Yes it’s far too early, but discussions of 'all this winning is terrible' are making a comeback so this bears a fresh look. A couple of things first: - tanking is really hard in baseball. Really bad teams win 30-some pct of their games which makes it quite unlike the NBA where teams can go years without reaching that level even once. - how exactly would one go about tanking, especially when you’ve got a team full of guys trying desperately to get jobs next year? Was Taijeron supposed to intentionally whiff last night during his first, and possibly last, chance in the majors so as to make sure the Mets would lose and possibly gain a slightly/maybe better draft pick? Was Terry supposed to bench deGrom back in August while subjecting another not ready for prime time pitcher up from Single A as if HE has a stake in next year’s draft pick? Reyes? Cabrera? Aoki? Nimmo/Smith/Rosario? - and of course you’re competing with all the other teams who are likely to win and lose their share of games down the stretch at random levels as well BatMags has brought up, at least twice now, that folks are touting next year’s draft as some sort of super group, a claim which I flat out don’t buy. Not saying that he didn’t read that somewhere but I don’t buy the accuracy of that kind of prediction particularly not five months prior to the college/HS seasons even starting. Think things aren’t going to change between now and then or that the true value of that draft is going to be known even five years from now? And then there’s the idea that there are not only a couple of Darryl Strawberrys available next June (and you can never have too many temperamental alcoholics on your squad) there’s still the minor problem of identifying which ones those are. Towards that end I did a bit of research here. I took eleven years of drafts (2000 - 2010) and picked out the 4th thru 7th picks in those years. Why those years and why those picks? Because the years are recent enough without being too recent and the Mets are at the moment teetering on the verge of the 5th/6th pick so could conceivably rise to 4th with a bad final week or ‘drop’ to around 7th by running the table. So which picks out of those years based on cumulative WAR? By far it was the 7th picks, followed by the 5ths, then the 6ths, and worst of them all, and it wasn’t even close, were the 4th picks 7th picks: Cum WAR = 185.6 led by Kershaw, Tulowitski, Markakis, Fielder, Harvey 5th picks: Cum WAR = 172.6 led by Teixeira, Braun, Posey, Wieters, Pomeranz 6th picks: Cum WAR = 92.7 led by Greinke, Baldelli, Ricky Romero, Andrew Miller, Zack Wheeler 4th picks: Cum WAR = 65.4 Ryan Zimmerman, Gavin Floyd, Jeff Niemann, Tim Stauffer, Brian Matusz 9 of the 44 picks never spent a day in the majors: one 4th pick, three 5th picks, three 6th picks, two 7th picks Nice work. Do you have numbers on picks 1, 2, and 3? I think it bears out what most have been saying. It's better to pick higher (duh) but at the end it may not show any tangible results.