25 Questions -- the season-long prediction game

[Guest sharpie]

Part 1: YES or NO
1) Curtis Granderson leads the club in HRs? (any ties count as a win for the YES answers) YES
2) Jenrry Mejia leads in saves? (same deal if there's a tie) NO

Will be on the team's ML roster (or DL) the entire season?
3) Dillon Gee NO
4) Bartolo Colon YES
5) Travis d'Arnaud YES
6) Anthony Recker NO
7) Daniel Murphy YES
8) Ruben Tejada NO
9) Jonathon Niese YES
10) Terry Collins (has to be field manager for a YES to count - if demoted but stays in the org with a "special assistant" title or other such nonsense it doesn't count) YES

Part 2: OVER/UNDER
11) Lucas Duda -- 29.5 HRs OVER
12) Michael Cuddyer -- 119.5 Starts OVER
13) Jenrry Mejia -- 19.5 Saves UNDER
14) Wilmer Flores -- 449.5 PAs OVER
15) Bartolo Colon -- 17.5 Starts UNDER
16) David Wright -- 21.5 HRs (22 or more would surpass Straw's club record) OVER
17) Kirk Nieuwenhuis -- 199.5 PAs OVER
18) Noah Syndergaard -- 19.5 ML Starts UNDER
19) Steven Matz -- 9.5 ML Starts UNDER
20) Brandon Nimmo - 49.5 ML PAs UNDER

EITHER/OR - simply name one player or the other in each comparison
21) More PAs w/2015 NYM: Murphy or Herrera? MURPHY
22) More PAs: Nieuwenhuis or Mayberry? NIEUWENHUIS
23) More PAs: d'Arnaud or Plawecki? D'ARNAUD
24) More Saves: Parnell or Familia? FAMILIA
25) More IPs: Gilmartin or Leathersich? GILMARTIN

Even more under the wire

Edited April 6, 2015 by Guest

[metsmarathon]

All entries due by the end of Sunday, April 5

it's april 5th, somewhere.... uh, right?

anyways...

Part 1: YES or NO
1) Curtis Granderson leads the club in HRs? no
2) Jenrry Mejia leads in saves? yes[/n]

Will be on the team's ML roster (or DL) the entire season?
3) Dillon Gee no
4) Bartolo Colon no
5) Travis d'Arnaud yes
6) Anthony Recker no
7) Daniel Murphy yes
8) Ruben Tejada no
9) Jonathon Niese yes
10) Terry Collins yes

Part 2: OVER/UNDER
11) Lucas Duda -- 29.5 HRs over
12) Michael Cuddyer -- 119.5 Starts over
13) Jenrry Mejia -- 19.5 Saves over
14) Wilmer Flores -- 449.5 PAs over
15) Bartolo Colon -- 17.5 Starts under
16) David Wright -- 21.5 HRs over
17) Kirk Nieuwenhuis -- 199.5 PAs under
18) Noah Syndergaard -- 19.5 ML Starts under
19) Steven Matz -- 9.5 ML Starts under
20) Brandon Nimmo - 49.5 ML PAs under

EITHER/OR - simply name one player or the other in each comparison
21) More PAs w/2015 NYM: Murphy or Herrera? murphy
22) More PAs: Nieuwenhuis or Mayberry? mayberry
23) More PAs: d'Arnaud or Plawecki? d'arnaud
24) More Saves: Parnell or Familia? mejia
25) More IPs: Gilmartin or Leathersich? gilmartin

[Frayed Knot]

Your entry will be accepted except you first need to correct your answer for Q #24 where, when asked to pick between Familia and Parnell, you chose Mejia.

[Edgy MD]

Late and Sloppy, the metsmarathon Story

[metsmarathon]

All entries due by the end of Sunday, April 5 it's april 5th, somewhere.... uh, right? anyways... Part 1: YES or NO 1) Curtis Granderson leads the club in HRs? no 2) Jenrry Mejia leads in saves? yes[/n] Will be on the team's ML roster (or DL) the entire season? 3) Dillon Gee no 4) Bartolo Colon no 5) Travis d'Arnaud yes 6) Anthony Recker no 7) Daniel Murphy yes 8) Ruben Tejada no 9) Jonathon Niese yes 10) Terry Collins yes Part 2: OVER/UNDER 11) Lucas Duda -- 29.5 HRs over 12) Michael Cuddyer -- 119.5 Starts over 13) Jenrry Mejia -- 19.5 Saves over 14) Wilmer Flores -- 449.5 PAs over 15) Bartolo Colon -- 17.5 Starts under 16) David Wright -- 21.5 HRs over 17) Kirk Nieuwenhuis -- 199.5 PAs under 18) Noah Syndergaard -- 19.5 ML Starts under 19) Steven Matz -- 9.5 ML Starts under 20) Brandon Nimmo - 49.5 ML PAs under EITHER/OR - simply name one player or the other in each comparison 21) More PAs w/2015 NYM: Murphy or Herrera? murphy 22) More PAs: Nieuwenhuis or Mayberry? mayberry 23) More PAs: d'Arnaud or Plawecki? d'arnaud 24) More Saves: Parnell or Familia? [crossout]mejia[/crossout] parnell 25) More IPs: Gilmartin or Leathersich? gilmartin

[Guest d'Kong76]

On Question #25: KC - You answered 'Familia' when the question was Gilmartin or Leathersich

Duh... thanks... Gilmartin, please.

[Guest Mets Guy in Michigan]

Part 1: YES or NO
1) Curtis Granderson leads the club in HRs? (any ties count as a win for the YES answers) NO
2) Jenrry Mejia leads in saves? (same deal if there's a tie) YES

Will be on the team's ML roster (or DL) the entire season?
3) Dillon Gee YES
4) Bartolo Colon NO
5) Travis d'Arnaud YES
6) Anthony Recker YES
7) Daniel Murphy YES
8) Ruben Tejada NO
9) Jonathon Niese YES
10) Terry Collins YES

Part 2: OVER/UNDER
11) Lucas Duda -- 29.5 HRs OVER
12) Michael Cuddyer -- 119.5 Starts OVER
13) Jenrry Mejia -- 19.5 Saves OVER
14) Wilmer Flores -- 449.5 PAs OVER
15) Bartolo Colon -- 17.5 Starts UNDER
16) David Wright -- 21.5 HRs (22 or more would surpass Straw's club record) OVER
17) Kirk Nieuwenhuis -- 199.5 PAs UNDER
18) Noah Syndergaard -- 19.5 ML Starts UNDER
19) Steven Matz -- 9.5 ML Starts UNDER
20) Brandon Nimmo - 49.5 ML PAs UNDER

EITHER/OR - simply name one player or the other in each comparison
21) More PAs w/2015 NYM: Murphy or Herrera? MURPHY
22) More PAs: Nieuwenhuis or Mayberry? MAYBERRY
23) More PAs: d'Arnaud or Plawecki? d'ARNAUD
24) More Saves: Parnell or Familia? PARNELL
25) More IPs: Gilmartin or Leathersich? Gilmartin

[Frayed Knot]

First of all: 24 ENTRIES!! Nice participation folks.
The answers to TWO of the questions were unanimous:
(Q #22) that d’Arnaud would get more PAs than Plawecki (not so surprising)
and (Q #9) that Niese would remain on the team all year - maybe more surprising there, a tribute to his lefthandedness perhaps.


Summary:
Grandy leads in HRs: YES = 3 (Sharpie, BMFC1, and … ME put our faith in the Grandy Man - or lack of faith in others depending on how you want to look at it)
Mejia leads in saves: YES = 18 of the 24 votes

On roster all year?
3) Gee: YES = 16
4) Colon: YES = 8
5) d’Arnaud: YES = 22 (Ceetar & Zvon going against the grain on this one)
6) Recker: YES = 8
7) Murphy: YES = 12 (hmmm, exactly 50/50)
8) Tejada: YES = 8
9) Niese: YES = 24
10) Collins: YES = 23 (Han Solo is the lone man who sez no)

OVER/UNDER
11) Duda 29.5 HRs: OVER = 11
12) Cuddyer 119.5 Games: OVER = 16
13) Mejia 19.5 Saves: OVER = 15
14) Flores 449.5 PAs: OVER = 18
15) Colon 17.5 Starts: OVER = 14
16) Wright 21.5 HRs: OVER = 19
17) Nieuwenhuis 199.5 PAs: OVER = 9
18) Syndergaard 19.5 Starts: OVER = 2 (Ceetar & MFS ’62)
19) Matz 9.5 Starts: OVER = 4
20) Nimmo 49.5 PAs: OVER = 6

EITHER/OR
21) More PAs - Murphy or Herrera: 22/2 in favor of MURPHY (Kong & JCL are the dissenters)
22) More PAs - Nieuwenhuis or Mayberry: 15/9 MAYBERRY
23) More PAs - d’Arnaud or Plawecki: 24/0 d’ARNAUD
24) More Saves - Parnell or Familia: 15/8 FAMILIA
25 More IPs - Gilmartin or Leathersich: 18/6 GILMARTIN


Maybe I'll look to do quarterly updates on how our answers are looking.

[Zvon]

Frayed Knot wrote: Zvon » April 5th, 2015, 8:59 pm Nunthin' like sliding in just under the wire there, Z.

I didn't notice the expiration date until 5 minutes before 9. I really had to bust it to get it in.

I meant to do all the predicting and forecast theads but I kept putting it off. Someone remind me next year how I screwed up this year.

[Lefty Specialist]

On Question #25: KC - You answered 'Familia' when the question was Gilmartin or Leathersich Lefty Specialist - You answered 'Neither' on that same question. No pushes allowed here, choose one or the other (and since Gilmartin has made the OD roster I assume you're going to opt for him)

My Momma didn't raise no fool. Gilmartin it is.

[Frayed Knot]

An update on how our votes here are trending as the season reaches the 1/4 pole.

QUESTION	RESULTS	TRENDING
GRANDY LEADS TEAM in HRs	21 of 24 = NO	Not leading, but is only one off the pace
MEJIA LEADS TEAM in SAVES	18 of 24 = YES	Not looking too good, eh?
GEE to STAY on TEAM ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = YES	May be about to lose his starting job so who knows …
COLON ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	So far so good
d’ARNAUD ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	22 of 24 = YES	Competition has arrived, though probably not ready to displace him ... yet
RECKER ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	Now has competition from both above and below
MUPRHY ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	12 said YES, 12 said NO	Voting was a toss-up, still looking like a toss-up
TEJADA ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	Certainly not looking like he’s going to start anytime soon
NIESE ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	24 of 24 = YES	Pitching well (until recently) and still w/his left arm
COLLINS IN CHARGE ALL SEASON	23 of 24 = YES	He was said to need a fast start and he got one
DUDA OVER/UNDER 29.5 HRs	11 of 24 = OVER	On pace for 12
CUDDYER OVER/UNDER 119.5 Games Played	16 of 24 = OVER	On Pace for 152 ^^^
MEJIA OVER/UNDER 19.5 Saves	15 of 24 = OVER	Not bloody likely!!
FLORES OVER/UNDER 449.5 PAs	18 of 24 = OVER	On Pace for 504 ^^^
COLON OVER/UNDER 17.5 Starts	14 of 24 = OVER	On Pace for 32 ^^^
WRIGHT OVER/UNDER 21.5 HRs	19 of 24 = OVER	On Pace for 4 - with extenuating circumstances
NIEUWENHUIS OVER/UNDER 199.5 PAs	9 of 24 = OVER	Was Trending Low (~160) and now is trending even lower
SYNDERGAARD OVER/UNDER 19.5 Starts	2 of 24 = OVER	2 so far but w/a potential for 20+ more out there
MATZ OVER/UNDER 9.5 Starts	4 of 24 = OVER	Nothing Yet, but we knew going in that this was a 2nd half question
NIMMO OVER/UNDER 49.5 PAs	6 of 24 = OVER	Nothing Yet, and the Knee Injury isn’t Helping
MURPHY or HERRERA: More PAs	22 of 24 = MURPH	Solidly Trending in favor of Murph
NIEUWENHUIS or MAYBERRY: More PAs	15 of 24 = MAYBERRY	Was Virtually Dead Even, but suddenly looking up for JMJ backers
d’ARNAUD or PLAWECKI: More PAs	24 of 24 = d’ARNAUD	An Unexpected Early Lead for Plawecki
PARNELL or FAMILIA: More Saves	15 of 24 = FAMILIA	Safe to say that this contest is virtually OVAH!
GILMARTIN or LEATHERSICH: More IPs	18 of 24 = GILMARTIN	11 to 3 Early Lead for Gilmartin

[Frayed Knot]

The mid-season look at how the answers to these pre-season questions are trending.
Two of the 'On Roster All Year' answers were officially put into the books with the Gee and Recker demotions. Several others all but officially over.

QUESTION	RESULTS	TRENDING
GRANDY LEADS TEAM in HRs	21 of 24 = NO	'YES" as he's in the lead by 3
MEJIA LEADS TEAM in SAVES	18 of 24 = YES	'NO', unless something REALLY radical happens
GEE to STAY on TEAM ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = YES	Recent demotion means ’NO’ wins this contest
COLON ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	Still hanging in there
d’ARNAUD ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	22 of 24 = YES	Still a YES despite the injuries
RECKER ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	Recent demotion means ‘NO’ wins
MUPRHY ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	12 said YES, 12 said NO	Suddenly we’re discussing next year as an option
TEJADA ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	Still 'YES' and he's even starting now
NIESE ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	24 of 24 = YES	Still a ‘YES’ but there are rumors …
COLLINS IN CHARGE ALL SEASON	23 of 24 = YES	So far so good, but they are on the west coast …
DUDA OVER/UNDER 29.5 HRs	11 of 24 = OVER	'UNDER' - on pace for 20
CUDDYER OVER/UNDER 119.5 Games Played	16 of 24 = OVER	’OVER' - on Pace for 146
MEJIA OVER/UNDER 19.5 Saves	15 of 24 = OVER	Decidedly looking like ‘UNDER’
FLORES OVER/UNDER 449.5 PAs	18 of 24 = OVER	’OVER - on Pace for 540
COLON OVER/UNDER 17.5 Starts	14 of 24 = OVER	Needs just 2 more to secure the ‘OVER’
WRIGHT OVER/UNDER 21.5 HRs	19 of 24 = OVER	I think ‘UNDER’ is pretty much been declared the winner here
NIEUWENHUIS OVER/UNDER 199.5 PAs	9 of 24 = OVER	’UNDER’ - although ‘Over’ is once again technically possible
SYNDERGAARD OVER/UNDER 19.5 Starts	2 of 24 = OVER	’OVER’ - 10 down with 14 or so more out there for the taking
MATZ OVER/UNDER 9.5 Starts	4 of 24 = OVER	’OVER’ - See Syndergaard
NIMMO OVER/UNDER 49.5 PAs	6 of 24 = OVER	’UNDER” - but next call-up?
MURPHY or HERRERA: More PAs	22 of 24 = MURPH	’MURPHY’ by a better than 2-to-1 ratio
NIEUWENHUIS or MAYBERRY: More PAs	15 of 24 = MAYBERRY	’MAYBERRY’ by a landslide
d’ARNAUD or PLAWECKI: More PAs	24 of 24 = d’ARNAUD	’PLAWECKI’ retains a 2-to-1 edge - this one could go down to the wire
PARNELL or FAMILIA: More Saves	15 of 24 = FAMILIA	A 22-1 edge for ‘FAMILIA’
GILMARTIN or LEATHERSICH: More IPs	18 of 24 = GILMARTIN	25 to 11 lead for ‘GILMARTIN’

[Frayed Knot]

Updated as we hit the 3/4 pole.
Looks like 8 questions already have a firm answer with a bunch more all but official.
But =#0000BF]a handful of these look like they're going to go down to the wire.

QUESTION	RESULTS	TRENDING
GRANDY LEADS TEAM in HRs	21 of 24 = NO	=#0000FF]'YES' although just by a single ‘Outta Here’
MEJIA LEADS TEAM in SAVES	18 of 24 = YES	This is now officially a 'NO'
GEE to STAY on TEAM ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = YES	In the books as a ’NO’
COLON ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	’YES’ looking like a near certainty
d’ARNAUD ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	22 of 24 = YES	’YES’ looking like a near certainty
RECKER ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	In the books as a ‘NO’
MUPRHY ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	12 said YES, 12 said NO	Also looks like a definite ‘Yes’
TEJADA ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	Another ‘YES' is all but official
NIESE ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	24 of 24 = YES	A healthy Matz may have changed things, but now a sure ‘YES’
COLLINS IN CHARGE ALL SEASON	23 of 24 = YES	Survived the west coast trip … so ‘YES’
DUDA OVER/UNDER 29.5 HRs	11 of 24 = OVER	=#0000FF]'UNDER' but close - on pace for 28
CUDDYER OVER/UNDER 119.5 Games Played	16 of 24 = OVER	=#0000FF]TOSS UP — on Pace for 120.15 !!
MEJIA OVER/UNDER 19.5 Saves	15 of 24 = OVER	In the books as a ‘NO’ - probably for his career as well
FLORES OVER/UNDER 449.5 PAs	18 of 24 = OVER	’OVER - on Pace for 558
COLON OVER/UNDER 17.5 Starts	14 of 24 = OVER	’OVER’ with plenty of (waistband) room to spare
WRIGHT OVER/UNDER 21.5 HRs	19 of 24 = OVER	‘UNDER’ got the tap-out on this one months ago
NIEUWENHUIS OVER/UNDER 199.5 PAs	9 of 24 = OVER	Currently 113 short - so ’UNDER’ it is
SYNDERGAARD OVER/UNDER 19.5 Starts	2 of 24 = OVER	Two more and the ’OVER’ bets win
MATZ OVER/UNDER 9.5 Starts	4 of 24 = OVER	’UNDER’ as he’s not likely to get 8 starts in Sept
NIMMO OVER/UNDER 49.5 PAs	6 of 24 = OVER	’UNDER’ as Conforto and Cespedes likely moved his call-up to next year
MURPHY or HERRERA: More PAs	22 of 24 = MURPH	In the books for ‘MURPH’
NIEUWENHUIS or MAYBERRY: More PAs	15 of 24 = MAYBERRY	=#0000FF]Could go either way as ’MAYBERRY’ leads but by just 32
d’ARNAUD or PLAWECKI: More PAs	24 of 24 = d’ARNAUD	=#0000FF]’PLAWECKI’ leads by 92 but that's still doable for d’Arnaud
PARNELL or FAMILIA: More Saves	15 of 24 = FAMILIA	PUT IT IN THE BOOKS for ‘FAMILIA’
GILMARTIN or LEATHERSICH: More IPs	18 of 24 = GILMARTIN	Was going to be ‘GILMARTIN’ even before JL’s TJ surgery

[Frayed Knot]

Whooops, quick update.

Looking back at my original questions, the one for Cuddyer was OVER/UNDER for 119.5 Starts for the season not merely games played in (I'm not sure I meant it that way but that's the way I stated it so that's the way we need to go on it).
So with 79 starts to date it leaves him needing to start in 41 of the remaining 42 games in order to score for the 'OVER' votes to win. So while 'OVER' isn't officially out yet, 'UNDER' has him in a headlock and is ready to apply the sleeper hold.
If we were to include his 10 PH/sub games then he's appeared in 89 which would put him on a pace for 120.15 game appearances which would likely bring this question right down to the wire, but that's not the question you folks were betting on (assuming that you even read the questions in the first place and didn't just go: A C B D C B A A B ... etc like you used to on the multiple choice quizzes you forgot to study for).

[Frayed Knot]

And the final outcome of our season-long quiz:
Several questions came right down to the final week, or even the final game. Others were almost over by the time the season started.

QUESTION	RESULTS	RESULTS
GRANDY LEADS TEAM in HRs	21 of 24 = NO	’NO’ wins by a single HR
MEJIA LEADS TEAM in SAVES	18 of 24 = YES	’NO’ - tough to lead the team with Zero
GEE to STAY on TEAM ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = YES	’NO’
COLON ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	’YES’
d’ARNAUD ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	22 of 24 = YES	’YES’
RECKER ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	‘NO’
MUPRHY ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	12 said YES, 12 said NO	‘YES’
TEJADA ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	16 of 24 = NO	‘YES'
NIESE ON ROSTER ALL SEASON	24 of 24 = YES	’YES’
COLLINS IN CHARGE ALL SEASON	23 of 24 = YES	‘YES’
DUDA OVER/UNDER 29.5 HRs	11 of 24 = OVER	’UNDER’ - got to 27
CUDDYER OVER/UNDER 119.5 Games Started	16 of 24 = OVER	’UNDER’ - final tally was 92
MEJIA OVER/UNDER 19.5 Saves	15 of 24 = OVER	as ’UNDER’ one can get
FLORES OVER/UNDER 449.5 PAs	18 of 24 = OVER	’OVER' - 510
COLON OVER/UNDER 17.5 Starts	14 of 24 = OVER	’OVER’ - finishes with 31 (plus 2 relief appearances)
WRIGHT OVER/UNDER 21.5 HRs	19 of 24 = OVER	way ’UNDER’ with 5
NIEUWENHUIS OVER/UNDER 199.5 PAs	9 of 24 = OVER	’UNDER’ - 117
SYNDERGAARD OVER/UNDER 19.5 Starts	2 of 24 = OVER	’OVER’ with 24
MATZ OVER/UNDER 9.5 Starts	4 of 24 = OVER	’UNDER’ with 7
NIMMO OVER/UNDER 49.5 PAs	6 of 24 = OVER	’UNDER’ - none
MURPHY or HERRERA: More PAs	22 of 24 = MURPH	’MURPHY’ in a rout
NIEUWENHUIS or MAYBERRY: More PAs	15 of 24 = MAYBERRY	MAYBERRY wins by TWO (119-117)
d’ARNAUD or PLAWECKI: More PAs	24 of 24 = d’ARNAUD	’d’ARNAUD’ wins by 7 - taking the lead only in the final week
PARNELL or FAMILIA: More Saves	15 of 24 = FAMILIA	’FAMILIA’ - No lo contendre
GILMARTIN or LEATHERSICH: More IPs	18 of 24 = GILMARTIN	’GILMARTIN’ - 50 to 17

As for the votes:
- the consensus got 16-1/2 of the 25 questions correct (the question as to whether Murph would be on the team the entire year was split 12-12)

As for the individual votes, we had a triple winner and double losers
19 correct - Nymr83; 86 Dreamer; Lefty Specialist
18 correct -
17 correct - Trans Monk; Han Solo; Ben Grimm; Dinosaur Jesus;
16 correct - Sharpie; bmfc1; LWFS; Edgy;
15 correct - Ashie62; Kong; met marathon;
14 correct - Zvon; MFS '62; GWreck; Frayed Knot; Seawolf
13 correct - Vic Sage; Met Guy in Michigan
12 correct - Ceetar
11 correct - DW Photography; John Cougar Lunchbucket

[MFS62]

If Irish had entered, he would have won the whole thing.
Later