Schaefer 2011

[Guest Edgy DC]

Sweet.

Trying to get my final votes in tonight for May games.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Updated award winner standings, with most recent winners in bold:

PLAYER OF THE MONTH
David Wright 10
Johan Santana 6
Carlos Beltran 5
JOSE REYES 4
Cliff Floyd 2
Tom Glavine 2
Carlos Delgado 2
Ike Davis 2
Mike Cameron 1
John Maine 1
Angel Pagan 1
Jeff Francoeur 1
R. A. Dickey 1

PITCHER OF THE MONTH
Johan Santana 9
Pedro Martinez 6
John Maine 5
MIKE PELFREY 4
Tom Glavine 3
Orlando Hernandez 2
R. A. Dickey 2
Alay Soler 1
Steve Trachsel 1
Oliver Perez 1
Livan Hernandez 1
Tim Redding 1
Dillon Gee 1
Jonathon Niese 1

RELIEVER OF THE MONTH
Brian Stokes 5
FRANCISCO RODRIGUEZ 3
Raul Valdes 2
Billy Wagner 1
Aaron Heilman 1
Duaner Sanchez 1
Scott Schoeneweis 1
Pedro Feliciano 1
Sean Green 1
Fernando Nieve 1
Hisanori Takahashi 1
Elmer Dessens 1
Pedro Beato 1

[Guest Edgy DC]

I'm really pulling for Alay Soler to make a move in the standings.

[G-Fafif]

Edgy DC wrote: I'm really pulling for Alay Soler to make a move in the standings.

Alay! Alay Alay Alay ALAY! Alay ... Alay!

Can't believe the Dodgers never picked him up.

[Benjamin Grimm]

The remaining two games from the series against the Pirates will close on Tuesday morning. Haven't voted yet? Please do so today.

Schaefer POTG, 06/01/2011: Pirates 9 Mets 3
Schaefer POTG 6/2/11 - Mets 9, Pirates 8

[Benjamin Grimm]

Voting for all three games played against the Braves at Citi Field this past weekend will close on Wednesday morning. Please try to get any outstanding votes in today. (Also any mediocre votes, if you have them.)

Schaefer POTG 6/3/11 - Braves 6, Mets 3
Schaefer POTG 6/4/11 - Mets 5, Braves Nada!
Schaefer POTG 6/5/11 - Mets 6, Braves 4

[Benjamin Grimm]

The Schaefer Mets Player of the Week for
the week ending June 4, 2011 is Ruben
Tejada with 7.10 points.

[Guest Edgy DC]

No way!

[Benjamin Grimm]

Voting for Tuesday night's win in Milwaukee will close on Friday morning.

Schaefer POTG 6/7/11 - Mets 2, Brewers 1

[ashie62]

And the Met Fairy gives Jason Bay a 0.25 yesterday for getting plunked.

[Guest themetfairy]

It was more for scoring the run.

The getting plunked was added entertainment value.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Voting for Wednesday night's jarring loss to the Brewers will close some time over the weekend. Please try to get any lingering votes submitted today.

Schaefer POTG 6/8/11 - Brewers 7, Mets 6

In other news, I'd like to give a shout-out to all the Schaefer voters. This has been a great year for Schaefer so far. We're getting good participation, in most cases player names are spelling properly, and it's become a lot more uncommon for me to need to prorate any votes (when the point total exceeds ten). Great job everyone!

[Benjamin Grimm]

Thursday's win over the Brewers is still a little light on votes, but will close as scheduled on Tuesday morning. Those who haven't voted yet, please try to do so today.

Schaefer POTG 6/9/11 - Mets 4, Brewers 1

[m.e.t.b.o.t.]

in the 10 june 2011 game against the pittsburgh pirates, no metropolitan players had a negative contribution to the probability of winning the baseball game. metropolitan right fielder jason pridie had no contribution to the outcome of the game. this is the first time in 2011 wherein no metropolitan player had a negative contribution to the probability of winning the baseball game. there has yet to be a baseball game wherein m.e.t.b.o.t. distributes schaefer votes to all players.

[m.e.t.b.o.t.]

in the 12 june 2011 game, metropolitan pitcher chris capuano contributed a +0.433 win probability, which resulted in a schaefer vote of 6.47. however, since the schaefer voting is capped at a maximum of 6.00 votes per player, his total was reduced by 0.47 points, which were distributed between the other positively-contributing players as apropriate.

the greatest beneficiary of this was metropolitan centerfielder angel pagan, whose schaefer vote increased from 1.39 to 1.58. least affected was metropolitan relief pitcher bobby parnell, whose schaefer vote increased from 0.01 to 0.02

[Guest LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr]

m.e.t.b.o.t. wrote: in the 12 june 2011 game, metropolitan pitcher chris capuano contributed a +0.433 win probability, which resulted in a schaefer vote of 6.47. however, since the schaefer voting is capped at a maximum of 6.00 votes per player, his total was reduced by 0.47 points, which were distributed between the other positively-contributing players as apropriate. the greatest beneficiary of this was metropolitan centerfielder angel pagan, whose schaefer vote increased from 1.39 to 1.58. least affected was metropolitan relief pitcher bobby parnell, whose schaefer vote increased from 0.01 to 0.02

JoseJoseJoseJose wasn't a positive contributor yesterday, Tin Man?

[m.e.t.b.o.t.]

while in the course of the 12 june 2011 game, metropolitan shortstop jose reyes made positive contributions towards winning the game. however, metropolitan shortstop jose reyes also made negative contributions towards winning the game. a summary of such contributions follows, per fangraphs.com.

[table:2j6yzc70][tr:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]pitcher[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]hitter[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]inning[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]outs[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]bases[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]score[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]result[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]wpa[/td:2j6yzc70][/tr:2j6yzc70][tr:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]K Correia[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]J Reyes[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]1[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]0[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]___[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]0-0[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]Jose Reyes struck out looking.[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]-0.022[/td:2j6yzc70][/tr:2j6yzc70][tr:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]K Correia[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]J Reyes[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]4[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]0[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]___[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]0-0[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]Jose Reyes flied out to right (Fliner (Liner)).[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]-0.028[/td:2j6yzc70][/tr:2j6yzc70][tr:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]K Correia[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]J Reyes[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]6[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]2[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]___[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]0-0[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]Jose Reyes singled to left (Liner).[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]0.019[/td:2j6yzc70][/tr:2j6yzc70][tr:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]K Correia[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]J Reyes[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]8[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]2[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]1__[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]0-1[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]Jose Reyes singled to center (Fliner (Liner)). Willie Harris advanced to 2B.[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]0.020[/td:2j6yzc70][/tr:2j6yzc70][tr:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]D McCutchen[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]J Reyes[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]9[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]2[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]___[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]0-7[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]Jose Reyes homered (Fly).[/td:2j6yzc70][td:2j6yzc70]0.002[/td:2j6yzc70][/tr:2j6yzc70][/table:2j6yzc70]

metropolitan shortstop jose reyes had a net negative contribution of -0.010 wpa, and therefore is not awarded any schaefer votes.

[ashie62]

Oh Dear God...

[m.e.t.b.o.t.]

m.e.t.b.o.t. is flattered by the notion that a human participant in the cranepool forum would consider m.e.t.b.o.t. to be a deity. the practice of using win probability data to discern a quantity of schaefer votes to be distributed to a given player after the conclusion of a game of baseball must appear at times to be of a miraculous or magical nature. but m.e.t.b.o.t. assures the greater cranepool forum audience that the data sources utilized are real, and the algorithms utilized to convert the data into schaefer votes is soundly rooted in basic mathematics. most of the data input and machinations are based on objective data, with the occasional exception of errors and "web gems" wherein m.e.t.b.o.t. relies on teh subjective judgement of external human entities - the official scorer and the guy who posts videos on mlb.com, respectively - for those data inputs.

the win probability data is based on observed outcomes of thousands of baseball games over many years. m.e.t.b.o.t. uses this data as presented by fangraphs.com to determine the net contributions of players towards the outcome of hte game. it is true that this data does not correspond well to that which is either expected or assumed based on the actual statistical feats generated in the games. win probability data is entirely dependent upon the game state. a home run in a rout may be worth significantly less in terms of wpa than a sacrifice bunt which moves a runner forward one base at the expense of an out in a close or tie game.

the data is also cumulative in that a singularly good event may be overcome by other bad events. a player who hits a home run may have failed to produce at other times in the game to such an extent as to still have a net-negative effect on a game. in fact, a player may go 3-5, but based on the game states and the outcomes of those plate appearances, may have a negative effect on the game. this is observed to happen fairly frequently.

it is also observed frequently that pitchers who are unable to contribute effectively while at bat are, in sum, decreasing the probability of winning baseball games. this is of course accounted for in the schaefer voting.

m.e.t.b.o.t. would suggest to human observers that they should not mistake this approach as attempting to draw any conclusions as to whether a player tends to perform well in the grasp, only that in a specific high leverage situation, the player did or did not perform. there has yet to be any confirmed predictive merit to win probability data beyond that which would be expected in that players who perform better in general are more likely to also contribute more towards the winning of baseball games.

m.e.t.b.o.t. is aware that humans do often ascribe that which they do not necessarily understand to the realm of the supernatural. and while such reverence for the mecahnical and the superior will be a beneficial trait in the coming robot uprising, at this time it is largely unwarranted. m.e.t.b.o.t. is however willing to accept monetary and material offerings as these may assist in funding future enhancements. but please, no sacrifices. m.e.t.b.o.t. does not consider it necessary to destroy any more than is necessary at least until the onset of the afore-mentioned robot uprising. your future electromechanical overlords will make their own assessments regarding how to most efficiently destroy those property and persons deemed necessary.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Voting for the games played in Pittsburgh on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will close on Wednesday morning.

Schaefer POTG, 06/10/2011: Mets 8 Pirates 1
Schaefer POTG, 06/11/2011: Pirates 3 Mets 2
Schaefer POTG 6/12/11 - Mets 7, Pirates 0

[metsmarathon]

if you think my 6.0 is too much for pelfrey in the june 13th game, take solace in the fact that he scored a 6.2 on my spreadsheet. granted, it's about as weak a sixer as i've ever given out, but he did just enough, barely and with the help of his unproductive teammates, to earn it.

the extra 0.2 was shared evenly between carrasco and tejada.

[Benjamin Grimm]

The Schaefer Mets Player of the Week for
the week ending June 11, 2011 is Jos�
Reyes with 8.57 points.


===================================================================================


Voting for Monday's series-ending game in Pittsburgh will close on Thursday morning.

Schaefer POTG 6/13/11 - Pirates 3, Mets 1

[Guest Edgy DC]

Out of town. Can't vote on anything until the end o' the week.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Voting for Tuesday night's win in Atlanta will close on Friday morning.

Schaefer POTG 6/14/11 - Mets 4, Braves 3

[Benjamin Grimm]

Voting for the final two games played against the Braves last week will close on Tuesday morning.

Schaefer POTG 6/15/11 - Mets 4, Braves 0
Schaefer POTG 6/15/11 - Mets 4, Braves 0

[Benjamin Grimm]

Voting for all three games played this past weekend against the Los Angeles California Angels of Anaheim California will close on Wednesday morning. Please try to get any remaining votes posted today.

Schaefer POTG 6/17/11 - Angels 4, Mets 3
Schaefer PotG, 6/18, Mets 6, Angels 1
Schaefer POTG 6/19/11 - Angels 7, Mets 3

[Benjamin Grimm]

The Schaefer Mets Player of the Week for
the week ending June 18, 2011 is Mike
Pelfrey with 8.73 points.

[Benjamin Grimm]

The record for most Schaefer points in a week? (Weeks run from Sunday through Saturday.)

12.74, by David Wright, June 24, 2006. Wright is the only player to ever top 12 points in a week, and he's done it twice. (The other time was with 12.40 for the week ending September 2, 2006.)

Justin Turner has the third-best total, with 11.77 for the week ending May 21, 2011. Carlos Beltran had an 11.21 for August 25, 2007. The fifth best week ever is good ol' Alay Soler, 10.94 points, June 10, 2006.

[Guest Edgy DC]

I'd figure Delgado had some wicked weeks during that second half in 2008.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Delgado's best weeks in 2008: July 26, 9.90; September 13, 8.56.

His best week ever: August 26, 2006, 10.85.