G-Fafif wrote: If the Mets had begun the season 9-18 and then surged to their present 20-19 on an 11-1 tear, would things be universally seen as looking up or would the hypothetical recent success be viewed as an aberration because the Mets got off to the miserable start and the Mets suck and they always suck and LOLMets and all that? I really enjoyed the walking around town in Mets gear while the winning was endless. I mean in April. Obviously any time the winning is endless. Actually, I enjoy walking around town in Mets gear as a matter of course, but I like the bonus sense of "YEAH!" that generates when winning is prevalent. Sure. Trends have a lot to do with assessment, and I think fans always weigh recent performance as more relevant. But here, it’s not just the record but the manner of winning and losing. Even during 11-1 there was talk of “unsustainable” and “playing above their peripherals”. The Mets weren’t getting good starting pitching, they weren’t winning definitely. They were leaning heavily on their bullpen and relying on a hell of a lot of timely hits. Pythagoras told us even then that they would slow down. Now, during the last month plus, we have seen those fears materialize. Our taxed bullpen has started to leak. The manager mistakes that didn’t burn us in those 12 games are now contributing to losses. Our freakish good luck in close games has run out. More than anything, our starting pitching looks hopeless. Even if you assume deGrom and Syndergaard stay healthy and pitch well, 60% of our starts will go to Matz, Wheeler and Vargas. That will get us nowhere. Matz maybe can turn it around. But it’s hard to see any consistency coming from him. Even when he’s good, he’s not likely to us more than 5 innings. Wheeler and Vargas are awful. Like I said in the other thread, Wheeler is one of the worst pitchers in baseball. And has been for some time. We can hope that maybe he magically gets better. But it’s not likely. Same with Vargas. You figure Vargas won’t be this bad for long. But he’s a 35 year old journeyman with nothing on his pitches. The idea of him starting a post season game is terrifying. The potential rotation replacements are two failed starters from 2017. We have no arms in our system that are anywhere close, and no real prospects anywhere other than Alonso to bring in any help. People have been talking about the similarity to 2015 a lot. Sure. There is always reason to hope. Especially this early. But there are key differences. First, our division was generally terrible in 2015. Our closest competitor won 83 games. The division is much harder this year. But most importantly, our system is tapped. We have no Michael Fullmer. We won’t be calling up Matz and Syndergaard mid year. Maybe Alonso can be this year’s Conforto? But other than that we got nothing. Look, I think the offense will pick up. Ces will heal, Conforto will find himself. And I do think Alonso will be in Flushing before the year is out. But the pitching. Man. Maybe they can all learn a split finger fastball.