Garner turns the 3-0 lead over to Brad Lidge, who hangs on after giving up a 400-foot two-run homer to Preston Wilson. DC drops into a tie for first, after being alone up there since June 4.

Since the last update, Florida has gained overall, but slipped into last.

EastWLPCTGBNGBHOMEROADEASTCENTWEST INTERL10STRK
Washington5442.563--31-1623-2618-1815-128-412-62-8L2
Atlanta5442.563--29-1425-2826-2016-75-77-85-5W1
New York4946.5164.59.030-2019-2625-2212-127-25-106-4W4
Philadelphia4947.5105.010.530-2219-2520-2614-98-47-86-4L2
Florida4746.5055.512.525-2222-2421-249-117-610-53-7W2

Posted

Not a bad day for the NY NL team in the NL East, big thanks to the Dodgers and Astros, Mets are 7-2 V the West, love that.

Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted

Easily overlookable in the Mets' recent good spate is that the Marlins have had a good weekend also, leaving every team in the division at least two games over .500. Obviously that's pretty unsustainable, but who is going to drop first?

EastWLPCTGBNGBHOMEROADEASTCENTWEST INTERL10STRK
Atlanta5544.556--29-1426-3026-2016-76.97-85-5L1
Washington5544.556--32-1823-2618-1816-149-612-63.7L1
Philadelphia5247.5253.06.033-2219-2520-2614-911-47-87-3W3
New York5147.5203.57.532-2119-2625-2212-129-35-107-3W2
Florida4947.5104.511.525-2224-2521-249-119-710-55-5W2

Guest ABG
Guests
Posted

Aren't the Mets 6.5 NGB, not 7.5?

Guest Edgy DC
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Posted

3.5 games behind Atlanta +
3.5 games behind Washington +
0.5 games behind Philadelphia =
7.5 games.

Guest Rotblatt
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Posted

Phillies should be 7 games back, then, right?

Thanks for the chart, by the way! I dig it.

Guest ABG
Guests
Posted

Yeah, I just based my comment off of where I saw us relative to the Phils.

  • 2 weeks later...
Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted

EastWLPCTGBNGBHOMEROADEASTCENTWEST INTERL10STRK
Atlanta6447.577--35-1529-3229-2022-106-97-87-3W1
Washington5852.5275.55.534-2124-3119-2316-1411-912-63-7L2
Philadelphia5853.5236.07.536-2422-2920-2617-1414-57-86-4W1
Florida5652.5196.58.029-2427-2823-2514-159-710-56-4L1
New York5654.5097.512.035-2321-3125-2216-1710-55-105-5W2

Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted

Pl.Wild CardWLPCTGBNGBHOMEROADEASTCENTWEST INTERL10STRK
1Houston5951.536--36-1523-3613-1323-2116-97-86-4L3
2Washington5852.5271.01.034-2124-3119-2316-1411-912-63-7L2
3Philadelphia5853.5231.52.036-2422-2920-2617-1414-57-86-4W1
4Florida5652.5192.03.529-2427-2823-2514-159-710-56-4L1
5New York5654.5093.07.535-2321-3125-2216-1710-55-105-5W2
6Milwaukee5556.4954.514.030-2025-3614-1522-2311-118-75-5L1
7Chicago5456.4915.018.027-2627-309-1825-1914-106-93-7L4
8Arizona5359.4737.032.026-3227-277-1212-1526-228-105-5L2
9Cincinnati4961.44510.056.033-2816-3312-1316-2814-127-87-3W1
10Los Angeles4961.44910.056.026-2723-347-1112-1625-215-133-7L1
11San Francisco4861.44010.561.025-3223-294-1115-1423-246-125-5W3
12Pittsburgh4764.42312.583.026-3021-3412-1516-3014-125-73-7W1
13Colorado4168.37617.5143.027-2714-419-1011-2315-266-95-5W2

Guest ABG
Guests
Posted

I'm gonna go out on a limb and say that it's doubtful the Rockies will make the playoffs.

Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted

Florida leapfrogs from fourth to second in both races.

Pl.EastWLPCTGBNGBHOMEROADEASTCENTWEST INTERL10STRK
1Atlanta6448.571--35-1529-3329-2022-116-97-86-4L1
T2Florida5752.5235.55.529-2428-2823-2515-159-710-56-4W1
T2Washington5853.5235.55.534-2224-3119-2316-1411-1012-63-7L3
4Philadelphia5857.5186.07.036-2522-2920-2617-1514-57-86-4L1
5New York5754.5146.59.036-2321-3125-2217-1710-55-105-5W3


Pl.Wild CardWLPCTGBNGBHOMEROADEASTCENTWEST INTERL10STRK
1Houston6051.541--36-1524-3613-1323-2117-97-86-4W1
T2Florida5752.5232.02.029-2428-2823-2515-159-710-56-4W1
T2Washington5853.5232.02.034-2324-3119-2316-1411-1012-63-7L3
4Philadelphia5854.5182.53.536-2522-2920-2617-1414-57-86-4L1
5New York5754.5143.05.536-2321-3125-2217-1710-55-105-5W3
6Milwaukee5656.5004.512.530-2026-3615-1522-2311-118-76-4W1
7Chicago5457.4866.024.027-2627-319-1925-1914-106-92-8L5
8Arizona5459.4787.029.027-3227-277-1212-1527-228-105-5W1
9Los Angeles6061.45010.053.026-2724-347-1113-1625-215-134-6W1
10Cincinnati4962.44111.062.033-2916-3312-1416-2814-127-86-4L1
11San Francisco4862.43611.567.025-3323-294-1115-1523-246-125-5L1
12Pittsburgh4765.42013.589.026-3121-3412-1516-3014-135-73-7L1
13Colorado4169.37318.5149.027-2714-429-1011-2315-276-95-5L1

Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted

Go ahead. Try not to picture those standings if the Met bullpen held on in those two Milwaukee games.

Guest Rotblatt
Guests
Posted

I was looking at our schedule, and in trying to decide what a decent but realistic run by us would look like, given our opponents, I came up with the following W-L record 30-21. That would mean we take 2 of 3 against every team we face EXCEPT the Braves (to whom we lose 2 of 3 each 3-game set), St. Louis (to whom we lose 3 of 4 in our 4-game set) & Colorado (where we win 3 of 4). Totally arbitrary, but also plausible, although I'd hope we'd at least split our series against the Braves. Having said that, we'll probably lose at least one series against a team I've said we'd win, so it's almost kinda sorta balanced.

In a gut-check, WWSB kind of way, I think that's the best we can reasonably hope to do over the rest of the season. Unfortunately, that would only net us a .537 record overall, not enough to catch Houston, if they continue to play at their current rate.

I find it fitting that, in my completely biased and unscientific projection, our ability to reach the post-season depends largely on how we play against Atlanta & St. Louis--our most likely opponents IN the postseason.

Posted

I am usually the last person to acknowledge morale and chemistry as important parts of baseball. But this team is winning me over. Between the giggling on the bench and the way everyone jumps around (in a non-phony, non-Jeter way), to celebrate wins and good play (see recent Caption This thread) it looks like they're having fun. I think one of the reasons to believe this team has a chance is that they believe.

Guest Rotblatt
Guests
Posted

BP's Hit List puts the Metsies at 10th overall in the majors:

]To the Victor Goes the Spoils: Mets win the battle of the Zambranos to wrap up a weekend sweep of the Cubs, halting a slide which saw them lose the previous three series. Jose Reyes is riding a 20-game hitting streak in which he's hit .374/.400/.462 while tacking on 11 steals. That mad dash has pushed his season's OBP all the way up to .303, 14 whole points above Rey Ordoñez's career mark. You can't spell Mets without Meh... well, close enough.


That's good enough for #4 in the National League, but since Atlanta & Houston are ahead of us, it doesn't matter so much. Or does it? According to their Playoff Odds report (which I believe takes into account current standings, RA & RS as well as strength of remaining schedule), we have a 22.86% shot at the playoffs this year (9.28% shot a champions, 13.59 at wild car), behind Houston, who currently has a 46.50% shot. If we manage to pull into second place, our odds will likely increase pretty dramatically. None of the other contending NL Easters are given as much of a shot as us, based largely on the fact that we have the biggest difference between Adjusted RS & RA in the league at 54(compared to 52 for the Braves).

The adjustment is done for strength of schedule, so what that means is that, according to BP, we've faced tougher opponents than the Braves. More specifically, the Braves' opponents have had average pitching and well below-average hitting, while we have faced average pitching and somewhat above-average hitting. The difference is great enough to give us a 46-run gain against them in our differentials.

Anyway, my point is that stats are neat. And that if we continue to score and limit runs the way we have so far this season, we'll probably continue to gain ground in both the East and in the WC race.

Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted

Yawn. Another big game tonight. Third place in the division and in thie wildcard standings are both within reach. Every team in the division is 4-6, 5-5, or 6-4 over their last ten. Chicago, losing their last eight, looks like the first team to have blinked in the wildcard scramble.

Guest Rotblatt
Guests
Posted

So in order to get back to the pace I laid out for us, we have to sweep either Pittsburgh or Washington and take 2 of 3 from the other team.

Then we have to figure out how to win on the road.

Posted

Willets Point wrote:
Where's Bret? All this winning is bringing out euphoric optomism. I need some cold, hard reality to balance things out.


Didn't even need him, the Mets themselves provided reality.

I'm in a bad mood. I hate days off after losses.

Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted

How did DC get back into second? And who'd've guessed we were as good as anyone in the division over the last ten?

Pl.EastWLPCTGBNGBHOMEROADEASTCENTWEST INTERL10STRK
1Atlanta6851.571--39-1829-3329-2022-1110-127-85-5L1
2Washington6355.5344.54.534-2229-3320-2317-1614-1012-65-5W4
3Philadelphia6356.5295.05.536-2627-3020-2717-1519-67-86-4L1
4Florida6157.5176.510.033-2728-3023-2515-1513-1210-55-5L1
5New York6058.5087.514.037-2323-3525-2218-1712-95-106-4W1


Pl.Wild CardWLPCTGBNGBHOMEROADEASTCENTWEST INTERL10STRK
1Houston6455.538--40-1924-3615-1425-2417-97-85-5L1
2Washington6355.5340.50.534-2229-3320-2317-1614-1012-65-5W4
3Philadelphia6356.5291.01.536-2627-3020-2717-1519-67-86-4L1
4Florida6157.5172.56.033-2728-3023-2515-1513-1210-55-5L1
5New York6058.5083.510.037-2323-3525-2218-1712-95-106-4W1
6Chicago5862.4836.525.030-3028-329-1929-2414-106-94-6W1
7Milwaukee5762.4797.028.031-2526-3715-1523-2811-128-73.7L1
8Arizona5664.4678.538.527-3229-329-1612-1627-228-104-6L3
9Los Angeles5464.4589.546.529-3025-3411-1413-1625-215-136-4W2
10Cincinnati5465.45410.051.033-3121-3412-1421-2914-147-86-4L3
11San Francisco5266.44111.570.525-3327-336-1517-1523-246-125-5W2
12Pittsburgh5168.42913.082.526-3125-3712-1618-3116-145-75-5L1
13Colorado4574.37819.0154.531-3214-4211-1313-2515-276-94-6W1

Guest Edgy DC
Guests
Posted

Yeah, the plan is to update these after each series. But suffice to know that, in the last three days, the Mets have cut their net deficit off the wildcard to eight, and off the division lead to 13.

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